|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王陈玉书,张园园,张巨伟,等.化工事故模糊系统FTA模型的研究与应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(2):117.
　WANG CHEN Yu shu,ZHANG Yuan yuan,ZHANG Ju wei,et al.Research and application on FTA model of chemical accident fuzzy system[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(2):117.
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化工事故模糊系统FTA模型的研究与应用
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
9
期数:
2013年2期
页码:
117
栏目:
出版日期:
2013-02-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research and application on FTA model of chemical accident fuzzy system
作者:
王陈玉书1; 张园园1; 张巨伟1; 尚思思1; 刘俊亨2
（1辽宁石油化工大学机械工程学院，辽宁抚顺113001；2三一重型装备有限公司，辽宁沈阳100027
Author(s):
WANG CHEN Yushu1;  ZHANG Yuanyuan1 ;  ZHANG Juwei1; SHANG Sisi1;  LIU Junheng2
(1Liaoning Shihua University , School of Mechanical Engineering,Fushun Liaoning 113001, China;  2Sany Heavy Equipment Co., Ltd ， Shenyang Liaoning 100027, China)
关键词:
三角模糊数; 模糊系统; 化工事故; FTA模型
Keywords:
triangular fuzzy number; fuzzy system; chemical accident; FTA model
分类号:
X936
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对化工事故模糊系统，基于三角模糊数和事故树建立事故定量分析模型。运用该模型进行案例分析，确定储油罐体发生火灾爆炸事故的概率分布，指出概率的波动范围、平均事故概率，得出基本事件的模糊重要度，进行模糊重要度排序，明确该化工系统危险源分布的状态，指出导致事故发生的最危险路径，给出该危险路径发生的模糊概率，以上为企业管理人员制定安全措施提供重要的参考依据。该模型对于企业进行事故预测、事故原因分析、制定安全对策、风险投资分析具有重要的意义。
Abstract:
Accident quantitative analysis model for chemical accident fuzzy system based on triangular fuzzy number and fault tree was established. This model was applied to analyzing a case，determining the fire and explosion accident probability distribution of oil tank，pointing out that the fluctuation range of probability and the average accident probability，getting the fuzzy important degree of basic events，sorting fuzzy degree of importance，clearing the state of dangerous source distribution about the chemical system，and pointing out the most dangerous path that causes the accident. All of above provide important reference for corporate executives to develop safety measures. The model is important for accident prediction，analyzing the cause of the accident，developing safety countermeasures and analyzing risk investment.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
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更新日期/Last Update: 2013-02-28