|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]郭庆妮,邓顺熙,江鸿宾,等.基于TZS法分析天然气管道运输的个人风险[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(11):113.
　GUO Qing ni,DENG Shun xi,JIANG Hong bin,et al.Assessment of individual risk for transmission pipeline carrying natural gas based on TZS method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(11):113.
点击复制

基于TZS法分析天然气管道运输的个人风险
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
8
期数:
2012年11期
页码:
113
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Assessment of individual risk for transmission pipeline carrying natural gas based on TZS method
作者:
郭庆妮1; 邓顺熙1; 江鸿宾1; 邱兆文1; 2
（1.长安大学 环境科学与工程学院，西安〓710064) (2.长安大学 汽车学院， 西安〓710064）
Author(s):
GUO Qing ni 1;  DENG Shun xi 1;  JIANG Hong bin 1;  QIU Zhao wen 1; 2
(1. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China) (2. School of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)
关键词:
天然气管道; 定量风险评估; 个人风险; TZS法; 靖西线
Keywords:
natural gas pipeline;  quantitative risk assessment;  individual risk;  TZS method;  Jingbian Xi’an natural gas pipeline
分类号:
：X937
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
采用TZS法，对天然气管道运输潜在的个人风险进行定量评估，分析过程中引入致死长度来表征天然气管道运输对位于某一特定点的人造成的危险程度，评估结果用风险廓线来表达。以靖边-西安天然气输送工程为实例进行风险计算，结果表明：靖西线的安边到赵家口段，距天然气管道60m处的个人风险值在137×10-5-338×10-51/a之间，处于风险合理可接受区域。其中，由外部干扰导致的个人风险值在710×10-6-180×10-51/a之间，约占总个人风险值的1/2，说明外部干扰是引发该段天然气管道运输风险的主要原因。研究结果为靖西线的安全管理及现有管线的调整提供科学依据
Abstract:
A quantitative assessment of potential individual risk for transmission pipeline carrying natural gas was conducted by TZS method. Fatal length was introduced to describe the individual risk at a specified location along a pipeline. The individual risk was usually expressed with a risk contour plot. The individual risk for Jingbian Xi'an natural gas pipeline was analyzed. The calculation result showed: The individual risk is 137×10-5-338×10-51/a for the people who located 60 meters away from the Anbian Zhao Jiakou natural gas pipeline, which is acceptable for most people reasonably. Also, the risk caused by external interference is 710×10-6-180×10-51/a, accounting for half of the total risk. It means that external interference is the dominate factor of the risk for natural gas pipeline transmission. The result can be useful for safety management of Jing Xi natural gas transmission pipeline and the modification of a buried pipeline.

参考文献/References:

-

相似文献/References:

[1]宋祎昕,姚安林,蒋宏业,等.天然气管道水平定向钻穿越事故及其后果分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(4):118.
　Song Yi-xin,Yao An-lin,Jiang Hong-ye,et al.Analysis of Accidents and the Results During Natural Gas Pipeline Horizontal Directed Drilling[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(11):118.
[2]李朝阳,马贵阳,徐柳.架空及埋地天然气管道泄漏扩散数值研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(7):66.
　LI Zhao-yang,MA Gui-yang,XU Liu.The numerical study of the diffusion concentration on buried and Overhead[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(11):66.
[3]王文和,徐志胜,易俊,等.天然气管道泄漏火球事故后果模拟评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(1):18.
　WANG Wen-he,XU Zhi-sheng,YI Jun,et al.Consequences evaluation of fireball accidents made by leakage of natural gas pipelines[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(11):18.
[4]刘国志,彭英伟,伍东,等.天然气管道完整性管理探析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(4):136.
　LIU Guo zhi,PENG Ying wei,WU Dong,et al.Analysis on integrity management of natural gas pipelines[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(11):136.
[5]吕〓奎,何华刚,王耀琪.天然气管道应急体系网络结构优化分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(9):71.
　LV Kui,HE Hua gang,WANG Yao qi.Optimal analysis on network structure for emergency system of natural gas pipeline[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(11):71.
[6]晏玉婷,张赫然,李俊明,等.中压天然气管道泄漏扩散模拟研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(5):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.001]
　YAN Yuting,ZHANG Heran,LI Junming,et al.Simulations on diffusion of natural gas in the soil for medium-pressure gas pipeline leak[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(11):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.001]
[7]佟淑娇,郑伟,宋存义.天然气管道工程风险对策研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2009,5(6):142.
　TONG Shu jiao,ZHENG Wei,SONG Cun yi.Risk strategy of natural gas pipeline construction studies[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2009,5(11):142.
[8]廖苏亮,韩力,刘鑫鹏,等.液化天然气加注船安全定量风险分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(11):187.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.11.032]
　LIAO Su-liang,HAN Li,LIU Xin-peng,et al.Study on quantitative risk analysis for safety of LNG fueling vessel[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(11):187.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.11.032]
[9]关丽,刘德俊,周志强.天然气管道泄漏爆炸实验分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(12):40.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.12.007]
　GUAN Li,LIU De-jun,ZHOU Zhi-qiang.Experimental analysis on leakage and explosion of natural gas pipeline[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(11):40.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.12.007]
[10]范晓勇,淡勇,高勇,等.天然气管道局部等效应力及塑性变形评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(8):135.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.023]
　FAN Xiaoyong,DAN Yong,GAO Yong,et al.Evaluation on local equivalent stress and plastic deformation for natural gas pipeline[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(11):135.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.023]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
-
更新日期/Last Update: 2012-11-30