|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]魏利军,王向阳,罗艾民,等.基于Probit-Bayes方法的储罐地震易损性研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(11):17-21.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.11.003]
 WEI Lijun,WANG Xiangyang,LUO Aimin,et al.Investigation on seismic vulnerability of storage tanks based on Probit-Bayes method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(11):17-21.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.11.003]
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基于Probit-Bayes方法的储罐地震易损性研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
13
期数:
2017年11期
页码:
17-21
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2017-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Investigation on seismic vulnerability of storage tanks based on Probit-Bayes method
文章编号:
1673-193X(2017)-11-0017-05
作者:
魏利军1王向阳12罗艾民1向阳2
(1.中国安全生产科学研究院,北京 100012;2.北京化工大学 化学工程学院,北京 100029)
Author(s):
WEI Lijun1 WANG Xiangyang12 LUO Aimin1 XIANG Yang2
(1. China Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Beijing 100012, China; 2. School of Chemical Engineering, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China)
关键词:
储罐 Probit模型 Bayes方法地震易损性曲线
Keywords:
storage tank Probit model Bayes method earthquake vulnerability curve
分类号:
X915.5
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.11.003
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了研究地震对储罐造成的影响,结合历史上储罐的震害资料,将储罐的损伤程度进行分级,通过采用Bayes方法估计Probit模型参数,再转化成储罐的损伤概率,给出了各个损伤状态下的模型参数及给定地震加速度下储罐的损伤概率,提出了1种基于Probit -Bayes方法估计储罐易损性的计算方法。结果表明:所提出的地震损伤计算方法,能够有效的评估储罐在不同地震加速度下的损伤程度,可为震后储罐的安全评估提供理论依据。
Abstract:
To study the impact of earthquake on storage tanks, the damage degrees of storage tanks were graded according to the historical seismic damage data. The parameters of Probit model were estimated by using the Bayes method, then they were converted into the damage probability of storage tanks. The model parameters under each damage state and the damage probability of storage tanks under the given earthquake acceleration value were presented, and a calculation method on the vulnerability of storage tanks based on Probit-Bayes method was proposed. The results showed that the proposed method can effectively evaluate the damage degree of storage tanks under different earthquake acceleration, and it provides the theoretical basis for the safety assessment of the post-earthquake storage tanks.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0801500)
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-12-27