|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王威,周炳昊,郭千倩,等.基于模糊Petri网的韧性城市建设水平测度*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2026,22(2):209-212.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2026.02.026]
　WANG Wei,ZHOU Binghao,GUO Qianqian,et al.The construction level measurement of resilient city based on fuzzy petri net[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2026,22(2):209-212.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2026.02.026]
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基于模糊Petri网的韧性城市建设水平测度*()

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
22
期数:
2026年2期
页码:
209-212
栏目:
公共安全与应急管理
出版日期:
2026-02-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
The construction level measurement of resilient city based on fuzzy petri net
文章编号:
1673-193X(2026)-02-0209-10
作者:
王威; 周炳昊; 郭千倩; 夏陈红
（1.北京工业大学 建筑与城市规划学院，北京 100124；
2.北京工业大学 建筑工程学院，北京 100124）
Author(s):
WANG Wei;  ZHOU Binghao;  GUO Qianqian;  XIA Chenhong
（1.College of Architecture and Urban Planning,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China;
2.College of Architecture and Civil Engineering,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China）
关键词:
模糊Petri网; 韧性城市; 指标体系; 模糊推理
Keywords:
fuzzy petri nets;  resilience urban;  indicator system;  fuzzy inference
分类号:
X915
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2026.02.026
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对韧性城市建设水平测度中多指标不确定性强、要素间逻辑关系复杂及系统演化过程难以刻画的问题，提出1种基于模糊Petri网的动态测度方法。在压力—状态—响应（PSR）框架下构建韧性城市建设水平测度模型，引入岭形隶属函数刻画指标模糊性，并采用“OR”逻辑结构表征关键要素对系统韧性状态的主导作用，以北京市2010—2023年数据为例开展实证分析。研究结果表明：城市综合韧性水平整体呈波动上升趋势，测度值由2010年的5.708提升至2023年的6.874，达到Ⅳ级（较高韧性）。模型能够在保持演化趋势一致性的同时，突出系统薄弱环节并降低单一指标异常波动的影响，验证了其在韧性城市建设水平测度中的适用性与稳健性。研究结果可为韧性城市建设水平的动态测度、薄弱环节识别及相关治理决策提供方法支持与实践参考。
Abstract:
To address the challenges of strong uncertainty in multi-indicator measurement,complex logical relationships among elements,and difficulties in characterising system evolution in the assessment of urban resilience construction levels,a dynamic measurement method based on fuzzy Petri nets is proposed.Within the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) framework,a measurement model for urban resilience construction level is developed.Ridge shaped membership functions are introduced to represent indicator fuzziness,and an “OR” logical structure is employed to characterise the dominant roles of key elements in determining system resilience states.An empirical analysis is conducted using data from Beijing covering the period 2010 to 2023.The results show that the overall level of urban resilience exhibits a fluctuating upward trend,with the measurement value increasing from 5.708 in 2010 to 6.874 in 2023,reaching Level IV (relatively high resilience).The proposed model is able to maintain consistency in evolutionary trends while highlighting system weaknesses and reducing the influence of abnormal fluctuations in individual indicators,demonstrating its applicability and robustness in measuring urban resilience construction levels.These findings provide methodological support and practical reference for the dynamic assessment of urban resilience,identification of weak links,and related governance decision making.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2025-09-05
* 基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目(52278472)；北京市自然科学基金项目(8254041）；北京市社会科学基金重点项目（25BJ02042）；北京市博士后基金项目（Q6062000202402）
作者简介： 王威，博士，教授，主要研究方向为城乡安全与防灾减灾。
通信作者： 夏陈红，博士，助理研究员，主要研究方向为城乡安全防灾。
更新日期/Last Update: 2026-03-09