|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]鲜涛,姚安林,李熠辰,等.基于属性识别理论的油气管道施工质量风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(4):95-101.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2015.04.015]
 XIAN Tao,YAO An-lin,LI Yi-chen,et al.Risk assessment on constructing quality of oil & gas pipeline based on attribute recognition theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(4):95-101.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2015.04.015]
点击复制

基于属性识别理论的油气管道施工质量风险评价
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
11
期数:
2015年4期
页码:
95-101
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2015-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Risk assessment on constructing quality of oil & gas pipeline based on attribute recognition theory
作者:
鲜涛1姚安林12李熠辰1万甫1 周旭1
(1. 西南石油大学 石油与天然气工程学院,四川 成都 610500; 2. 油气消防四川省重点实验室,四川 成都 610500)
Author(s):
XIAN Tao1 YAO An-lin12 LI Yi-chen1 WAN Fu1 ZHOU Xu1
(1. School of Petroleum and natural gas Engineering, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu Sichuan 610500, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Fire Control of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Sichuan 610500, China)
关键词:
油气管道施工质量风险评价属性识别熵权组合赋权
Keywords:
oil & gas pipelines constructing quality risk assessment attribute recognition entropy weight combination weight assigning
分类号:
X937
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2015.04.015
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了贴近客观实际地评价油气管道施工质量风险,提出了基于属性识别模型的风险评价方法。首先建立属性空间矩阵并进行有序分割,采用客观赋权的熵权法和主观赋权的G1法组合赋权确定各评价指标权重和属性测度,利用置信度准则对模型进行识别,得到管道施工质量降低可能性等级。然后评价管道施工质量降低的后果,依据风险矩阵得到施工质量风险等级。算例表明:人员的素质、错误行为、施工工艺方法和管理方法对油气管道施工质量的影响较大。管段S4、S5发生油气管道施工质量降低的可能性偏高,通过风险矩阵得到管段S4、S5的风险等级也偏高。因此,管道公司和施工单位应着重管控管段S4、S5的风险因素。
Abstract:
In order to realistically evaluate the risk on construction quality of oil & gas pipelines, a risk evaluation method was put forward based on attribute recognition model. Firstly, the attribute space matrix was established and orderly divided. The combination weight assigning of entropy weight method with objective weight assigning and G1 method with subjective weight assigning was applied to determine the weight and attribute measurement of each evaluation index. The confidence criterion was used to recognize the model and obtain the possibility level of quality reduction in pipelines construction. Finally, the result of quality reduction in pipelines construction was evaluated, and the risk grade was obtained by risk matrix. The given example showed that the construction quality of oil & gas pipelines is greatly affected by the quality and wrong behaviors of personnel, construction technology and management method. The possibility that the construction quality of oil & gas pipelines will reduce in section S4 and S5 is higher. There is a high level of risk in section S4 and S5 by risk matrix. Therefore, attention and concern should be paid to manage and control the risk factors in section S4 and S5 by pipeline company and construction company.

参考文献/References:

[1]何利民,高祁.大型油气储运设施施工[M].山东:中国石油大学出版社,2007
[2]柳红卫.城市天然气管道半定量风险评估方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2006,2(3):96-100 LIU Hong-wei.Study on semi-quantitative risk assessment method for urban natural gas pipeline[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2006,2(3):96-100
[3]田娜,陈保东,杨帆,等.灰色关联分析法在油气管道半定量风险评价中的应用[J].石油工程建设,2006,32(1):17-21 TIAN Na,CHEN Bao-dong,YANG Fan,et al.Application of gray correlation analysis in oil and gas pipeline risk assessment[J].Petroleum Engineering Construction,2006,32(1):17-21
[4]马剑林,陈利琼,张鹏,等.油气管道定量风险评价体系研究[J].油气储运,2006,25(12):24-27 MA Jian-lin,CHEN Li-qiong,ZHANG Peng,et al.Study on the system of oil and gas pipeline quantitative risk assessment[J].Oil and Gas Storage and Transportation,2006,25(12):24-27
[5]张华兵,冯庆善,郑洪龙,等.油气长输管道定量风险评价[J].中国安全科学学报,2008,18(3):161-165 ZHANG Hua-bing,FENG Qing-shan,ZHANG Hong-long,et al.Quantitative risk assessment of oil and gas long-distance pipeline[J].China Safety Science Journal,2008,18(3):161-165
[6]赵学芬,姚安林,赵忠刚.基于完整性管理的油气管道施工质量评价[J].石油化工安全技术,2006,22(3):16-19 ZHAO Xue-fen,YAO An-lin,ZHAO Zhong-gang.Quality assessment of oil and gas pipeline construction based on integrity management[J].Petrochem ICAL Safety Technology,2006,22(3):16-19
[7]姚安林,赵忠刚,张锦伟.油气管道风险评估质量评价技术[J].天然气工业,2013,33(12):111-115 YAO An-lin,ZHAO Zhong-gang,Zhang Jin-wei.Quality evaluation for oil and gas pipeline risk assessment[J].Natural Gas industry,2013,33(12):111-115
[8]GB50369-2006 油气长输管道工程施工及验收规范[S].2006
[9]GB50424-2007 油气输送管道穿越工程施工规范[S].2007
[10]汤永利,徐国爱.基于信息熵的信息安全风险分析模型[J].北京邮电大学学报,2008,31(2):50-53 TANG Yong-li, XU Guo-ai. Information security risk analysis model using information entropy[J].Journal of Beijing University of Post and Telecommunications, 2008,31(2):50-53
[11]薛剑光,周健,史秀志,等.基于熵权属性识别模型的岩体可爆性分级评价[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版), 2010,41(1):251-255 XUE Jian-guang,ZHOU Jian,SHI Xue-zhi,et al.Assessment of classification for rock mass blastability based on entropy coefficient of attribute recognition model [J].Journal of Central South University(Science and Technology) ,2010,41(1): 251-255
[12]刘建,郑双忠,邓云峰,等.基于G1法的应急能力评估指标权重的确定[J].中国安全科学学报,2006,16(1):30-33 LIU Jian,ZHENG Shuang-zhong,DENG Yun-feng,et al.Weight determination of indexes in evaluation of emergency response ability based on G1[J].China Safety Science Journal,2006,16(1):30-33
[13]American Petroleum Institute.Risk based resource document API 581[S].

