|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]戴剑勇,刘朝,毛佳志,等.基于SEIR的应急物流网络风险传播动力学分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(5):37-43.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.05.005]
　DAI Jianyong,LIU Chao,MAO Jiazhi,et al.Dynamic analysis of risk propagation in emergency logistics network based on SEIR[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(5):37-43.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.05.005]
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基于SEIR的应急物流网络风险传播动力学分析*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
19
期数:
2023年5期
页码:
37-43
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2023-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Dynamic analysis of risk propagation in emergency logistics network based on SEIR
文章编号:
1673-193X(2023)-05-0037-07
作者:
戴剑勇; 刘朝; 毛佳志; 甘美艳
（1.南华大学 资源环境与安全工程学院，湖南 衡阳 421001；
2.核设施应急安全作业技术与装备湖南省重点实验室，湖南 衡阳 421001）
Author(s):
DAI Jianyong;  LIU Chao;  MAO Jiazhi;  GAN Meiyan
(1.School of Resource Environment and Safety Engineering,University of South China,Hengyang Hunan 421001,China;
2.Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Emergency Safety Technology and Equipment for Nuclear Facilities,Hengyang Hunan 421001,China)
关键词:
应急物流; 复杂网络; 风险传播; SEIR模型
Keywords:
emergency logistics;  complex network;  risk propagation;  susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) model
分类号:
X951
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.05.005
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为研究应急物流网络风险传播机制，基于复杂网络理论，选取节点物资可靠性和节点补给等级作为节点择优连接的测量指标，以此构建应急物流网络；并基于病毒传播机理提出1种易感-潜伏-感染-恢复（susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered，SEIR）风险传播模型，将其应用于应急物流网络中的风险传播特性分析。研究结果表明：应急物流网络具有无标度特性和小世界特性；SEIR模型能有效刻画风险在应急物流网络中的传播过程；风险的传播受风险感染等级、物资供需点储备差异以及应急物流响应机制的制约。研究结果可为应急物资调度风险管控提供理论支持。
Abstract:
In order to study the risk propagation mechanism of emergency logistics network,based on the complex network theory,the grades of node material reliability and node supply were selected as the measurement indicators of node optimal connection,so as to build the emergency logistics network.A susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) risk propagation model based on the virus propagation mechanism was proposed and applied to the analysis of risk propagation characteristics in emergency logistics network.The results showed that the emergency logistics network has the scale-free characteristics and small-world characteristics.SEIR model can effectively describe the risk propagation process in the emergency logistics network.The propagation of risk is restricted by the grade of risk infection,the difference between supply and demand nodes and the emergency logistics response mechanism.The research results can provide theoretical support for risk management and control of emergency material dispatching.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2022-10-06
* 基金项目： 湖南省教育厅重点资助科研项目(18A235)
作者简介： 戴剑勇，博士，教授，主要研究方向为安全系统工程与风险管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-06-12