|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陈冲,谭睿璞,张文德,等.基于中智数的突发事件网络舆情辅助决策方法研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(5):50-56.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.05.007]
 CHEN Chong,TAN Ruipu,ZHANG Wende,et al.Research on auxiliary decision-making method of online public opinion in emergencies based on neutrosophic number[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(5):50-56.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.05.007]
点击复制

基于中智数的突发事件网络舆情辅助决策方法研究*
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
20
期数:
2024年5期
页码:
50-56
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2024-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on auxiliary decision-making method of online public opinion in emergencies based on neutrosophic number
文章编号:
1673-193X(2024)-05-0050-07
作者:
陈冲谭睿璞张文德黄湘怡
(1.福州大学 图书馆,福建 福州 350116;
2.福建江夏学院 电子信息科学学院,福建 福州 350108)
Author(s):
CHEN Chong TAN Ruipu ZHANG Wende HUANG Xiangyi
(1.Fuzhou University Library,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou Fujian 350116,China;
2.College of Electronics and Information Science,Fujian Jiangxia University,Fuzhou Fujian 350108,China)
关键词:
突发事件网络舆情应急决策数据分析中智数案例推理
Keywords:
emergencies online public opinion emergency decision-making data analysis neutrosophic number case-based reasoning
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.05.007
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为解决当前应急决策研究大多侧重于数学模型构建且决策数据偏主观假定,导致客观性、实用性及智能性不足的问题,提出基于深度学习和情感倾向分析的单值中智数智能获取方法,并将其应用于突发事件应急决策。首先,利用Python编程技术对突发事件网络舆情数据进行抓取、预处理、统计分析和可视化,得到量化的单值中智数;其次,利用中智数本身具有的不确定性特点,基于精确函数和信息熵客观确定属性权重;最后,利用案例推理(CBR)方法对备选方案进行排序和择优。研究结果表明:所提方法能够对突发事件网络舆情进行实时监测,可以客观智能获取决策数据从而实现对台风灾害的量化评估。研究结果可为相关部门有效应对突发事件网络舆情提供智能辅助决策支持。
Abstract:
In order to solve the problem that most of the current research on emergency decision-making focus on the construction of mathematical models,and the decision data is biased towards subjective assumptions,which leads to the lack of objectivity,practicality and intelligence,an intelligent acquisition method of single-valued neutrosophic number based on deep learning and emotional tendency analysis was proposed and applied to the emergency decision-making.Firstly,the Python programming technology was used to carry out the capture,preprocess,statistical analysis and visualization of online public opinion data of emergencies,and the quantified single-valued neutrosophic number was obtained.Secondly,the attribute weights were determined objectively based on the exact function and information entropy by using the uncertainty characteristic of the neutrosophic number itself.Finally,the case-based reasoning (CBR) method was used to rank and prioritize the alternatives.The results show that the proposed method can monitor the online public opinion of emergencies in real time,obtain the decision data objectively and intelligently,thus realize the quantitative evaluation of typhoon disaster.The research results can provide intelligent auxiliary decision-making support for relevant departments to effectively cope with the online public opinion in emergencies.

参考文献/References:

