|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王国栋,颜爱华,侯蕊芳,等.城市安全风险评估方法体系研究及实践[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(7):46-50.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.07.007]
　WANG Guodong,YAN Aihua,HOU Ruifang,et al.Research and practice of urban safety risk assessment method system[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(7):46-50.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.07.007]
点击复制

城市安全风险评估方法体系研究及实践
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
15
期数:
2019年7期
页码:
46-50
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2019-07-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research and practice of urban safety risk assessment method system
文章编号:
1673-193X(2019)-07-0046-05
作者:
王国栋; 颜爱华; 侯蕊芳; 程斌斌; 杨洋; 郭书豪
（应急管理部研究中心，北京 100013）
Author(s):
WANG Guodong;  YAN Aihua;  HOU Ruifang;  CHENG Binbin;  YANG Yang;  GUO Shuhao
(China Center for Safety Research, MEM, Beijing 100013, China)
关键词:
安全风险; 城市安全; 风险评估; 企业; 六盘水
Keywords:
safety risk;  urban safety;  risk assessment;  enterprise;  Liupanshui
分类号:
X913
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.07.007
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对目前我国城市安全风险管控能力滞后于城市化发展进程的问题，开展城市安全风险评估是推动管控能力提升的重要手段。在国内没有统一的城市安全风险评估体系和标准情况下，研究提出以技术专家为支撑，政府、行业监管部门、企业3个层面协调推进为主体，试点先行、总结归纳、全面实施为路径的城市安全风险评估组织实施方式；总结提出以企业安全风险辨识评估为基础，采用层次分析法和综合模糊评价法进行叠加分析的城市安全风险评估方法体系；以贵州六盘水城市安全风险评估工作为实际应用，并基于相关评估成果研发城市安全风险管控系统和城市安全风险地图信息化平台，为我国进一步深化城市安全风险评估工作提供实践经验。
Abstract:
Under the background that the ability of urban safety risk management and control lags behind the urbanization development process in China, carrying out urban safety risk assessment is an important way to promote the improvement of urban safety management and control ability. In the absence of the unified urban safety risk assessment system and standards in China, an organization and implementation method of urban safety risk assessment was proposed, which was supported by the technical experts, took the coordinated promotion of three levels including the government, industry regulatory authorities and enterprises as the main body, and took the piloting first, summarizing and overall implementing as the route. A method system of urban safety risk assessment was put forward, which was based on the identification and evaluation of enterprise safety risk, and used the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the comprehensive fuzzy evaluation method to carry out the superposition analysis. The research results were practically applied in the urban safety risk assessment of Liupanshui, Guizhou province, and based on the relevant assessment achievements, an urban safety risk management and control system and an information platform of urban safety risk map were developed, which provides the practical experience to the further development of urban safety risk assessment in China.

参考文献/References:

［1］北京市应急管理局. 国务院安委会办公室关于印发标本兼治遏制重特大事故工作指南的通知［EB/OL］.(2017-07-03)［2019-07-18］.http://yjglj.beijing.gov.cn/art/2017/7/3/art_1865_142496.html.
［2］中华人民共和国中央人民政府. 国务院安委会办公室关于实施遏制重特大事故工作指南构建双重预防机制的意见［EB/OL］.(2016-10-11) ［2019-07-18］.http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2016-10/11/content_5117487.htm.
［3］中华人民共和国中央人民政府.中共中央办公厅 国务院办公厅印发《关于推进城市安全发展的意见》［EB/OL］.(2018-01-07)［2019-07-18］. http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2018-01/07/content_5254181.htm.
［4］魏利军.城市安全生产风险评估体系构建［J］.安全,2018,39(11):2-3,6. WEI Lijun. Construction of risk assessment system for city safety ［J］. Safety&Security, 2018,39（11）：2-3,6.
［5］常明亮,汪卫国,侯蕊芳,等.城市安全风险评估关键技术［J］.现代职业安全,2017(9):18-21. CHANG Mingliang, WANG Weiguo, HOU Ruifang,et al. Key technologies of city safety risk assessment［J］.Modern occupational safety, 2017（9）:18-21.
［6］杨国梁，多英全，王如君，等.事故灾难类城市安全风险评估基本原则与流程 ［J］.中国安全科学学报，2018，28（10）：156-161. YANG Guoliang, DUO Yingquan, WANG Rujun, et al. Research on basic principles and procedure for assessing urban accident disasters risk ［J］.China Safety Science Journal, 2018,28（10）：156-161.
［7］谢红利.上海城市安全生产风险指数评价及治理研究 ［D］ .上海：华东理工大学，2013.
［8］胡馨升.化工园区事故风险评估方法及应用研究［D］ .北京：中国矿业大学（北京），2018.
［9］孙华丽，项美康，薛耀锋.超大城市公共安全风险评估、归因与防范 ［J］.中国安全生产科学技术，2018，14（8）：141-147. SUN Huali,XIANG Meikang,XUE Yaofeng.Assessment attribution and prevention of public safety risk in megacity ［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2018,14（8）：141-147.
［10］黄弘，李瑞奇，范维澄，等.安全韧性城市特征分析及对雄安新区安全发展的启示［J］.中国安全生产科学技术，2018，14（7）：74-79. HUANG Hong，LI Ruiqi，FAN Weicheng，et al.Analysis on characteristics of safety resilient city and enlightenments for safe development of Xiongan New Area, ［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2018, 14（7）：74-79.
［11］刘裕，蔡诗琪，田欢.新时期城市安全风险防控实践探析——以成都为例 ［J］.安全，2019，40（2）：24-28. LIU Yu,CAI Shiqi,TIAN Huan.Practice and analysis of city risk management and control:Taking Chengdu as an example［J］. Safety&Security, 2019,40（2）:24-28.
［12］贾文梅.城市公共安全风险评估指标敏感性研究［D］.重庆：重庆大学， 2014.
［13］杜栋，庞庆华，吴炎.现代综合评价方法与案例精选［M］.北京：清华大学出版社，2008.
［14］张明智.模糊数学与军事决策［M］ .北京：国防大学出版社，1997.
［15］邓雪，李家铭，曾浩健，等.层次分析法权重计算方法分析及其应用研究［J］.数学的实践与认识，2012，42（7）：93-100. DENG Xue, LI Jiaming,ZENG Haojian，et al.Analytical hierarchy process weight calculating method and its application［J］. Mathematics practice and theory,2012,42（7）：93-100.

