|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王粟.基于灰色关联分析的高层建筑火灾风险评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(8):83-89.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.015]
　WANG Su.Fire risk assessment of highrise buildings based on grey relational analysis[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(8):83-89.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.015]
点击复制

基于灰色关联分析的高层建筑火灾风险评估
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
9
期数:
2013年8期
页码:
83-89
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2013-08-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Fire risk assessment of highrise buildings based on grey relational analysis
文章编号:
20130815
作者:
王粟
（锦州市消防局，辽宁锦州121000）
Author(s):
WANG Su
(Jinzhou Municipal Fire Department, Jinzhou Liaoning 121000, China)
关键词:
高层建筑; 火灾; 风险评估; 灰色关联分析
Keywords:
highrise building; fire; risk assessment; grey relational analysis
分类号:
X928.7;TU972.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.015
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了研究高层建筑火灾风险，在综合考虑高层建筑空间火灾特点及发展过程的基础上，建立了包括安全疏散系统、建筑自身防火能力、灭火能力、消防救援设施以及安全管理五大因素的火灾风险评估指标体系，并利用灰色关联度分析法构建了高层建筑火灾系统的灰色关联评价模型。通过计算各评价指标序列和实际样本序列直接的灰色关联度，建立了系统的灰色关联矩阵，得到了各影响因素及系统整体的风险等级。利用该模型对上海市静安区胶州路728号教师公寓大楼的火灾风险进行了综合评估，结果与实际情况相符。评估结果表明，在高层建筑火灾风险评估中引入灰色关联分析方法可以得到高层建筑火灾危险性的科学数据，并进一步指出薄弱环节，对高层建筑的防火设计及日常安全管理等都具有指导意义。
Abstract:
In order to investigate the fire risk of highrise buildings, the assessment index system including evacuation system, fireproof capacities of buildings, firefighting capacities, fire rescue facilities and safety management was established based on the characters of fire development in highrise buildings. By analyzing the grey relational degrees between each comparative sequence and the reference sequences, the risk ratings of each factor and the whole system were obtained according to the grey incidence matrix. A case study of No. 728 teachers’ apartment in Jiaozhou Road Shanghai Jingan District was conducted with this method, and the results accorded well with the facts. It proved that valuable fire risk assessment results and weak links can be obtained by this scientific grey relational method. They are of significant guidance to the design of fire protection and daily safety management for highrise buildings.

参考文献/References:

[1]司戈. 中国高层建筑火灾［J］. 消防科学与技术， 2010，29（10）：863870 SI Ge. Highrise building fires in China［J］. Fire Science and Technology， 2010, 29（10）：863870
[2］高云，张浩，弋俊楠. 高层建筑火灾致因因素分析与防火安全对策［J］. 中国安全科学学报， 2009, 19（6）：149153 GAO Yun, ZHANG Hao, YI Junnan. Analysis on fire causes of highrise building and fire safety countermeasures［J］. China Safety Science Journal， 2009, 19（6）：149153
[3］王振，刘茂. 应用区间层次分析法（IAHP）研究高层建筑火灾安全因素［J］. 安全与环境学报， 2006, 6（1）：1215 WANG Zhen, LIU Mao. On firesafety of highrises with IAHPbased method［J］. Journal of Safety and Environment， 2009, 19（6）：149153
[4］杜红兵，周心权，张敬宗. 高层建筑火灾风险的模糊综合评价［J］. 中国矿业大学学报，2002, 31（3）：242245 DU Hongbing, ZHOU Xinquan, ZHANG Jingai. Fuzzy synthetic evaluation for fire safety of highrise buildings［J］. Journal of China University of Mining & Technology， 2002, 31（3）：242245
[5］刘爱华，施式亮. 基于模糊模式识别的模糊综合评价在高层建筑火灾危险评价中的应用［J］. 中国安全科学学报， 2005,15（11）：103107 LIUAihua, SHI Shiliang. Application of the fuzzy recognition based fuzzy synthetic assessment to high building fire risk assessment［J］. China Safety Science Journal， 2005, 15（11）：103107
[6］李改. 高层建筑火灾烟气流动规律及烟气控制研究［D］. 合肥：安徽建筑工业学院，2010 LI Gai. A study on the smoke movement pattern and smoke control in highrise building fire［D］.Hefei：Anhui University of Architecture, 2010
[7］邓聚龙. 灰理论基础［M］. 武汉：华中科技大学出版社，2002
[8］张叶，何嘉鹏. 高层建筑火灾安全疏散二级灰关联评估［J］. 自然灾害学报. 2009，18（1）：2431 ZHANG Ye, HE Jiapeng. Twolevel grey relational evaluation of safe evacuation in highrise building fires. Journal of Natural Disasters. 2009, 18（1）：2431
[9］隋鹏程，陈宝智. 安全原理与事故预测［M］. 北京：冶金工业出版社, 1998:2027
[10］刘文军，何盼盼. 高层建筑火灾风险灰色关联评价浅析［J］. 科技信息, 2011（24）：298299 LIU Wenjun，HE Panpan. Fire safety gray relational evaluation for highrise buildings［J］. Science & Technology Information, 2011（24）：298299
[11］卢兆明，胡宝清，陆君安，等. 高层建筑火灾风险灰关联评估［J］. 武汉大学学报（工学版）. 2004, 37（5）：6266 LU Zhaoming, HU Baoqing, LU Junan, et al. Fire safety gray relational evaluation for existing buildings［J］. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University,2004, 37（5）：6266

