|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]梅国栋.基于现代数学思想对安全生产控制指标分解方法的研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(8):60-66.
　MEI Guo-dong.Research on decomposition method of control index in safety production based on modern mathematics[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(8):60-66.
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基于现代数学思想对安全生产控制指标分解方法的研究()
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
7
期数:
2011年8期
页码:
60-66
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2011-08-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on decomposition method of control index in safety production based on modern mathematics
文章编号:
1673-193X(2011)-08-0060-07
作者:
梅国栋
中国安全生产科学研究院； 北京科技大学；
Author(s):
MEI Guo-dong1; 2
1.China Academy of Safety Science and Technology,Beijing 100012,China)(2.China Coal Information Institute,Beijing 100029,China
关键词:
安全生产;  控制指标;  现代数学;  分解方法;  权重
Keywords:
safety production;  control index;  modern mathematics;  decomposition method;  weight
分类号:
X92
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
随着我国安全生产状况逐年稳定好转,传统的安全生产控制指标层层分解的方法正面临着分解空间日益狭小、指标难于分解的挑战。为增强指标分解方法的理论性和科学性,力求真正意义上反映地方政府在安全生产工作中的实际成效,本文作者以创新方法为突破口,结合现代数学理论中"加权平均预测法"、"弹性系数预测法"等数学思想,对我国安全控制指标分解方法进行了延伸性的创新研究,提出了"五年平均降幅定权重法"和"相对指标反推绝对指标法"两种控制指标分解方案,为安控指标的分解方法提供了新的思路。
Abstract:
With the year after year steady improvement of China’s work safety situation,traditional layer upon layer decomposing methods of control indicators are facing the challenges that the decomposition space is more and more narrow increasingly and the indicators are more and more difficult to decompose and etc.In order to enhance the theoretical and scientific of the indicators’ decomposition methods,Strive to truly reflect the practical results of work safety in the local government.The author conducted a extended Innovative study on the decomposition method of our China’s work safety control indicators which by the innovations approaches as a breakthrough and combination with the modern mathematical theories such as "Weighted average prediction method" and "Elastic coefficient forecast method" and etc,and proposed two control indicator decomposition proposal——"five-year average decline weight method" and "the relative indicator back step absolute indicator method",which provided a new idea for the decomposition methods of China’s work safety control indicators.

参考文献/References:

[1] 叶闲林,林荣昌, 闸源虹. 安全生产控制指标体系的调查与思考. http://www.chinasafety. gov.cn/newpage YE Xian-lin, LIN Rong-chang, ZHA Yuan-hong. Investigation and Thoughts on statistical index system of production safety. http://www.chinasafety. gov.cn/newpage(in Chinese)[2] 吕海燕,张宏元,王便文. 对生产安全事故统计指标体系改革的思考. 中国统计,2003, (11):17~19 LU Hai-yan, ZHANG Hong-yuan, WANG Bian-wen. Thought on statistical index system of production safety accidents, China Statistics, 2003, (11):17~19(in Chinese)[3] 支同祥. 生产安全事故统计指标体系改革思路.劳动保护,2003,(10):32~33 ZHI Tong-xiang. Reform ideas for statistical index system of production safety accidents, Labor Protection, 2003, (10):32~33 (in Chinese)[4] 孟凡荣,庄朋,闫秋艳. 基于加权移动平均的数据流预测模型. 计算机应用研究, 2009, 26(10):3680-3686 MENG Fan-rong, ZHUANG Peng, YAN Qiu-yan. Data stream predictionmodel based on weighted moving average. ApplicationResearch ofComputers, 2009, 26(10):3680-3686(in Chinese)[5] 安振宇,陈云国. 基于火灾统计数据的火灾形势综合评价和定量预测. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2006,2(2):29~33 AN Zhen-yu, CHEN Yun-guo. Fire comprehensive evaluation and quantitative prediction based on fire statistic. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2006, 2(2):29-33(in Chinese)[6] 杜渐. 模糊多元回归模型在运输弹性系数预测中的应用. 武汉理工大学学报, 2009, 30(2):333~336 DU Jian. Application of Fuzzy Multiple Regression Model to Transportation Elasticity Coefficient Forecast. Journal of Wuhan University of Technology, 2009, 30(2):333~336(in Chinese)

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2011-06-23
作者简介：梅国栋，博士研究生
基金项目：中国安全生产科学研究院基本科研业务费专项资金项目(编号:2009JBKY04);国家科技重大专项课题(煤层气与煤炭协调开发模式与技术体系)
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