|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]苏秀丽,罗贤运,吕保和.基于前景理论突发水污染事件个体行为研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(5):169-173.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.028]
　SU Xiuli,LUO Xianyun,LV Baohe.Research on individual behavior in emergency event of water pollution based on prospect theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(5):169-173.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.028]
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基于前景理论突发水污染事件个体行为研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
10
期数:
2014年5期
页码:
169-173
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2014-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on individual behavior in emergency event of water pollution based on prospect theory
文章编号:
20140528
作者:
苏秀丽1;  罗贤运2 ; 吕保和1
（1江苏大学 环境与安全工程学院, 江苏 镇江 212013；
2江苏河海新能源有限公司, 江苏 常州 213000）
Author(s):
SU Xiuli1;  LUO Xianyun2;  LV Baohe1
(1.School of Environment and Safety Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang Jiangsu 212013, China;
2.Hehai New Energy of Jiangsu, Changzhou Jiangsu 213000, China)
关键词:
行为决策; 前景理论; 不确定决策; 突发水污染事件
Keywords:
behavior decision;  prospect theory;  decisionmaking under uncertainty;  emergency event of water pollution
分类号:
X915.5
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.028
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
前景理论( Prospect Theory, PT)能很好地描述个体在不确定条件下的行为决策模式和风险偏好。分析表明，利用前景理论研究突发水污染事件中的个体行为决策具有一定的适用性和可行性，因此，建立了突发水污染事件个体行为决策框架。以典型的镇江市水源苯酚污染事故为例，运用突发水污染事件个体行为决策框架，描述了突发水污染事件中的个体行为特征，研究了突发水污染事件中的个体主要决策偏差及其产生的主要原因，并对突发水污染事件中的个体决策偏差下的行为及行为表现进行了分析，提出了个体突发水污染事件应对模式。
Abstract:
Prospect theory(PT) can describe decision model of individual behavior under uncertain conditions and personal risk appetite well. Analysis indicates that PT has the applicability and feasibility in decision of individual behavioral in emergency event of water pollution, therefore, a framework model on decision of individual behavior in emergency event of water pollution was established. The individual behavior characteristics in emergency event of water pollution were described based on PT. The deviation of individual major decision in emergency event of water pollution and its main causes were studied, and the behaviors of individual decision deviation in emergency event of water pollution were analyzed in the typical case of phenol water pollution took place in ZhenJiang. Finally, an individual response mode in emergency event of water pollution was presented.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
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更新日期/Last Update: 2014-05-31