相似文献/References:

[1]辜冬梅,姚安林,尹旭东,等.基于层次-模糊评价法的山区油气管道 地质灾害易发性研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(5):52.
 GU Dong mei,YAO An lin,YIN Xu dong,et al.Study on occurrence of geological hazards for oil and gas pipelines through the mountains based on AHPfuzzy evaluation[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(4):52.
[2]郑登锋,蒋金生,王明勇.基于风险矩阵和LOPA的风险评价系统在油气管道 的应用研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(10):76.
 ZHENG Deng feng,JIANG Jin sheng,WANG Ming yong.Study on application of risk evaluation system based on risk matrix and LOPA in oil and gas pipeline system[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(4):76.
[3]王全国,贺帅斌,党文义.油气管道安全预警技术性能评估研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(1):98.
 WANG Quan guo,HE Shuai bin,et al.Study on performance evaluation of safety prewarning technology on oil and gas pipeline[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(4):98.
[4]康乐,姚安林,关惠平,等.急倾斜煤层采空区地表移动盆地对油气管道安全影响分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(9):102.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.019]
 KANG Le,YAO An lin,GUAN Hui pin,et al.Safety influence analysis of subsidence trough on oil & gas pipeline in steeply inclined coalmining area[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(4):102.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.019]
[5]樊文有,陈 叶,李云海.基于地理信息系统的油气管道安全管理研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2009,5(4):175.
 FAN Wen you,CHEN Ye,Li Yun hai.Study on safety management system of gasoil pipeline based on GIS[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2009,5(4):175.
[6]王如君.灰色-马尔科夫链模型在埋地油气管道腐蚀预测中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(4):102.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2015.04.016]
 WANG Ru-jun,WANG Tian-yu.Application of grey Markov chain model in corrosion forecast of buried oil and gas pipelines[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(4):102.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193X.2015.04.016]
[7]张杰,梁政,韩传军,等.落石冲击作用下架设油气管道响应分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(7):11.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.07.002]
 ZHANG Jie,LIANG Zheng,HAN Chuan-jun,et al.Analysis on response of overhead oil and gas pipeline impacted by rock-fall[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(4):11.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.07.002]
[8]冯晓东,张圣柱,王如君,等.加拿大油气管道安全管理体系及其启示[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(6):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.06.032]
 FENG Xiaodong,ZHANG Shengzhu,WANG Rujun,et al.Study on safety management system of oil and gas pipeline in Canada and its implications[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(4):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.06.032]
[9]张圣柱,王如君,多英全,等.国家油气管道地图系统架构探讨[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(11):164.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.028]
 ZHANG Shengzhu,WANG Rujun,DUO Yingquan,et al.Discussion on architecture of national oil and gas pipeline mapping system[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(4):164.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.028]
[10]舒畅,姚安林,韩昌柴,等.基于投影寻踪聚类的油气管道失效可能性评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(12):99.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.12.017]
 SHU Chang,YAO Anlin,HAN Changchai,et al.Assessment on failure probability of oil and gas pipeline based on projection pursuit cluster[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(4):99.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.12.017]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家“十二五”科技支撑计划资助项目(2011BAK06B01-11-01)
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-04-30