[1]张鹏,潘灏航,杨宗强.基于风险矩阵法和Borda序值法的城市埋地燃气管道风险评价研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(9):116-122.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.09.017]
ZHANG Peng,PAN Haohang,YANG Zongqiang.Research on risk assessment of urban buried gas pipeline based on risk matrix method and Borda ranking method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(9):116-122.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.09.017]
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基于风险矩阵法和Borda序值法的城市埋地燃气管道风险评价研究*
ZHANG Peng,PAN Haohang,YANG Zongqiang.Research on risk assessment of urban buried gas pipeline based on risk matrix method and Borda ranking method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(9):116-122.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.09.017]
《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]
- 卷:
- 19
- 期数:
- 2023年9期
- 页码:
- 116-122
- 栏目:
- 职业安全卫生管理与技术
- 出版日期:
- 2023-09-30
文章信息/Info
- Title:
- Research on risk assessment of urban buried gas pipeline based on risk matrix method and Borda ranking method
- 文章编号:
- 1673-193X(2023)-09-0116-07
- Keywords:
- pipeline safety engineering; urban gas pipeline; risk matrix; Borda ranking method; risk evaluation
- 分类号:
- X937
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为解决传统风险矩阵在风险评价研究中会产生“风险结”，进而导致难以对同一风险等级中的风险事件进行重要度排序等问题，提出1种基于风险矩阵法与Borda序值法相结合的方法，对城市埋地燃气管道风险评价进行研究。首先，采用风险矩阵法对各风险事件进行风险发生可能性等级划分，该过程会产生“风险结”问题；然后，采用线性插值法和Borda排序对传统风险矩阵进行修正；最后，利用该方法对某城市埋地燃气管道风险进行评价。研究结果表明：该方法可以将各个风险事件按照重要度进行排序，进而有效提高风险评价结果准确性；利用该方法评价得到某段城市埋地燃气管道风险等级为中风险。研究结果可为有效预防城市地面活动破坏、设计缺陷、设备故障等重要风险事件，进而为减少城市埋地燃气管道失效等事故发生率等提供一定参考。
- Abstract:
- In order to solve the problem that the traditional risk matrix will produce “risk knots” in the risk assessment research,which leads to the inability to rank the importance of risk events in the same risk level,the risk assessment study on the urban buried gas pipelines was conducted based on a combined method of risk matrix method and Borda ranking method.Firstly,the risk matrix method was used to classify the risk occurrence possibility of each risk event,,and the “risk knots” problem would be generated in this process.Secondly,the linear interpolation method and Borda ranking method were applied to modify the traditional risk matrix.Finally,the method was used to evaluate the risk of buried gas pipeline in a city.The research results show that this method can sort each risk event according to its importance,and then effectively improve the accuracy of risk assessment results.The risk level of urban buried gas pipeline studied in this paper is the medium risk.The research results can provide some reference for preventing important risk events such as ground activity damage,design defects,equipment failure,and reducing the incidence of urban buried gas pipeline failure accidents.
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[3]曾小康,冯阳,赖文庆,等.基于AHP-熵权法的城市燃气管道风险评价*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(5):130.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.020]
ZENG Xiaokang,FENG Yang,LAI Wenqing,et al.Risk assessment of urban gas pipeline based on AHP and entropy weight method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2021,17(9):130.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.020]
备注/Memo
- 备注/Memo:
-
收稿日期： 2023-02-22
* 基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目（50974105）；中国工程院重大咨询项目（2011-ZD-20）；高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目（20105121110003）
作者简介： 张鹏，博士，教授，主要研究方向为工程及企业质量管理、油气管道完整性管理等。
通信作者： 潘灏航，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为供热、供燃气、通风及空调工程。
