|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]刘纪坤,黄杰.煤矿领导者和监管者的行为决策演化博弈分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(3):100-105.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.015]
　LIU Jikun,HUANG Jie.Evolutionary game analysis on behavioral decision of coal mine leaders and supervisors[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(3):100-105.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.015]
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煤矿领导者和监管者的行为决策演化博弈分析*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
18
期数:
2022年3期
页码:
100-105
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2022-03-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Evolutionary game analysis on behavioral decision of coal mine leaders and supervisors
文章编号:
1673-193X(2022)-03-0100-06
作者:
刘纪坤; 黄杰
（西安科技大学 安全科学与工程学院，陕西 西安 710054）
Author(s):
LIU Jikun;  HUANG Jie
(School of Safety Science and Engineering,Xi’an University of Science and Technology,Xi’an Shaanxi 710054,China)
关键词:
行为决策; 煤矿企业; 安全管理; 安全投入; 演化博弈; 演化稳定策略（ESS）
Keywords:
behavioral decision;  coal mine enterprise;  safety management;  safety input;  evolutionary game;  evolutionary stability strategy (ESS)
分类号:
X936
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.015
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为完善煤矿企业内部安全监管体系，协调安全投入和监管的行为决策，对企业领导决策者和监督管理者的行为决策进行演化博弈分析。构建领导决策者和监督管理者的双群体演化博弈模型；根据博弈模型建立复制动态方程，通过雅可比矩阵对其进行局部稳定性分析并讨论系统的演化稳定策略（ESS）；应用数值模拟分析验证博弈模型和结论。结果表明：安全投入、监管处罚对于领导决策者和监督管理者的安全监管策略演化具有显著影响；事故发生率、监管成本等因素对于安全监管策略演化会产生影响。通过合理调整监管和处罚力度可以引导企业安全生产的策略选择，为企业安全管理工作提供理论指导。
Abstract:
In order to improve the interior safety supervision system of coal mine enterprises and coordinate the behavioral decision of safety input and supervision,the evolutionary game analysis was conducted on the behavioral decision of enterprise leading decision-maker and supervisor.A two-group evolutionary game model of leading decision-maker and supervisor was constructed.A copy dynamic equation was established according to the game model,then its local stability was analyzed and the evolutionary stability strategy (ESS) of the system was discussed by Jacobian matrix.The numerical simulation was applied to analyze and verify the game model and conclusions.The results showed that the safety input and supervision penalty had significant impact on the evolution of safety supervision strategies of leading decision-maker and supervisor.At the same time,the accident rate,supervision cost and other factors had a certain impact on the evolution of safety supervision strategy.The reasonable adjustment of supervision and severity of penalty could guide the strategy choice of enterprise work safety.It provides theoretical guidance for the safety management of enterprises.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2021-04-12
* 基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目(51404188);陕西省教育厅一般专项科学研究计划项目(20JK0773)
作者简介： 刘纪坤，博士，副教授，主要研究方向为矿山煤岩动力灾害预防及控制。
通信作者： 黄杰，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为煤矿安全管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-04-18