|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]尤亚云,李强,李金梅,等.基于贝叶斯网络的消防协同治理影响因素研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(4):237-242.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.04.034]
　YOU Yayun,LI Qiang,LI Jinmei,et al.Study on influencing factors of collaborative governance of fire protection based on Bayesian network[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(4):237-242.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.04.034]
点击复制

基于贝叶斯网络的消防协同治理影响因素研究*
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
18
期数:
2022年4期
页码:
237-242
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2022-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on influencing factors of collaborative governance of fire protection based on Bayesian network
文章编号:
1673-193X(2022)-04-0238-06
作者:
尤亚云; 李强; 李金梅; 李红钢
（中国人民警察大学 防火工程学院，河北 廊坊 065000）
Author(s):
YOU Yayun;  LI Qiang;  LI Jinmei;  LI Honggang
(School of Fire Protection Engineering,China People’s Police University,Langfang Hebei 065000,China)
关键词:
协同治理; 多元主体; 贝叶斯网络; 消防管理; Netica
Keywords:
collaborative governance;  multiple subjects;  Bayesian network;  fire management;  Netica
分类号:
X921
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.04.034
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为有效提升消防安全协同治理的效能，在识别和量化政府部门、企业和公民社会消防协同治理的影响因素的基础上，分别构建政府部门、企业和公民社会影响因素的贝叶斯网络模型，辨识影响实现高效消防协同治理的关键因素。研究结果表明：部门的权力与利益、有效领导和组织激励3个因素对政府消防协同治理影响最为显著；交流沟通和参与渠道分别是影响企业和公民社会的关键因素，并且基于全局贝叶斯网络模型的敏感性分析可知，政府部门是整体消防协同治理的核心，调节相关部门的权力与利益和具备有效领导的能力能有效提高政府消防协同治理水平，明显改善整体消防协同治理效能。
Abstract:
In order to effectively enhance the effectiveness in the collaborative governance of fire protection safety,on the basis of the identification and quantification on the influencing factors of collaborative governance of fire protection among government departments,enterprises and civil society,the Bayesian network models on the influencing factors of government departments,enterprises and civil society were constructed respectively,and the key factors affecting the efficient collaborative governance of fire protection were identified.The results showed that three factors of departmental power and interests,effective leadership and organizational motivation had the most significant influence on the collaborative governance of fire protection in government.The communication and participation channels were the key factors influencing the enterprises and civil society,respectively.Through the sensitivity analysis based on the global Bayesian network model,it could be concluded that the government departments were the core of overall collaborative governance of fire protection,and regulating the power and interests of relevant departments and owning the ability of effective leadership could effectively improve the government’s collaborative governance level of fire protection,and obviously improve the overall efficiency of the collaborative governance of fire protection.

参考文献/References:

［1］张国庆,王伟,杨君涛,等.超大型城市群消防协同治理需求分析与体系构建［J］.武警学院学报,2020,36(10):26-31. ZHANG Guoqing,WANG Wei,YANG Juntao,et al.Governance demand analysis and system construction of fire fighting for urban agglomeration［J］.Journal of The Armed Police Academy,2020,36(10):26-31.
［2］岳清春,潘伟烽.我国消防协同应急问题研究［J］.消防科学与技术,2018,37(12):1739-1742. YUE Qingchun,PAN Weifeng.Study of collaborative emergency problems based on fire fighting forces ［J］.Fire Science and Technology,2018,37(12):1739-1742.
［3］曹刚.廓清建设工程消防审批与监督检查的权力边界［J］.建筑,2020(10):14-16.
［4］韩伊静.多元主体参与地方综合减灾的协同治理机制研究［J］.哈尔滨学院学报,2017,38(12):36-40. HAN Yijing.The collaborative governance mechanism of multiple subjects participating the local comprehensive disaster reduction ［J］.Journal of Harbin University,,2017,38(12):36-40.
［5］顾正军.新消防法体系下消防监督管理相关问题探讨［J］.法制与社会,2021(9):143-144.
［6］何旭,成希,伍林虹,等.国家应急信息管理机制建设问题研究［J］.现代商贸工业,2020,41(28):28-30.
［7］张智新,孙严.公共危机中多元主体协同治理机制探究——以北京市“11·18”火灾为例［J］.行政管理改革,2019(4):77-83. ZHANG Zhixin,Sun Yan.Research on the governance mechanism of multi-subject coordination in public crisis—A case study on “11.18” fire in Beijing ［J］.Administration Reform,2019(4):77-83.
［8］兰旭凌.风险社会中的社区智慧治理:动因分析、价值场景和系统变革［J］.中国行政管理,2019(1):140-145. LAN Xuling.Smart community governance in risk society:motivation analysis,value scene and system transformation ［J］.Chinese Public Administration,2019(1):140-145.
［9］邢宇宙.协同治理视角下我国社会组织参与灾害救援的实现机制［J］.行政管理改革,2017(8):59-63.
［10］赖先进.论政府跨部门协同治理［M］.北京：北京大学出版社,2015.
［11］龚立群,高琳.跨部门政府信息资源共享影响因素的实证研究［J］.情报资料工作,2012(4):61-65. GONG Liqun,GAO Lin.Influencing factors of cross-department government information resource sharing as view from a positivist perspective ［J］.Information and Documentation Services,2012(4):61-65.
［12］ZHANG J,DAWES S S,SARKIS J.Exploring stakeholders’ expectations of the benefits and barriers of e—government knowledge sharing［J］.Journal of Enterprise Information Management,2005,18:548-567.
［13］吴志敏.城市公共危机治理下公众主动参与有效性研究——基于协同治理视角［J］.学术界,2018(2):159-169,287. WU Zhimin.Research on the model and validity of citizens’ active participation under the urban public crisis governance-In the perspective of collaborative governance ［J］.Academics,2018(2):159-169,287.
［14］邱玉婷.社会组织与政府协同治理相对贫困的行动策略——以2020年后巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果为视角［J］.广西社会科学,2021(4):11-16.
［15］黄金,赵淼.基于贝叶斯网络的隧道围岩失稳风险分析［J］.西安建筑科技大学学报(自然科学版),2019,51(4):545-550. HUANG Jin,ZHAO Miao.Risk analysis of tunnel surrounding rock based on Bayesian network ［J］.Journal of Xi’an University of Architecture & Technology(Natural Science Edition),2019,51(4):545-550.

相似文献/References:

[1]刘素霞,杜江霞,梅强,等.中小企业安全生产协同治理路径与机制*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(11):49.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.11.007]
　LIU Suxia,DU Jiangxia,MEI Qiang,et al.Cooperative governance path and mechanism of work safety of small and medium-sized enterprises[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(4):49.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.11.007]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2021-07-07
* 基金项目： 国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFC0833402)；中国人民警察大学校级科研重点专项课题（ZDZX202005）
作者简介： 尤亚云，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为消防安全，多元主体协同治理。
通信作者： 李强，博士，教授，主要研究方向为公共安全管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-05-13