|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]皮子坤,董子文,罗陈,等.基于IIAHP-Entropy-ssd的采空区遗煤自燃危险性评价模型及应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(7):61-67.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.07.010]
　PI Zikun,DONG Ziwen,LUO Chen,et al.Risk assessment model for spontaneous combustion of residual coal in goaf based on IIAHP-Entropy-ssd and its application[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(7):61-67.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.07.010]
点击复制

基于IIAHP-Entropy-ssd的采空区遗煤自燃危险性评价模型及应用
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
16
期数:
2020年7期
页码:
61-67
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2020-07-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Risk assessment model for spontaneous combustion of residual coal in goaf based on IIAHP-Entropy-ssd and its application
文章编号:
1673-193X(2020)-07-0061-07
作者:
皮子坤; 董子文; 罗陈; 李锐
（湖南工学院 安全与环境工程学院，湖南 衡阳 421002）
Author(s):
PI Zikun;  DONG Ziwen;  LUO Chen;  LI Rui
(School of Safety and Environment Engineering,Hunan Institute of Technology,Hengyang Hunan 421002,China)
关键词:
改进区间数层次分析法; 熵权法; 离差平方和; 属性识别; 采空区; 遗煤自燃
Keywords:
improved interval analytic hierarchy process method (IIAHP);  entropy weight method;  sum of squares of deviations (ssd);  attribute recognition;  goaf;  spontaneous combustion of residual coal
分类号:
X936；TD725
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.07.010
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了能够对煤矿采空区遗煤自燃危险性进行准确判定，提出基于IIAHP-Entropy-ssd最优综合赋权模糊评价模型。首先，结合影响采空区遗煤的自燃性及环境影响因素，建立危险性评价指标体系，并确定各评价指标的分级准则；其次，利用区间数代替数值评价打分，并运用可能度互补矩阵进行修正的改进区间数层次分析法（IIAHP），结合熵权法（Entropy），根据现场实测数据，得出各评价指标的主、客观权重，并运用离差平方和（ssd）的最大化思想进行最优综合赋权，克服评价过程中主、客观因素对评价结果的影响，运用属性数学理论，建立各评价指标的隶属函数；最后，运用该模型对忻州窑矿8914综放工作面采空区遗煤自燃危险性进行评价，并与现场实际情况进行对比，结果表明：该模型的评价结果与实际情况基本一致，验证了该评价模型的准确性，为采空区遗煤自燃危险性评价提供参考和借鉴思路。
Abstract:
In order to accurately judge the risk of spontaneous combustion of the residual coal in the goaf of coal mine,a fuzzy assessment model based on the IIAHPEntropyssd optimal comprehensive weighting was proposed.Firstly,combined with the factors affecting the spontaneous combustion of residual coal in the goaf and the environmental influencing factors,an index system of risk assessment was established,and the classification criteria of each evaluation index were determined.Secondly,the interval number was used instead of the numerical evaluation to score,and the possibility complementary matrix was applied to modify the improved interval analytic hierarchy process (IIAHP) method.Combined with the entropy weight method (Entropy),and according to the field measured data,the subjective and objective weights of each evaluation index were obtained,and the optimal comprehensive weighting was carried out by using the idea of maximizing the sum of squares of deviations (ssd),which overcame the influence of subjective and objective factors on the evaluation results in the evaluation process.The membership function of each evaluation index was established by using the theory of attribute mathematics.Finally,the model was used to evaluate the risk of spontaneous combustion of the residual coal in the goaf of 8914 fully mechanized top caving face in Xinzhouyao mine,and the results were compared with the field actual situation.It showed that the evaluation results of the model were basically consistent with the actual situation,which verified the accuracy of the evaluation model.The research provides a new idea for the risk assessment on spontaneous combustion of residual coal in the goaf.

参考文献/References:

［1］王潞欧,谢雄刚,赵先伟,等.基于灰色关联熵-突变级数法矿井内因火灾风险评价研究［J］.采矿技术,2019,19(4):60-64. WAGN Luou,XIE Xionggang,ZHAO Xianwei,et al.Study on risk assessment of mine Internal fire based on grey relational entropy-catastrophe series method［J］.Mining Technology,2019,19(4):60-64.
［2］周亮.高瓦斯易自燃煤层采空区遗煤自燃预警研究［D］.淮南：安徽理工大学,2018.
［3］邵良杉,李相辰.不平衡数据下的采空区自然发火预测研究［J］.中国安全科学学报,2017,27(6):61-66. SHAO Liangshan,LI Xiangchen.Prediction of coal spontaneous combustion in caving zone with unbalanced data［J］.China Safety Science Journal,2017,27(6):61-66.
［4］赵琳琳,温国锋,邵良杉.不均衡数据下的采空区煤自燃PCA-AdaBoost预测模型［J］.中国安全科学学报,2018,28 (3):74-78. ZHAO Linlin,WEN Guofeng,SHAO Liangshan.PCA-AdaBoost model for predicting coal spontaneous combustion in caving zone with imbalanced data［J］.China Safety Science Journal,2018,28 (3):74-78.
［5］左云飞.基于熵权物元可拓的采空区自燃危险性评价［J］.煤炭技术,2018,37(7):192-195. ZUO Yunfei.Spontaneous combustion risk assessm-ent of goaf based on entropy matter-element extenics model ［J］.Coal Technology,2018,37(7):192-195.
［6］陈金全,王继仁,岳立柱.基于偏序集的采空区煤自燃可能性评价模型［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(2):89-93. CHEN Jinquan,WANG Jiren,YUE Lizhu.Evaluation model on possibility of coal spontaneous combustion in goaf based on partially ordered set［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2019,15(2):89-93.
［7］李同锁,何启林.集对分析在煤炭自然发火危险性评价上的应用［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(8):54-58. LI Tongsuo,HE Qilin.Application of set pair analysis in the risk evaluation of coal spontaneous combustion ［J］.Ｊｏｕｒｎａｌ ｏｆ Ｓａｆｅｔｙ Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ ａｎｄ Ｔｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ，2013,9(8):54-58.
［8］翟小伟,张伟霞,王凯,等.基于SEM的矿井煤自燃危险性综合评价研究［J］.煤炭工程,2020,52(2):101-105. ZHAI Xiaowei,ZHANG Weixia,WANG Kai,et al.Comprehensive evaluation of coal spontaneous combustion risk in mine based on structural equation model［J］.Coal Engineering,2020,52(2):101-105.
［9］邓军,杨一帆,翟小伟.基于层次分析法的矿井煤自燃危险性模糊评价［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(4):120-125. DENG Jun,YANG Yifan,ZHAI Xiaowei.Fuzzy evaluation of coal spontaneous combustion hazard based on analytic hierarchy process［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2014,10(4):120-125.
［10］王明重,刘泽功,张箫剑,等.基于AHP和扩展集对理论的采空区遗煤自燃危险性评价研究［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(8):182-188. WANG Mingchong,LIU Zegong,ZHANG Xiaojian,et al.Study on risk evaluation of coal spontaneous combustion in goaf based on ahpand extended set pair theory［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2014,10(8):182-188.
［11］朱建芳,秦跃平,杨小彬,等.采空区自燃理论模型的无因次分析与应用［J］.煤炭学报,2016,41(10):2626-2630. ZHU Jianfang,QIN Yueping,YANG Xiaobin,et al.Dimensionless analysis and application on the mathematical model for spontaneous combustion in goaf［J］.Journal of China Coal Society,2016,41(10):2626-2630.
［12］肖红飞,刘黎明,王海桥.改进BP算法在开采煤层自燃危险性预测中的应用［J］.煤炭学报,2001，26(6):649-653. XIAO Hongfei,LIU Liming,WANG Haiqiao.The application of modified BP neural network to predict mine coal layer spontaneous combustion［J］.Journal of China Coal Society,2001，26(6):649-653.
［13］王瑛,汪送,管明露.复杂系统风险传送与控制［M］.北京：国防工业出版社,2015.
［14］朱红青,王海燕,胡瑞丽,等.基于集对分析的煤层自燃危险性研究［J］.安全与环境工程,2013,20(4):114-118. ZHU Hongqing,WANG Haiyan,HU Ruili,et al.Risk research on the self-ignition of coal seam based on set pair analysis［J］.Safety and Environmental Engineering,2013,20(4):114-118.
［15］杜志刚,张小东,王晓东.基于属性数学理论的隧道瓦斯突出危险性评价［J］.地下空间与工程学报,2019,15(6):1866-1873. DU Zhigang,ZHANG Xiaodong,WANG Xiaodong.Evaluation of tunnel gas outburst based on attribute mathematical theory［J］.Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering,2019,15(6):1866-1873.
［16］高原,覃木广,李明建.基于支持向量机的采空区遗煤自燃预测分析［J］.煤炭科学技术,2010,38(2):50-54. GAO Yuan,QIN Muguang,LI Mingjian.Prediction and analysis of coal spontaneous combustion in goaf based on support vector machine［J］.Coal Science and Technology,2010,38(2):50-54.
［17］孙宇超,赵周能,陈星明,等.基于AHP和模糊数学方法的采空区稳定性评价［J］.有色金属(矿山部分),2019,71(5):35-40. SUN Yuchao,ZHAO Zhouneng,CHEN Xingming,et al.Stability evaluation of goaf based on AHP and fuzzy mathematics［J］.Non-ferrous Metals (Mine Part),2019,71(5):35-40.
［18］马丽叶,卢志刚,胡华伟.基于区间数的城市配电网经济运行模糊综合评价［J］.电工技术学报,2012,27(8):163-171. MA Liye,LU Zhigang,HU Huawei.A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for economic operation of urban distribution network based on interval number［J］.Transactions of China Electrchnical Society,2012,27(8):163-171.
［19］王金宝,侯金玲,张浪,等.采空区遗煤自燃危险性评价的熵权可拓方法［J］.矿业安全与环保,2015,42(2):43-48. WANG Jinbao,HOU Jinling,ZHANG Lang,et al.Entropy weight extension method for risk assessment of spontaneous combustion of coal in goaf［J］.Mining Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection,2015,42(2):43-48.

