|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]郝阳,邓云峰,程五一.基于“情景-应对”数据的高层官员应急决策行为分析框架[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(3):5-10.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.03.001]
 HAO Yang,DENG Yunfeng,CHENG Wuyi.Analysis framework for emergency decisionmaking behavior of senior officials based on scenarioresponse data[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(3):5-10.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.03.001]
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基于“情景-应对”数据的高层官员应急决策行为分析框架
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
15
期数:
2019年3期
页码:
5-10
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2019-03-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Analysis framework for emergency decisionmaking behavior of senior officials based on scenarioresponse data
文章编号:
1673-193X(2019)-03-0005-06
作者:
郝阳1邓云峰2程五一1
(1.中国地质大学(北京) 工程技术学院,北京 100083;2.中共中央党校(国家行政学院),北京 100089)
Author(s):
HAO Yang1DENG Yunfeng2CHENG Wuyi1
(1. School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China;2. Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C. & Chinese Academy of Governance, Beijing 100089, China)
关键词:
“情景-应对”高层官员应急决策行为分析框架
Keywords:
scenarioresponse senior official emergency decisionmaking behavior analysis framework
分类号:
X915.2
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.03.001
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为研究突发事件应急处置过程中关键官员的决策行为,充实面向高层官员的决策行为实证研究方法,提出基于“情景-应对”数据的高层官员决策行为分析框架。通过设置情景、决策者、决策过程和决策变量以及变量间的作用关系建立框架运行理论内核,从情景选择到决策样本“生成→采集→处理→分析”各环节搭建框架支持完成高层官员决策行为的研究。通过某高层官员地震应急决策模拟演练实例,验证该分析框架的有效性。研究结果表明:基于“情景-应对”数据的分析框架可实现对高层官员决策行为的实证研究,可优化开发以支持更多元化的研究。
Abstract:
In order to study the decisionmaking behavior of key officials in the emergency response process, and enrich the empirical research methods of decisionmaking behavior for the senior officials, an analysis framework for the decisionmaking behavior of senior officials based on the scenarioresponse data was put forward. The theoretical core of framework running was established through setting the variables of scenarios, decision makers, decisionmaking process and decisionmaking and their interaction relationship, then the framework was built by all links from scenario selection to the generating, collecting, processing and analysis of decisionmaking samples, so as to support the study on the decisionmaking behavior of senior officials. Finally, a simulation drill on the emergency decisionmaking of a certain earthquake was conducted to collect the decisionmaking samples of senior officials, and a preliminary analysis was completed under the framework to verify the effectiveness of the analysis framework.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2018-12-23
基金项目: 国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC0807000);国家社会科学基金重大项目(16ZDA054)
作者简介: 郝阳,博士研究生,主要研究方向为应急管理、应急决策行为。
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-04-15