|本期目录/Table of Contents|

 JIANG Shengyu,CHEN Guoming,LI Xinhong,et al.Analysis on safety vulnerability of offshore platform based on system dynamics[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(5):49-54.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.05.008]





Analysis on safety vulnerability of offshore platform based on system dynamics
(中国石油大学(华东) 海洋油气装备与安全技术研究中心,山东 青岛 266580)
JIANG Shengyu CHEN Guoming LI Xinhong HE Rui DONG Che
(Center for Offshore Equipment and Safety Technology, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao Shandong 266580, China)
offshore platform safety system fuzzy mathematics analytic hierarchy process system dynamics
The offshore platform bore the complicated environmental load such as wind, wave and ocean current, so the safety system plays an important role in guaranteeing the safety and stability of platform. To deeply explore the mechanism of safety vulnerability for the offshore platform, aiming at the extremeness and complexity of the working environment of offshore platforms, a system dynamics analysis model on the safety vulnerability of offshore platform was established. The weight coefficients of each influencing factor of safety system were determined by using the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process method, and the vulnerability system of offshore platform was analyzed through setting the parameters with considering different safety input schemes of the subsystems. The results showed that the influence degree of equipment system of the offshore platform on the exposure and sensitivity was the highest, and the management system played a leading role on the fitness of safety system of the offshore platform. When the total value of safety input was constant, in order to effectively reduce the vulnerability of offshore platform, the limited input funds should be allocated reasonably when the input proportion of each system was different.


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收稿日期: 2018-07-03;数字出版日期: 2019-05-23
基金项目: 国家重点研发计划重点专项项目(2017YFC0804501);国家工信部第七代超深水钻井平台创新专项项目(工信部联装【2016】24号)
作者简介: 姜盛玉,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为海洋油气安全技术。
通信作者: 陈国明,博士,教授,主要研究方向为海洋油气工程及装备、油气安全工程。
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-06-11