相似文献/References:

[1]申玉琪,赵东风,刘义,等.精神熵分析法的提出及应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(10):166.
　SHENG Yu-qi,ZHAO Dong-feng,LIU Yi,et al.Proposition of psyche entropy analysis and its application[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(7):166.
[2]单仁亮,赵鑫,徐加夫,等.基于加权灰靶模型的区域铁矿安全生产能力评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(10):27.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.10.005]
　SHAN Ren liang,ZHAO Xin,XU Jia fu,et al.Safe production capacity evaluation of regional Iron mines based on weighted grey target model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(7):27.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.10.005]
[3]辛督强.基于熵权-TOPSIS的陕西省各市区道路交通安全评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(10):116.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.10.020]
　XIN Du-qiang.Evaluation on road traffic safety of the cities in Shaanxi province based on entropy-TOPSIS method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(7):116.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.10.020]
[4]黄建文,王东,廖再毅,等.基于组合赋权法和云理论的震后重建住宅工程质量评价研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(3):127.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.03.023]
　HUANG Jianwen,WANG Dong,LIAO Zaiyi,et al.Evaluation on engineering quality of post-earthquake reconstruction residential buildings based on combined weight method and cloud theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):127.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.03.023]
[5]章国宝,万林,黄永明.基于云模型的电梯运行可靠性模糊综合评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(4):175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.04.032]
　ZHANG Guobao,WAN Lin,HUANG Yongming.Fuzzy comprehensive assessment of elevator operation reliability based on cloud model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.04.032]
[6]何亚伯,汪洋,李祎琛,等.基于改进DEA交叉效率模型的洪水灾害区域脆弱性评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(5):86.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.05.015]
　HE Yabo,WANG Yang,LI Yichen,et al.Evaluation on regional vulnerability of flood disaster based on improved DEA overlapping efficiency model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):86.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.05.015]
[7]周勇勇,李夕兵,刘志祥,等.高精度三维地下微震台网模糊优选方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(7):82.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.07.015]
　ZHOU Yongyong,LI Xibing,LIU Zhixiang,et al.Fuzzy optimum approach for three-dimensional underground micro-seismic network with high precision[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):82.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.07.015]
[8]撒占友,刘凯利,马池香,等.民营企业安全文化模型及其实证分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(8):178.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.030]
　SA Zhanyou,LIU Kaili,MA Chixiang,et al.Safety culture model of private enterprises and its empirical analysis[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(7):178.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.030]
[9]赵挺生,任玲玲,周炜,等.基于熵权法-CIM模型的高速公路施工临近房屋安全风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(3):174.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.03.028]
　ZHAO Tingsheng,REN Lingling,ZHOU Wei,et al.Safety risk assessment on buildings adjacent to construction site of expressway based on entropy-weight method and CIM model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(7):174.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.03.028]
[10]刘兵,李晓璐,张彭,等.基于熵权可拓物元模型的城市轨道交通线路运营风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(12):175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.12.028]
　LIU Bing,LI Xiaolu,ZHANG Peng,et al.Evaluationon operational risk of urban rail transit line based on entropy weight extension matterelement model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(7):175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.12.028]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2020-05-20
* 基金项目： 国家自然科学基金青年基金项目（51804107）；湖南省自然科学基金项目（2020JJ4260）；湖南省教育厅重点项目（19A123）；湖南工学院引进人才支持计划项目（HQ17012）
作者简介： 皮子坤，博士，讲师，主要研究方向为矿井瓦斯灾害与火灾防治。
通信作者： 董子文，博士，讲师，主要研究方向为火灾防治。
更新日期/Last Update: 2020-08-06