|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陆秋琴,王勃,黄光球.基于模糊Petri网的城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(9):182-188.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.09.030]
 LU Qiuqin,WANG Bo,HUANG Guangqiu.Assessment on emergency capability of urban sudden gas shortage based on fuzzy Petri net[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(9):182-188.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.09.030]
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基于模糊Petri网的城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
15
期数:
2019年9期
页码:
182-188
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2019-09-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Assessment on emergency capability of urban sudden gas shortage based on fuzzy Petri net
文章编号:
1673-193X(2019)-09-0182-07
作者:
陆秋琴王勃黄光球
(西安建筑科技大学 管理学院,陕西 西安 710055)
Author(s):
LU Qiuqin WANG Bo HUANG Guangqiu
(Management College,Xi’an University of Architecture & Technology,Xi’an Shaanxi 710055,China)
关键词:
突发性燃气短缺模糊Petri网应急能力指标体系
Keywords:
sudden gas shortage fuzzy Petri net emergency capability index system
分类号:
X913
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.09.030
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了有效地降低在城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估过程中应急能力影响因素的不确定性和模糊性对评估结果的影响,提出基于模糊Petri网的城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估方法。通过分析城市突发性燃气短缺应急事前-事中-事后过程的影响因素,根据评估准则构建出1个包括5个二级指标和26个三级指标的应急能力评估指标体系;针对评估指标体系复杂且变迁的权重值缺乏客观性等问题,引入模糊推理算子与层次分析法,采取定性与定量相结合的方法对评估体系进行应急能力评估。实例仿真结果表明,与传统的评估方法相比,利用模糊Petri网对应急能力评估的结果更加准确和科学。
Abstract:
In order to effectively reduce the influence by the uncertainty and fuzziness of the influence factors of emergency capability on the assessment results in the assessment process on the emergency capability of urban sudden gas shortage,an assessment method for the emergency capability of urban sudden gas shortage based on fuzzy Petri net was proposed.Through analyzing the influence factors in the beforehandemergencyafterwards process of urban sudden gas shortage,an index system of emergency capability assessment was constructed according to the assessment criteria,which included 5 secondary indexes and 26 threelevel indexes.Aiming at the problems that the assessment index system was complex and the transitionary weight values lacked the objectivity,the emergency capability assessment on the assessment system was carried out by using the combined qualitative and quantitative methods with introducing into the fuzzy inference operators and analytic hierarchy process method.The results of case simulation showed that compared with the traditional assessment methods,the results of emergency capability assessment by using the fuzzy Petri net were more accurate and scientific.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2019-06-25
* 基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(71874134);陕西省社会科学基金项目(2018S49);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(15YJA910002);陕西省教育厅哲学社会科学重点研究计划项目(18JZ036)
作者简介: 陆秋琴,博士,教授,主要研究方向为灾害与应急管理等。
通信作者: 王勃,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为应急管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-10-15