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[1]江新,孙正熙,徐平,等.水电工程施工阶段应急管理系统脆弱性评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(11):142-147.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.024]
　JIANG Xin,SUN Zhengxi,XU Ping,et al.Vulnerability evaluation on emergency management system in construction stage of hydropower engineering[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(11):142-147.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.024]
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水电工程施工阶段应急管理系统脆弱性评价
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
12
期数:
2016年11期
页码:
142-147
栏目:
现代职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2016-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Vulnerability evaluation on emergency management system in construction stage of hydropower engineering
文章编号:
1673-193X(2016)-11-0142-06
作者:
江新1; 2; 孙正熙1; 2; 徐平1; 2; 刘潋1; 2
（1.三峡大学 湖北省水电工程施工与管理重点实验室，湖北 宜昌 443002；2. 三峡大学 水利与环境学院，湖北 宜昌 443002)
Author(s):
JIANG Xin1; 2;  SUN Zhengxi1; 2;  XU Ping1; 2;  LIU Lian1; 2
(1. Hubei Key Laboratory of Construction and Management in Hydropower Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China; 2. College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443
关键词:
水电工程;  应急管理系统; 脆弱性; 灰色模糊; 评价模型
Keywords:
hydropower engineering;  emergency management system;  vulnerability;  grey fuzzy;  evaluation model
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.024
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为有效评估水电工程施工阶段应急管理系统应急能力并发现系统中的薄弱环节，提出一种应急管理系统脆弱性评价方法。首先，引入脆弱性理论，将应急管理系统的脆弱性分为暴露性、适应性和恢复性3部分；然后，根据水电工程施工阶段应急管理系统的特点构建了进攻性和防御性指标体系，并运用ANP（网络层次分析法）计算各指标权重，结合灰色聚类分析得到各防御性指标和系统整体的脆弱性系数，从而判断水电工程施工阶段应急管理系统脆弱性等级；最后，运用该模型对国内某水电站工程应急管理系统进行评价，在定量计算的基础上得到该应急系统的脆弱性等级，结果表明该系统脆弱性等级处于中等状态，并发现其薄弱环节，为完善水电工程施工阶段应急管理系统的建设提供支撑。
Abstract:
In order to effectively evaluate the emergency capability of emergency management system in construction stage of hydropower engineering, and find out the weak links in the system, a vulnerability evaluation method of emergency management system was proposed. Firstly, the vulnerability theory was introduced to divide the vulnerability of emergency management system into three parts, including exposure, adaptability and resilience. Secondly, the offensive and defensive index systems were constructed according to the characteristics of emergency management system in construction stage of hydropower engineering, and the analytic network process (ANP) method was applied to calculate the weight of each index. The vulnerability coefficients of each defensive index and the whole system were obtained combining with the grey clustering analysis, so as to judge the vulnerability grade of emergency management system in construction stage of hydropower engineering. Finally, the model was used to evaluate the emergency management system of a domestic hydropower station engineering. The vulnerability grade of the emergency system was obtained based on the quantitative calculation. The results showed that the vulnerability grade of this system was in the medium state, and its weak links were found out. It provides support to improve the construction of emergency management system in construction stage of hydropower engineering.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
长江科学院开放研究基金资助项目（CKWV2016382/KY）；水电工程施工与管理湖北省重点实验室（三峡大学）开放基金资助（2016KSD20）；国家自然科学基金资助（51379110）
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-01-04