相似文献/References:

[1]李红民.FTA在高层建筑防火安全管理中的运用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(4):153.
　LI Hong-min.Application of FTA in fire prevention management of high-rise building analysis[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2010,6(8):153.
[2]颜向农,肖国清,李思慧.火灾疏散中羊群效应的理论探析与模拟研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(4):46.
　YAN Xiang-nong,XIAO Guo-qing,LI Si-hui.Theoretical analysis and simulation study of herd behaviour in fire evacuation[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):46.
[3]张小良.起居室典型材料的火灾温度场实验研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(9):28.
　ZHANG Xiao-liagn.Test study on temperature field of typical materials in residential fire[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):28.
[4]沈一洲,朱国庆,黄丽丽,等.黄磷储罐火灾临界安全距离理论分析与数值模拟[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(10):27.
　SHEN Yi-zhou,ZHU Guo-qing,HUANG Li-li,et al.The Theory Analysis and Numerical Simulation on Critical Safety Distance of Yellow Phosphorus Tanks Fire[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):27.
[5]唐永,邢志祥.高层建筑火灾安全疏散研究述评[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(10):56.
　TANG Yong,XING Zhi-xiang.Review on study of evacuation?in high-rise?bulding fire[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):56.
[6]任常兴,张欣,张网,等.易燃易爆危险品道路运输火灾事故应急区域的确定方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(2):97.
　REN Chang xing,ZHANG Xin,ZHANG Wang,et al.Determination methods of emergency region for fire accident of flammable and explosive hazardous materialshazmats) in transportation by road[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):97.
[7]赵道亮.火灾与爆炸灾害控制课程建设与教学研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(11):82.
　ZHAO Dao-liang.Course construction and teaching research on control of fire and explosion calamity[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):82.
[8]张曦,姜丰.蒙德法在火电厂液氨储罐评价单元的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(2):189.
　ZHANG Xi,JIANG Feng.Application of ICI mond method in the ammonia storage tank unit of thermal power plant[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):189.
[9]周汝,何嘉鹏,蒋军成,等.高层建筑火灾时走廊-前室缓冲区效果数值模拟研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(12):51.
　ZHOU Ru,HE Jia-peng,JIANG Jun-cheng.Numerical simulation of corridor-atria buffer effect in high-rise building fires[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):51.
[10]刘云芬.高层建筑火灾风险的二级可变模糊评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(3):165.
　LIU Yun fen.Twolevel Variable fuzzy assessment of fire safety in highrise buildings[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):165.
[11]龙腾腾,王辉东,王秋华,等.高层建筑火灾事故致因理论模型构建研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(5):16.
　Long tengteng,Wang huidong,Wang qiuhua,et al.Research on model building with high-rise building fire accident-causing theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):16.
[12]郑〓亮.高层建筑防排烟设计初探[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(8):184.
　ZHENG Liang.Preliminary probe of antismoke’s design for high rise building[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):184.
[13]许小磊,何嘉鹏,周汝,等.排烟口布置方式对高层建筑火灾排烟效果的影响*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2009,5(5):18.
　XU Xiao lei,HE Jia peng,ZHOU Ru,et al.Smoke exhaust effect by different arrangement methods of smoke vent in highrise building fires[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2009,5(8):18.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
-
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-09-11