|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]黄亮亮,姚安林,杨鲁明,等.基于T-S模糊故障树的输气站场设备失效可能性研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(8):144-149.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.08.026]
　HUANG Liang-liang,YAO An-lin,YANG Lu-ming,et al.Study on failure possibility of facilities in gas transmission station based on T-S fuzzy FTA[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(8):144-149.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.08.026]
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基于T-S模糊故障树的输气站场设备失效可能性研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
10
期数:
2014年8期
页码:
144-149
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2014-08-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on failure possibility of facilities in gas transmission station based on T-S fuzzy FTA
作者:
黄亮亮1; 姚安林1; 杨鲁明2; 蒋宏业1; 李又绿1
（1西南石油大学 石油工程学院，四川 成都 610500；2中国石油西气东输管道公司，上海 200122）
Author(s):
HUANG Liang-liang1;  YAO An-lin1;  YANG Lu-ming2;  JIANG Hong-ye1;  LI You-lv1
（1. College of Petroleum Engineering，Southwest Petroleum University，Chengdu Sichuan 610500，China; 2. PetroChina West to East Gas Pipeline Company，Shanghai 200122，China）
关键词:
输气站场; 设备失效; T-S模糊故障树; 指标评价; 网络层次分析法
Keywords:
gas transmission station;  facility failure;  TS fuzzy FTA;  index assessment;  ANP
分类号:
X924.2
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.08.026
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对目前国内缺乏输气站场设备失效数据库的特点，同时考虑到设备具有不同的故障程度，提出将指标评价引入至T-S模糊故障树分析中，对设备进行失效可能性分析。首先构建设备的T-S模糊故障树；其次对故障树底事件进行指标评价，转化成当前工况下的故障程度；再次对设备的故障可能性值进行计算；最后，利用模糊数学的方法将故障可能性值转化为失效概率，并参考API 581中的失效概率等级对设备进行失效可能性等级划分。实例分析表明，该方法不仅比传统故障树分析更切合实际，又能够避免指标评价法淡化关键指标的不足，且兼具定量评价与半定量评价的优点。
Abstract:
A method of TS fuzzy FTA with index assessment introduced was proposed to analyze failure possibility of facilities in gas transmission station, which aimed at the lack of facility failure database and meanwhile took different fault levels of facilities into consideration. Firstly, a fuzzy fault tree based on TS model of facility was structured. Then, the bottom events of fault tree were assessed through index assessment technique and converted into fault levels in current conditions. In addition, the value of fault possibility was calculated by TS fuzzy rules. At last, the value of fault possibility was transformed into failure rate through fuzzy mathematics method, and the level of facility failure probability was divided by referring to failure rate levels of API 581. The case analysis showed that this method is not only be more suitable to actual circumstances than traditional FTA, but also can avoid the phenomenon of weakening key indexes in index assessment method. And it has both the advantages of semiquantitive and quantitive assessment.

参考文献/References:

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相似文献/References:

[1]赵新好,姚安林,郭〓磊,等.基于AHP-熵权法的输气站场区块风险因素 权重确定方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(10):91.
　ZHAO Xin hao,YAO An lin,GUO Lei,et al.Study on determination of risk factors weight at process units in gas transmission station based on AHPentropy method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):91.
[2]郑明,姚安林,叶冲,等.基于RBI的输气站场分离器风险评估方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(6):120.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.06.023]
　ZHENG Ming,YAO An lin,YE Chong,et al.Study on risk assessment method of separator in gas station based on RBI[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(8):120.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.06.023]
[3]黄亮亮,姚安林,魏沁汝,等.基于RBI与多米诺效应的输气站场设备定量风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(5):90.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.015]
　HUANG Liangliang,YAO Anlin,WEI Qingru,et al.Quantitative risk assessment of facilities in gas transmission station based on RBI and domino effect[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(8):90.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.015]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家科技支撑计划项目（2011BAK06B01-11-01）；中国石油西气东输管道公司项目（XQSGPO362）
更新日期/Last Update: 2014-09-26