|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]马文笑,王德鲁.基于案例推理的突发环境事件应急决策模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(12):85-90.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.013]
 MA Wenxiao,WANG Delu.Emergency decision-making model of emergency environmental accidents based on case-based reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(12):85-90.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.013]
点击复制

基于案例推理的突发环境事件应急决策模型
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
13
期数:
2017年12期
页码:
85-90
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2017-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Emergency decision-making model of emergency environmental accidents based on case-based reasoning
文章编号:
1673-193X(2017)-12-0085-06
作者:
马文笑王德鲁
(中国矿业大学 管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116)
Author(s):
MA WenxiaoWANG Delu
(School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221116, China)
关键词:
应急决策案例推理本体建模情景演化
Keywords:
emergency decision-making case-based reasoning ontology modeling scenario evolution
分类号:
X913
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.013
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
突发环境事件不确定性高、演化过程复杂,给企业及政府的应急工作带来很大的困难,故如何提高应急决策的质量,是相关应急工作的重点之一。为了增强以往经验的可用性,利用本体模型进行案例的存储,根据情景构成要素提取方法对情景进行多维的空间表达,在此基础上优化情景匹配算法,实现基于情景的应急决策。最后,通过突发环境事件实例应用,验证该方法能够快速建立实例与本体模型之间的关系,提高知识的可用性和共享性,实现情景的多维表达,进而满足“情景-应对”的应急决策要求。
Abstract:
Due to the high uncertainty and complex evolution process, the emergency environmental accidents have brought enormous difficulties to the emergency work of enterprises and government, so improving the quality of emergency decision-making has become the key point of relevant emergency work. In order to enhance the availability of previous experience, the storage of cases was carried out by using the ontology model, and the multi-dimensional spatial expression of scenarios was conducted according to the extraction method of scenario elements. On this basis, the scenario matching algorithm was optimized to realize the decision-making based on scenario. Finally, this method was verified through the model application of emergency environmental accident case. The results showed that this method can establish the relationship between the case and the ontology model quickly, improve the availability and shareability of knowledge, and realize the multi-dimensional expression of scenario, thus meet the emergency decision-making requirements of "scenario -response".

参考文献/References:

[1]袁莉, 杨巧云. 重特大灾害应急决策的快速响应情报体系协同联动机制研究[J]. 四川大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2014(3):116-124. YUAN Li, YANG Qiaoyun .A study on collaboration and linkage mechanism for quick response intelligence system in major disasters emergency decision[J]. Journal of Sichuan University(Philosophy and Social Science Edition), 2014 (3):116-124.
[2]Schank R C. Dynamic Memory: A Theory of Reminding and Learning in Computers and People[C]// Cambridge University Press, 1982.
[3]宋占兵, 朱天玲, 王如君,等. 基于案例推理的油罐区重大事故应急资源配置技术[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2014,10(12):75-79. SONG Zhanbing, ZHU Tianling, WANG Rujun, et al. Oil storage tank area major accident emergency resources allocation technique based on case-based reasoning[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2014,10(12):75-79.
[4]廖振良, 刘宴辉, 徐祖信. 基于案例推理的突发性环境污染事件应急预案系统[J]. 环境污染与防治, 2009, 31(1):86-89. LIAO Zhenliang, LIU Yanhui, XU Zuxin. Emergency contingency planning system for sudden environmental pollution incident based on case-based reasoning[J]. Environmental Pollution and Control, 2009,31(1): 86-89
[5]Camporeale C, Nicola A D, Villani M L. Semantics-based services for a low carbon society: an application onemissions trading system data and scenarios management[J]. Environmental Modelling & Software, 2015, 64(2):124-142.
[6]曹茂俊, 尚福华, 滕雪萍. 基于描述逻辑的可扩展的案例表示及检索研究[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2010, 10(11):2777-2780. CAO Maojun, SHANG Fuhua, TENG Xueping.The research of scalable case representation and retrieval based on description logic[J]. Science and Technology and Engineering, 2010 ,10(11): 2777-2780.
[7]王能干, 王坚, 凌卫青. 基于本体的突发事件应急服务模型研究[J]. 计算机与现代化, 2014(1):192-195. WANG Nenggan, WANG Jian, LING Weiqing. Research on emergency service model based on ontology[J]. Computer and Modernization, 2014 (1): 192-195.
[8]张莹, 黄丁发, 陈维锋,等. 地震应急预案数字化关键技术研究[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2014,10(5):95-102. ZHANG Ying, HUANG Dingfa, CHEN Weifeng, et al. The key technology of earthquake emergency plan digitization research[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2014 ,10(5): 95-102.
[9]Gilboa I, Schmeidler D. Case-Based Decision Theory[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1995, 110(3):605-639.
[10]Studer R, Benjamins V R, Fensel D. Knowledge engineering: principles and methods[J]. Data & Knowledge Engineering, 1998, 25(1-2):161-197.
[11]蔡玫, 曹杰, 于小兵. 基于应急实例本体模型的应急案例推理方法[J]. 情报杂志, 2016, 35(6):183-188. CAI Mei, CAO Jie, YU Xiaobing. A method of emergency case-based reasoning based on emergency case ontology[J]. Journal of intelligence, 2016, 35 (6):183-188.
[12]Liu Y, Feng Y, Zhang H, et al. Study on multi-dimensional scenario-space method for case-based reasoning[C]// The, International Conference on Cybernetics and Information Technologies, Systems and Applications, Orlando, Fl, Usa. 2013:9-12.
[13]钱静, 刘奕, 刘呈,等. 案例分析的多维情景空间方法及其在情景推演中的应用[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2015, 35(10):2588-2595. QIAN Jing, LIU Yi, LIU Cheng, et al. Study on case analysis and deduction based on multi dimensional situation space method[J]. systems engineering theory and practice, 2015, 35 (10):2588-2595.
[14]盛勇,孙庆云,王永明. 突发事件情景演化及关键要素提取方法[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(1):17-21. SHENG Yong, SUN Qingyun, WANG Yongming.Emergency scenario evolution and extraction method of key elements[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2015,11(1):17-21.
[15]于峰, 李向阳, 刘昭阁. 城市灾害情景下应急案例本体建模与重用[J]. 管理评论, 2016, 28(8):25-36. YU Feng,LI Xiangyang, LIU Zhaoge.Ontology modeling and reuse of emergency case in urban disaster scenario[J]. management review,2016,28(8):25-36.

