|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王军武,潘子瑶,王靖,等.基于STPA和模糊BN的装配式建筑吊装施工安全风险分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(4):12-19.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.04.002]
　WANG Junwu,PAN Ziyao,WANG Jing,et al.Safety risk analysis on hoisting construction of prefabricated building based on STPA and fuzzy BN[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(4):12-19.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.04.002]
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基于STPA和模糊BN的装配式建筑吊装施工安全风险分析*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
18
期数:
2022年4期
页码:
12-19
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2022-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Safety risk analysis on hoisting construction of prefabricated building based on STPA and fuzzy BN
文章编号:
1673-193X(2022)-04-0012-08
作者:
王军武; 潘子瑶; 王靖; 田梦圆; 刘森
（武汉理工大学 土木工程与建筑学院，湖北 武汉 430070）
Author(s):
WANG Junwu;  PAN Ziyao;  WANG Jing;  TIAN Mengyuan;  LIU Sen
(School of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430070,China)
关键词:
装配式建筑; 吊装施工; 系统理论过程分析方法(STPA); 不安全控制行为; 模糊贝叶斯网络（FBN）; 安全风险分析
Keywords:
prefabricated building;  hoisting construction;  System Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA);  unsafe control behavior;  Fuzzy Bayesian Network (FBN);  safety risk analysis
分类号:
X947
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.04.002
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为有效评估装配式建筑吊装施工中的安全风险状态，识别关键风险因素，运用系统理论过程分析方法(STPA)构建吊装施工过程中的控制反馈结构，识别导致危险的不安全控制行为，确定不安全控制行为的致因因素；基于风险因素间的关联关系构建贝叶斯网络（BN）模型，推理计算装配式建筑吊装施工安全风险状态概率，并结合反向诊断推理分析影响安全事故的风险因素；通过敏感性分析，识别装配式建筑吊装施工安全中的关键风险因素。结果表明:装配式建筑吊装施工安全风险处于低风险状态；起重机械超负荷运行、现场安全管理不到位和吊索吊具存在缺陷等因素是影响装配式建筑吊装施工安全风险的关键风险因素。
Abstract:
In order to effectively evaluate the safety risk status in the hoisting construction of prefabricated buildings and identify the key risk factors,firstly,the system theoretic process analysis (STPA) was applied to construct the control feedback structure in the hoisting construction peocess,identify the unsafe control behavior leading to hazard,and determine the causation factors of the unsafe control behavior,thus a list of risk factors was formed.Then the Bayesian network (BN) model was built based on the correlation between risk factors,and the forward causal inference of fuzzy BN was used to calculate the state probability of safety risk in the hoisting construction of prefabricated building,and the risk factors affecting safety accidents were analyzed combined with the reverse diagnostic inference.Finally,the sensitivity analysis was utilized to identify the key risk factors for the hoisting construction safety of prefabricated building.The results showed that the safety risk level of the hoisting construction of prefabricated building was in a low-risk state，and the factors such as overload operation of hoisting machinery,inadequate on-site safety management and defects in the sling spreader were the key risk factor affecting the safety risk in the hoisting construction of prefabricated building.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2021-07-11
* 基金项目： 国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC0704301)；武汉市城乡建设局科技研究计划项目(201943)
作者简介： 王军武，博士，教授，主要研究方向为土木工程建造与管理。
通信作者： 潘子瑶，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为土木工程建造与管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-05-13