|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陈 春.道路交通事故的影响因素研究——基于结构方程模型的实证研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(5):103-108.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.018]
 CHEN Chun.Research on influencing factors of road traffic accidents——empirical study based on structural equation model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(5):103-108.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.018]
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道路交通事故的影响因素研究——基于结构方程模型的实证研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
10
期数:
2014年5期
页码:
103-108
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2014-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on influencing factors of road traffic accidents——empirical study based on structural equation model
文章编号:
20140518
作者:
陈 春
(四川师范大学 商学院,四川 成都 610101)
Author(s):
CHEN Chun
(School of Business, SiChuan Normal University, Chengdu Sichuan 610101 , China)
关键词:
道路交通交通安全结构方程模型
Keywords:
road traffic traffic safety structural equation model
分类号:
X951
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.05.018
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
使用Amos建立了31个省市道路交通事故的结构方程,SEM道路交通结构模型选用了潜变量交通事故、人口素质、经济因子和车辆道路,每个潜变量包含三至五个指标观察变量,所有数据均通过信度检验。SEM道路交通结构模型采用bootstrap Stine p估计加以修正卡方值,通过了适配性检验和显著性检验,并拟合好全部路径系数、潜变量因子得分权重等,以此可计算得31个省市道路交通事故得分和排名,实证结果与31个省市道路交通事故实际情况相符,最后根据分析得出了影响道路交通事故的因素,并有针对性地提出了相关政策建议。
Abstract:
A structural equation model (SEM) was established by applying Amos based on road traffic accidents occurred in 31 provinces and cities. In this SEM, multiple latent variables were selected, including traffic accidents, population quality, economic factors and vehicles on the road, and each factor consists of 3 to 5 observed variables. All data passed confidence verification test. In the SEM, bootstrap stine p was used to correct chi square value. Through the adaptation and significance test and a good matching of all path coefficients, etc., SEM was used to score and get rank of the road traffic accidents of 31 provinces and cities, and the ranking was consistent with the actual situation. According to the analysis on influencing factors of road traffic accidents, some corresponding policy recommendations were proposed.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(71202166);教育部青年基金项目(13YJC630202);四川省哲学社会科学项目(SC13B028);四川省教育厅项目(2013SA0139);四川师范大学科研创新团队研究成果
更新日期/Last Update: 2014-05-31