|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]昌伟伟,吴兵.博弈论在预防化工园区事故多米诺效应中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(12):162-166.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.025]
　CHANG Weiwei,WU Bing.Application of game theory in preventing domino effect of accidents in chemical industry park[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(12):162-166.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.025]
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博弈论在预防化工园区事故多米诺效应中的应用
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
13
期数:
2017年12期
页码:
162-166
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2017-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Application of game theory in preventing domino effect of accidents in chemical industry park
文章编号:
1673-193X(2017)-12-0162-05
作者:
昌伟伟; 吴兵
（中国矿业大学（北京） 资源与安全工程学院， 北京 100083）
Author(s):
CHANG Weiwei;  WU Bing
(College of Resources and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China)
关键词:
博弈论; 化工园区; 事故; 多米诺效应; 安全投入
Keywords:
game theory;  chemical industry park;  accident;  domino effect
分类号:
X937
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.025
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对化工园区内各单元不愿意为预防相邻单元事故多米诺效应进行安全投入的问题，提出采用博弈论分析化工园区内各单元预防事故多米诺效应的投入意愿，将化工园区内2个相邻单元预防事故多米诺效应的关系定义为2人博弈的过程，构建2人博弈的支付函数与支付矩阵，讨论不同参数情形下的纳什均衡点，将实际均衡点与理想均衡点进行比较，判断园区管理者或政府机构是否应当采取相关措施。结果表明：实际化工园区所处的博弈情形与各单元均选择为预防园区事故多米诺效应的投入值有关，不同取值范围的纳什均衡点不同，园区管理者根据均衡点的不同选择相应措施。
Abstract:
Aiming at the problem that each unit in the chemical industry park does not like to carry out the safety input for preventing the domino effect of accident in the adjacent units, it was put forward to analyze the input intention of each unit in the chemical industry park to prevent the domino effect of accident by using the game theory. The relationship between two adjacent units in the chemical industry park to prevent the domino effect of accident was defined as the two-person game process, and the payment function and payment matrix of the two-person game were constructed. The Nash equilibrium points under different parameters were discussed, and the actual equilibrium points were compared with the ideal equilibrium points, so as to determine whether the park managers or government agencies should take the relevant measures. The results showed that the game situation of the actual chemical industrial park was related to the input value of each unit in the prevention of the domino effect of accident, and the Nash equilibrium points in different ranges of value were different, so the park manager should choose the corresponding measures according to the different equilibrium points.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0801800，2016YFC 0801803)
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-01-29