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[1]梁学栋,王霞.考虑多利益相关群体偏好冲突的应急响应协同决策研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(10):46-53.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.10.006]
　LIANG Xuedong,WANG Xia.Research on collaborative decision-making of emergency response considering preference conflicts among multiple stakeholder groups[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(10):46-53.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.10.006]
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考虑多利益相关群体偏好冲突的应急响应协同决策研究*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
20
期数:
2024年10期
页码:
46-53
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2024-10-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on collaborative decision-making of emergency response considering preference conflicts among multiple stakeholder groups
文章编号:
1673-193X(2024)-10-0046-08
作者:
梁学栋; 王霞
（1.四川大学 灾后重建与管理学院，四川 成都 610207；
2.四川大学 商学院，四川 成都 610065)
Author(s):
LIANG Xuedong;  WANG Xia
(1.Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction,Sichuan University,Chengdu Sichuan 610207,China;
2.Business School,Sichuan University,Chengdu Sichuan 610065,China)
关键词:
应急响应; 协同决策; 卷积神经网络; 共识模型; 前景理论
Keywords:
emergency response;  collaborative decision-making;  convolutional neural network;  consensus model;  prospect theory
分类号:
X913
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.10.006
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了解决重大突发事件应急响应中多利益相关群体偏好冲突问题，提出一种适用于多利益相关群体的应急协同决策方法。首先，考虑到应急决策中潜在的模糊性和不确定性，采用多粒度扩展概率语言术语集以量化表征决策群组的评价信息。同时，引入卷积神经网络算法提出一种新的共识模型，以解决多利益相关群体决策信息的非一致性问题。然后，将最优最劣法扩展到概率语言环境下，应用模糊数学规划以求解评价指标权重。最后，将前景理论与多粒度扩展概率语言术语集结合，在纳入决策者心理因素影响的情况下确定应急响应方案的优先级排序。本文以高校校园防控甲型流感传播的应急响应决策为例，验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。研究结果可为重大突发事件应急响应方案协同优选提供思路。
Abstract:
To solve the preference conflict problem of multiple stakeholder groups in the emergency response of major emergencies,an emergency collaborative decision-making method suitable for multiple stakeholder groups was proposed.Firstly,considering the potential fuzziness and uncertainty in emergency decision-making,the multi-granularity extended probabilistic linguistic term set was used to quantify the evaluation information of decision-making group.At the same time,the convolutional neural network was introduced to propose a new consensus model,so as to solve the inconsistency problem of decision-making information of multiple stakeholder groups.Then,the best-worst method was extended to the probability linguistic environment,and the fuzzy mathematical programming was applied to solve the evaluation index weight.Finally,the prospect theory was combined with the multi-granularity extended probabilistic linguistic term set to determine the priority of emergency response schemes under the influence of the decision-maker’s psychological factors.The feasibility and effectiveness of this method was demonstrated by taking the emergency response decision-making of preventing and controlling the spread of influenza A in university campus as an example.The research results can provide ideas for collaborative optimization selection of emergency response schemes for major emergencies.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2023-12-20
* 基金项目： 国家社会科学基金项目（20BGL268）；成都市科技项目（2021-RK00-00149-ZF）
作者简介： 梁学栋，博士，教授，主要研究方向为决策科学、区块链技术及供应链管理。
通信作者： 王霞，博士研究生，主要研究方向为应急管理及科学决策。
更新日期/Last Update: 2024-10-31