|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]郭恒,付元强,孙雁斌,等.海外石油工程公共安全风险预警方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(8):139-143.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.08.025]
　GUO Heng,FU Yuan-qiang,SUN Yan-bin,et al.Study on the early warning method for security risk in overseas petroleum projects[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(8):139-143.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.08.025]
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海外石油工程公共安全风险预警方法研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
10
期数:
2014年8期
页码:
139-143
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2014-08-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on the early warning method for security risk in overseas petroleum projects
作者:
郭恒; 付元强; 孙雁斌; 高东胜
(中国石化集团国际石油工程有限公司, 北京 100029)
Author(s):
GUO Heng;  FU Yuan-qiang;  SUN Yan-bin;  GAO Dong-sheng
(Sinopec international Petroleum Service Corporation, Beijing 100029, China)
关键词:
海外石油工程; 公共安全; 风险分析; 预警方法
Keywords:
overseas petroleum engineering;  security;  risk analysis;  the early warning method
分类号:
X937
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.08.025
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
近年来，我国海外石油工程项目蓬勃发展的同时，面临公共安全极大挑战。现阶段我国石油企业的公共安全风险管理体系不尽完善，此方面的研究重点主要集中在应急救援等领域，为了及时应对复杂多变的公共安全风险，开展公共安全风险预警研究有着重要的现实意义。综合考虑现阶段海外石油工程项目面临的公共安全风险现状，从社会安定、自然灾害、公共卫生、事故灾难和综合管理五个方面系统分析其存在的公共安全风险，借助层次分析法和模糊综合评判，建立并计算公共安全风险预警指标体系的标准权重，确定预警评判集，最终提出一种海外石油工程公共安全风险预警方法，并给出应用步骤。将该风险预警方法运用到非洲某国，结果显示，与实际高度吻合，具有实际应用价值。
Abstract:
In recent decades, more and more overseas petroleum projects are obtained and executed by our petroleum giants, who confront kinds of security challenges in different countries and districts, because of so much instabilities in both politic situation and society. As a result of uncomplete management systems for security risks, and most researchers emphasize on others aspects such as emergency rescues, so that, in order to deal with the complex and multivariate security risk, assure the safeties of both people and assets, and protect the interests in abroad, the paper chooses the early warning of the overseas security risks as the research target, which has an enormous reality meaning. Firstly, according to these security risks confronted by all the overseas petroleum projects at present, the paper analyzes all the security risks systematicall in the aspect of society stability, natural disaster, public sanitation, accidents as well as comprehensive management, gets the roots of them after absorbing so many raw materials collected from kinds of petroleum managers riched in the experience and management of overseas projects, then builds up the early warning index hierarcy that has two layers. Then, with the help of AHP and comprehensive fuzzy evaluation, calculating and standardizing the weights of all the early warning indexes, the early warning method targeted at the abroad security risksis obtained, when the fuzzy set for the early warning method is established.Finaly, the paper give out the application process and the new method is used in an African country. The analysis result is accorded with the present situation, so that the early warning method can effectively increases the accuracy for the early warning of security in this country, and possesses much more applicable value in the abroad petroleum projects.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
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更新日期/Last Update: 2014-09-26