相似文献/References:

[1]胡艳菊,李彦海,胡忆沩.危险化学品突发泄漏事故应急决策系统的开发与应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(4):109.
 HU Yan-ju,LI Yan-hai,HU Yi-wei.Development and application of the emergency decision system for dangerous chemicals burst leaking accident[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2010,6(12):109.
[2]孙殿阁,孙佳,曹婧华,等.基于案例推理的城市典型灾害应急处置专家系统构建研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(2):55.
 SUN Dian ge,SUN Jia,CAO Jing hua,et al.Study on expert system of urban typical disaster emergency handling based on case reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(12):55.
[3]方来华,闫露璐,吴宗之,等.液碳生产企业安全监控与自控系统开发[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(9):116.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.022]
 FANG Lai hua,YAN Lu lu,WU Zong zhi,et al.Development of safety monitoring and automatic control system for liquid carbon production plant[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(12):116.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.022]
[4]丁浩,石昊栋.基于案例推理的我国石油企业海外突发事件应急物资需求预测[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(9):177.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.033]
 DING Hao,SHI Hao dong.Demand forecasting of emergency material in China’s abroad emergencies of petroleum enterprise based on case based reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(12):177.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.033]
[5]李潇,张贝克,马昕.面向安全评价的化工事故推理系统*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2008,4(05):74.
 LI Xiao,ZHANG Bei ke,MA Xin.Chemical accident reasoning system oriented to safety assessment[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2008,4(12):74.
[6]闫文周,李超洋.建筑安全事故应急措施推理研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(11):136.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.023]
 YAN Wenzhou,LI Chaoyang.Research on reasoning of emergency measures for construction safety accident[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(12):136.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.023]
[7]谭睿璞,张文德,陈龙龙.基于单值中智集VIKOR的应急群体决策方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(2):79.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.02.014]
 TAN Ruipu,ZHANG Wende,CHEN Longlong.Study on emergency group decision making method based on VIKOR with single valued neutrosophic sets[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(12):79.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.02.014]
[8]温念慈,倪少权,陈钉均,等.城市轨道交通突发大客流协同应急决策研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(7):48.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.07.008]
 WEN Nianci,NI Shaoquan,CHEN Dingjun,et al.Study on collaborative emergency decision of outburst mass passenger flow in urban rail transit[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(12):48.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.07.008]
[9]高平,夏登友,周扬.基于模糊逻辑理论的应急决策冲突程度表示方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(12):158.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.12.026]
 GAO Ping,XIA Dengyou,ZHOU Yang.Research on representation method for conflict degree of emergency decisionmaking based on fuzzy logic theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(12):158.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.12.026]
[10]李润萍,王浩玮,陈旭.旧工业建筑再生利用施工风险应急管理研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(2):151.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.02.024]
 LI Runping,WANG Haowei,CHEN Xu.Research on emergency management of construction risk for recycling of old industrial buildings[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(12):151.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.02.024]
[11]徐亚博,汪彤,王培怡,等.基于案例推理的地铁非常规突发事件应急决策方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(8):44.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.008]
 XU Ya bo,WANG Tong,WANG Pei yi,et al.Research on emergency decision method of unconventional emergency in subway based on casebased reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(12):44.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.008]
[12]张炎亮,徐元元,李俊雅.不完备信息下基于案例推理的城市火灾应急决策方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(3):13.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.03.002]
 ZHANG Yanliang,XU Yuanyuan,LI Junya.Study on emergency decision-making method of urban fire based on case-based reasoning under incomplete information[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(12):13.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.03.002]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家科技支撑计划项目(2015BAK10B01);国家自然科学基金项目(71573252)
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-01-29