[1]中华人民共和国中央人民政府.中华人民共和国突发事件应对法[EB/OL].(2007-08-30)[2023-10-30].https://www.gov.cn/ziliao/flfg/2007-08/30/content_732593.htm.
[2]新浪网新闻中心.四川汶川强烈地震专题[EB/OL].(2008-05-29)[2024-05-08].https://news.sina.com.cn/c/2008-09-25/183514499939s.shtml.
[3]厦门市人民政府.“莫兰蒂”卷走厦门102亿[EB/OL].(2016-09-20)[2024-05-08].https://www.xm.gov.cn/jdhy/xwfbh/tfmldzhcj/201609/t20160929_1364627.htm.
[4]新华网.世卫组织:全球累计新冠确诊病例达651 918 402例[EB/OL].(2022-12-24)[2024-05-08].http://m.news.cn/2022-12/24/c_1129229328.htm.
[5]中国政府网.国务院关于印发“十四五”国家应急体系规划的通知[EB/OL].(2022-02-28)[2024-05-08].https://www.gov.cn/gongbao/content/2022/content_5675949.htm.
[6]中国互联网络信息中心.第53次《中国互联网络发展状况统计报告》[EB/OL].(2024-03-22)[2024-05-07].https://www.cnnic.net.cn/n4/2024/0321/c208-10962.html.
[7]侯艳辉,管敏,王家坤,等.全媒体时代基于微分博弈的网络舆情引导激励机制研究[J].中国管理科学,2023,31(8):239-252. HOU Yanhui,GUAN Min,WANG Jiakun,et al.Research on the incentive mechanism of network public opinion guidance based on differential game in the omnimediaera[J].Chinese Journal of Management Science,2023,31(8):239-252.
[8]武澎,王海凝,冯冉.突发事件舆情中应急管理机构公信力影响研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(8):26-31. WU Peng,WANG Haining,FENG Ran.Research on influence of credibility of emergency management agencies in public opinion of emergencies [J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2023,19(8):26-31.
[9]SU M,CEHNG D S,XU Y,et al.An improved BERT method for the evolution of network public opinion of major infectious diseases:case study of COVID-19[J].Expert Systems with Applications.2023,233(4):120938.
[10]XU L W,QIU J N,ZHAI J.Trend prediction model of online public opinion in emergencies based on fluctuation analysis[J].Natural Hazards,2023,116(3):3301-3320.
[11]赵琳琳,温国锋,杨永清.突发事件网络舆情反转的PCA-LDA-LSSVM预测模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(8):186-190. ZHAO Linlin,WEN Guofeng,YANG Yongqing.PCA-LDA-LSSVMmodel for predicting network public opinion reversal of emergencies[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2023,19(8):186-190.
[12]SMARANDACHE F.Aunifying field in logics:neutrosophy,neutrosophicprobability,set and logic [M].Rehoboth:American Research Press,1999.
[13]BANO S,HASAN M G,QUDDOOS A.A neutrosophicnumber based multi-choice best-worst multi-criteria decision-making approach and its applications[J].Industrial Engineering and Management Systems,2023,22(3):224-243.
[14]TAM P M,HANG D T,THUY P T.Comprehensive evaluation of sustainable consumption towards green growth based on an interval valued neutrosophic TOPSIS approach[J].Environmental Science and Pollution Research,2023,30(38):89838-89858.
[15]TAN R P,ZHANG W D,YANG L H.Decision-making method based on set pair analysis and VIKOR under heterogeneous information environment and application to typhoon disaster assessment[J].Soft Computing,2023,27(12):8289-8314.
[16]叶万红,耿娟娟,徐东胜.基于聚合单值中智集的多属性决策新方法及其应用[J].模糊系统与数学,2022,36(4):124-130. YE Wanhong,GENG Juanjuan,XU Dongsheng.A new multi-attribute decision making method based on aggregation single-valued neutrosophicsets and its applications[J].Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics,2022,36(4):124-130.
[17]WANG H B,SMARANDACHE F,ZHANG Y Q,et al.Interval neutrosophicsets and logic:theory and applications in computing [M].Hexis:Arizona,2005.
[18]WANG H B,SMARANDACHE F,ZHANG Y Q,et al.Single valued neutrosophic sets[J].Multispace and Multistructure,2010,4(10):410-413.
[19]PENG J J,WANG J Q,ZHANG H Y,et al.An outranking approach for multi-criteria decision-making problems with simplified neutrosophic sets[J].Applied Soft Computing Journal,2014,25:336-346.
[20]YE J.Multiple attribute group decision-making method with completely unknown weights based on similarity measures under single valued neutrosophic environment [J].Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems,2014,27(6):2927-2935.
[21]MAJUMDAR P,SAMANTA K S.On similarity and entropy of neutrosophic sets[J].Neutrosophic Sets and Systems,2014,26(3):1245-1252.
[22]HONG H D,CHOI C.Multicriteria fuzzy decision-making problems based on vague set theory[J].Fuzzy Sets and Systems,2000,114(1):103-113.
[23]LUCA A D,TERMINI S.A definition of a non-probabilistic entropy in the setting of fuzzy sets theory[J].Information and Control,1972,20(4):301-312.
[24]中央气象台.台风网.台风路径信息[EB/OL].http://typhoon.nmc.cn/web.html.
[25]YE J.A multicriteria decision-making method using aggregation operators for simplified neutrosophic sets [J].Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems,2014,26(5):2459-2466.

相似文献/References:

[1]江田汉,邓云峰,李湖生,等.基于秩和比法的突发事件固有风险水平评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(5):34.
 JIANG Tian-han,DENG Yun-feng,LI Hu-sheng,et al.Inherent risk assessment of emergency incidents based on the rank sum ratio method in China[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2010,6(5):34.
[2]吴发旺.电力突发事件应急管理中的博弈[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(3):73.
 WU Fa-wang.Game on emergency management of power incident[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):73.
[3]江田汉,邓云峰,李湖生,等.基于风险的突发事件应急准备能力评估方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(7):35.
 JIANG Tianhan DENG Yunfeng LI Husheng LIU Tiemin JIANG Chuansheng WANG Jianguang WANG Jingjing.Risk-based assessment model for emergency preparedness capability of emergency incidents in China[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):35.
[4]刘铁民.突发事件应急预案体系概念设计研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(8):5.
 LIU Tie-min.Design of the emergency plan system’s concept[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):5.
[5]杨力.突发事件应急意识和能力建设探讨[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(8):154.
 YANG Li.Study on ascension of emergency consciousness and ability construction[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):154.
[6]郑霞忠,胡斌锋,郑烜.基于水电工程的应急执行力构成要素分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(10):149.
 ZHENG Xia-zhong,HU Bin-feng,ZHENG Xuan.An analysis on the constituent elements of emergency execution based on the hydropower project[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):149.
[7]李群.突发事件应急推演系统平台分析与设计[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(3):120.
 LI Qun.Analysis and design of simulated emergency exercise system platform[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):120.
[8]刘铁民.应急预案重大突发事件情景构建* ——基于“情景-任务-能力”应急预案编制技术研究之一[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(4):5.
 LIU Tie min.Studies on scenes’ construction of emergency planning ——part I of emergency planning technology based on “scenetaskability”[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):5.
[9]王爱莎,彭〓伟.突发事件下某教室的人员疏散研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(8):163.
 WANG Ai sha,PENG Wei.Study on emergency evacuation of a classroom[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):163.
[10]杨力,邢娟娟.学校突发事件应急管理与预案模式探讨[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(1):139.
 YANG Li,XING Juan-juan.Study on emergency management and plan mode of incident in school[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2010,6(5):139.
[11]赵琳琳,温国锋,杨永清.突发事件网络舆情反转的PCA-LDA-LSSVM预测模型*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(8):186.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.08.027]
 ZHAO Linlin,WEN Guofeng,YANG Yongqing.PCA-LDA-LSSVM model for predicting network public opinion reversal of emergencies[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(5):186.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.08.027]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2023-11-03
* 基金项目: 福建省社会科学基金项目(FJ2023B041);福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAT211003);国家社会科学基金项目(17CGL058)
作者简介: 陈冲,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为情报学和应急决策。
通信作者: 谭睿璞,博士,教授,主要研究方向为大数据分析与挖掘、应急决策。
更新日期/Last Update: 2024-05-30