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[1]李璎珂,刘振翼,李舒泓,等.基于Stackelberg博弈的应急物资政企协同储备决策模型*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(6):33-39.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.06.005]
　LI Yingke,LIU Zhenyi,LI Shuhong,et al.Government-enterprise collaborative reserve decision-making model of emergency supplies based on Stackelberg game[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2023,19(6):33-39.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.06.005]
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基于Stackelberg博弈的应急物资政企协同储备决策模型*

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
19
期数:
2023年6期
页码:
33-39
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2023-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Government-enterprise collaborative reserve decision-making model of emergency supplies based on Stackelberg game
文章编号:
1673-193X(2023)-06-0033-07
作者:
李璎珂; 刘振翼; 李舒泓; 杨军; 周轶; 张鹏; 时德轶
（1.北京理工大学 爆炸科学与技术国家重点实验室,北京 100081；
2.北京市应急管理科学技术研究院，北京 101101)
Author(s):
LI Yingke;  LIU Zhenyi;  LI Shuhong;  YANG Jun;  ZHOU Yi;  ZHANG Peng;  SHI Deyi
(1.State Key Laboratory of Explosion Science and Technology,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China;
2.Beijing Academy of Emergency Management Science and Technology,Beijing 101101,China)
关键词:
应急物资; 概率分布函数; 协同储备; Stackelberg博弈
Keywords:
emergency supplies;  probability distribution function;  collaborative reserve;  Stackelberg game
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.06.005
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了解决灾前应急物资协同储备量及储备方式的决策问题，构建基于Stackelberg博弈的应急物资政企协同储备决策模型，探究物资需求概率分布函数为均匀分布、广义帕累托分布的条件下，政府实物储备、企业实物储备、企业生产能力储备的最优储备量。以洪涝灾害物资的储备为背景设计案例情景，采用MATLAB软件对算例进行求解和敏感性分析。研究结果表明：对于政府的不同储备决策，均存在1个使利益最大化的最优储备量，政府的最优决策受到灾害发生概率、单位物资残值、企业单位物资使用补贴、企业单位物资代储收入、灾害前物资单价、政府单位物资储存成本、灾害后市场单价等关键参数的影响。研究结果可为政府决策应急物资储备数量、优化储备结构以及鼓励企业合作储备提供参考。
Abstract:
In order to solve the decision-making problem of collaborative reserve quantity and reserve mode of emergency supplies before disaster,a decision-making model for the collaborative reserve of emergency supplies between government and enterprises based on Stackelberg game was constructed.Under the condition that the probability distribution function of emergency supplies demand was uniform distribution and generalized Pareto distribution,the optimal reserve quantities of government physical reserve,enterprise agreement physical reserve and enterprise production capacity reserve were explored.The case scenario was designed with the background of flood disaster supplies reserve,and the MATLAB software was used to solve the case and analyze the sensitivity.The results showed that there is an optimal reserve quantity to maximize the revenue for different government reserve decisions,and the government’s optimal decision is affected by key parameters such as the probability of disaster,residual value of unit supplies,unit supplies use subsidy of enterprise,unit supplies storage income of enterprise,unit price of supplies before disaster,unit supplies storage cost of government,unit price of post-disaster supplies.The research results can provide reference for the government to make decisions on the quantity of emergency supplies reserve,optimize the reserve structure and encourage enterprises to cooperate in reserve.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2023-02-14
* 基金项目： 北京市科技计划项目(Z201100008120008)
作者简介： 李璎珂，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为安全监控与事故再现。
通信作者： 刘振翼，博士，副教授，主要研究方向为爆炸安全、系统安全。
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-07-09