相似文献/References:

[1]倪永智.城市消防评价体系研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(4):108.
　NI Yong-zhi.The research of urban fire evaluation system[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(7):108.
[2]曹荣,苏永强.大型公用建筑项目安全风险“致因—承担”模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(3):65.
　CAO Rong,SU Yong-qiang.Study on safety risk "cause-responsibility" model of large public building projects[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2010,6(7):65.
[3]何沙,朱林,姬荣斌.海上钻井平台安全风险预警模型应用研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(4):148.
　HE Sha,CHEN Dong sheng,ZHU Lin,et al.Study on application of safety risk early warning model for offshore drilling platform[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(7):148.
[4]崔新辉.高压凝析气田气井安全控保系统设置[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(10):115.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.10.021]
　CUI Xin hui.Settings of safety control and protection system for gas well in high pressure condensate gas field[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(7):115.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.10.021]
[5]陈大川,刘翔,何蓓,等.长沙城际铁路隧道沿线砌体房屋安全风险研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(6):87.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.014]
　CHEN Da-chuan,LIU Xiang,HE Bei,et al.Research on safety risk of masonry structure buildings along tunnel of Changsha intercity railway[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(7):87.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.014]
[6]高扬,王向章.基于G1-DEMATEL法的通用航空维修安全影响因素研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(2):164.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2016.02.030]
　GAO Yang,WANG Xiangzhang.Research on influence factors of maintenance safety in general aviation based on G1-DEMATEL method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):164.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2016.02.030]
[7]李升友 杨国梁 多英全 王如君.安全系统思想内涵及其应用研究*——探讨用安全系统思想实现城市安全发展[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(7):145.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.07.026]
　LI Shengyou,YANG Guoliang,DUO Yingquan,et al.Study on connotation of safety system idea and its application -Discussion on implementing urban safety development with safety system idea[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):145.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.07.026]
[8]吴建军,金永兴,胡甚平,等.铝土矿海上运输安全风险研究综述[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(8):87.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.08.014]
　WU Jianjun,JIN Yongxing,HU Shenping,et al.Overview of safety risk research on marine transportation of bauxite[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(7):87.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.08.014]
[9]谢鹏,吕鹏飞.基于改进云模型-IAHP的涉爆粉尘企业安全风险评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(8):187.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.08.031]
　XIE Peng,LYU Pengfei.Assessment on safety risk of enterprises involved in explosive dust based on improved cloud model and IAHP[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(7):187.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.08.031]
[10]路亚彬,张新晓,马良俊,等.危险化学品装卸运输一体化安全风险预警平台设计与研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(5):179.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.05.029]
　LU Yabin,ZHANG Xinxiao,MA Liangjun,et al.Design and research of integrated safety risk early warning platform for hazardous chemicals handling and transportation[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(7):179.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.05.029]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2019-04-01
作者简介： 王国栋，硕士，工程师，主要研究方向为安全生产政策、规划、技术，煤炭行业政策与战略规划。
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-08-07