|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]姜福川,安泽文.矿工不安全行为的5M传播模型研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(11):86-92.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.11.012]
 JIANG Fuchuan,AN Zewen.Research on 5M propagation model for unsafe behavior of miners[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(11):86-92.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.11.012]
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矿工不安全行为的5M传播模型研究*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
19
期数:
2023年11期
页码:
86-92
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2023-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on 5M propagation model for unsafe behavior of miners
文章编号:
1673-193X(2023)-11-0086-07
作者:
姜福川安泽文
(1.辽宁工程技术大学 安全科学与工程学院,辽宁 葫芦岛 125105;
2.辽宁工程技术大学 矿山热动力灾害与防治教育部重点实验室,辽宁 葫芦岛 125105)
Author(s):
JIANG Fuchuan AN Zewen
(1.College of Safety Science and Engineering,Liaoning Technical University,Huludao Liaoning 125105,China;
2.Key Laboratory of Mine Thermodynamic Disasters and Control of Ministry of Education,Liaoning Technical University,Huludao Liaoning 125105,China)
关键词:
安全工程矿工不安全行为传播过程5M模型
Keywords:
safety engineering miner unsafe behavior propagation process 5M model
分类号:
X936
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.11.012
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为研究矿工间不安全行为的传播机制并有效控制矿工的不安全行为,基于传播动力学理论,构建矿工不安全行为5M(M1-M2-M3-M4-M5)传播模型。设定矿工不安全行为的传播途径、时间周期、初始参数等,模拟不同矿工状态之间的动态转化关系;研究不同转化率对矿工不安全行为传播过程的影响和系统稳态下的最优转化率。研究结果表明:5M传播模型能够客观反映矿工不安全行为的传播过程,恶化率、整改率和遗忘率的提高可导致不安全行为的传播,提高管控率、矫正率和醒悟率可抑制不安全行为的传播,最终得到系统稳态下的最优转化率。研究结果可为预测和控制矿工间不安全行为的传播提供1种新的思路。
Abstract:
In order to study the propagation mechanism of unsafe behavior among miners and effectively control the unsafe behavior of miners,a 5M (M1-M2-M3-M4-M5) propagation model of unsafe behavior of miners was constructed based on the propagation dynamics theory.The propagation path,time period,and initial parameters of unsafe behavior of miners were set,and the dynamic transformation relationship between different miners’ states was simulated.The influence of different conversion rates on the propagation process of unsafe behavior of miners and the optimal conversion rate under the system steady-state were studied.The results show that the 5M propagation model can objectively reflect the propagation process of unsafe behaviors of miners,increasing the deterioration rate,rectification rate and forgetting rate will lead to the propagation of unsafe behavior,and increasing the control rate,correction rate and awareness rate can inhibit the propagation of unsafe behavior,thus finally obtain the optimal conversion rate under system steady-state.The results can provide a new idea for predicting and controlling the propagation of unsafe behavior among miners.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2023-06-08
* 基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(51674127)
作者简介: 姜福川,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为安全经济、安全管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-12-06