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[1]陈轶俊,刘敦文,朱鼎耀,等.基于云模型的舰艇弹药库房综合安全评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(2):138-144.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.02.023]
　CHEN Yi-jun,LIU Dun-wen,ZHU Ding-yao,et al.Comprehensive safety evaluation of ship ammunition depot based on cloud model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(2):138-144.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.02.023]
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基于云模型的舰艇弹药库房综合安全评价
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
11
期数:
2015年2期
页码:
138-144
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2015-02-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Comprehensive safety evaluation of ship ammunition depot based on cloud model
作者:
陈轶俊1; 2; 刘敦文1; 朱鼎耀1; 郑荣凯1; 3; 冯宝俊1; 倪亚3
1.中南大学 资源与安全工程学院，湖南 长沙410083；2.中国人民解放军92830部队，海南 海口570100；3.中国人民解放军73096部队，江苏 南京210059)
Author(s):
CHEN Yi-jun1; 2;  LIU Dun-wen1;  ZHU Ding-yao1;  ZHENG Rong-kai1; 3;  FENG Bao-jun1;  NI Ya3
（1. School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha Hunan 410083, China； 2. 92830 Unit of People's Liberation Army, Haikou Hainan 570100, China; 3. 73096 Unit of People's Liberation Army, Nanjing Jiangsu 210059, China）
关键词:
安全工程; 舰艇弹药库房; 云模型; 安全评价; 正向云发生器
Keywords:
safety engineering;  ship ammunition depot;  cloud model;  safety evaluation;  forward normal cloud generator
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.02.023
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为解决弹药库房安全评价过程中的定量描述与定性概念转换问题，基于云模型理论，选取人为、技术、物质、管理、作业及设备等五个方面作为安全评价因素，建立舰艇弹药库房安全评价指标体系。以某舰艇弹药库房为例，把各因素评语集转换为评语云模型。将专家打分的结果通过逆向云发生器生成云模型的数字特征，利用正向云发生器生成管理因素的综合云图以及弹药库房整体评价云图。算例的结果表明该方法能够更为直观、灵活地反映二级因素对一级因素的影响，并准确地确定整体安全综合评价等级，符合实际情况。
Abstract:
In order to solve the problems of the quantitative description and qualitative concept transformation which exist in the process of safety evaluation on ship ammunition depot, an index system for safety evaluation on ship ammunition depot was established based on cloud model theory, with the human behavior, technology, material, management, operation and equipment as the factors of safety evaluation. Taking a certain ship ammunition depot as example, the comment set of each factor was converted into comment cloud models. The marking results of experts were transformed into the numerical characteristics of cloud model by the backward cloud generator, and the comprehensive cloud picture of management factors and the whole evaluation cloud picture of ammunition depot were produced by the forward normal cloud generator. It showed that the method can reflect the influence on the primary factors by the secondary factors more intuitively and flexibly, and determine the whole safety comprehensive evaluation level accurately, making the theory model tally with the actual situation.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
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更新日期/Last Update: 2015-02-28