|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王双燕,邓云峰,柯霄.基于多智能体建模方法的人群应急疏散模型构建研究——以腾龙芳烃（漳州）有限公司“4·6”爆炸着火重大事故疏散为例*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(11):10-16.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.11.002]
　WANG Shuangyan,DENG Yunfeng,KE Xiao.Research on building of crowd emergency evacuation model based on multi-agent modeling method——taking “4·6”explosion of Tenglong Aromatic Hydrocarbon (Zhangzhou) Co., Ltd.as an example[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2021,17(11):10-16.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.11.002]
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基于多智能体建模方法的人群应急疏散模型构建研究——以腾龙芳烃（漳州）有限公司“4·6”爆炸着火重大事故疏散为例*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
17
期数:
2021年11期
页码:
10-16
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2021-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on building of crowd emergency evacuation model based on multi-agent modeling method——taking “4·6”explosion of Tenglong Aromatic Hydrocarbon (Zhangzhou) Co., Ltd.as an example
文章编号:
1673-193X(2021)-11-0010-07
作者:
王双燕; 邓云峰; 柯霄
(1.中共中央党校（国家行政学院），北京 100091；
2.长江生态环保集团有限公司，湖北 武汉 430000）
Author(s):
WANG Shuangyan;  DENG Yunfeng;  KE Xiao
(1.Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C National Academy of Governance,Beijing 100091,China;
2.Yangtze Ecology and Environment Co.,Ltd.,Wuhan Hubei 430000,China)
关键词:
应急疏散; 模型模拟; 疏散路网; 疏散行为
Keywords:
emergency evacuation;  model simulation;  evacuation road network;  evacuation behavior
分类号:
X915.2
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.11.002
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为从更微观角度分析人群疏散过程中疏散行为及路网设计对疏散效果的影响，基于腾龙芳烃（漳州）有限公司“4·6”爆炸着火重大事故，构建多智能体人群应急疏散模型，模拟人群中个体群组、惯性、就近、从众、信息传播的行为决策及相互交互影响。结果表明：群组行为会严重影响应急疏散效果，在疏散路网两端避难所附近会出现明显拥堵现象，在疏散路网设计和避难所选择时，应尽可能避免出现极端汇流路段或节点；在应急培训中，应告知群众减少群组行为。研究结果可为人群应急疏散提供借鉴。
Abstract:
To analyze the influence of evacuation behavior and road network design on the evacuation effect in the crowd evacuation process from the more microcosmic perspective,a multi-agent crowd emergency evacuation model based on the “4·6”explosion of Tenglong Aromatic Hydrocarbon (Zhangzhou) Co.,Ltd.was constructed to simulate the behavioral decision-making and mutual interaction of individual group,inertia,proximity,herd and information propagation in the crowd.The results showed that the grouping behavior would seriously affect the emergency evacuation effect,and the obvious congestion phenomenon would occur near the shelters at both ends of the evacuation road network.When designing the evacuation road network and selecting the shelters,the extreme confluence sections or nodes should be avoided as much as possible.In the emergency training,the people should be informed to reduce the grouping behavior.The research results can provide a reference for the crowd emergency evacuation.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2021-07-17
* 基金项目： 国家重点研发计划项目（2018YFC0810606）
作者简介： 王双燕，博士，讲师，主要研究方向为公共安全与应急管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-12-08