|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]孙宝铁,张福群,纪德香,等.基于集对分析的石化企业安全投资状况动态评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(5):113-117.
　SUN Bao-tie,AHANG Fu-qun,JI De-xiang,et al.Dynamic estimation on safety investment in petrochemical enterprise?based?on?set pair analysis[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(5):113-117.
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基于集对分析的石化企业安全投资状况动态评价()
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
7
期数:
2011年5期
页码:
113-117
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2011-05-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Dynamic estimation on safety investment in petrochemical enterprise?based?on?set pair analysis
文章编号:
1673-193X(2011)-05-0113-05
作者:
孙宝铁1; 张福群2; 纪德香1; 王国胜2
1.吉林省安全科学技术研究院，长春? 130051
2.沈阳化工大学化学工程学院，沈阳? 110042
Author(s):
SUN Bao-tie1;  AHANG Fu-qun2;  JI De-xiang1;  WANG Guo-sheng2
1. Jilin Institute of Safety Science and Technology, Changchun? 130051, China
2. college of Chemical Engineering, Shenyang University of Chemical Technology, Shenyang? 110142,? China
关键词:
安全投资; 动态评价; 集对分析; 投资状况
Keywords:
Safety Investment; Dynamic Estimation; SPA; Investment Status
分类号:
X915.4
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
石油化工企业的安全事故频发和职业危害严重,不仅造成重大经济损失,而且对社会造成了不良影响,不合理的安全投资是造成这种状况的主要原因之一,对企业现有安全投资状况进行评价是合理进行安全投资的前提和基础。本文针对石油化工企业安全投资评价中诸多不确定性因素和动态特征进行分析,运用集对分析和马尔可夫链理论,建立了基于集对分析石化企业安全投资状况的动态评价模型,为安全投资状况评价工作提供了一个新方法。以某石油化工企业为例,通过对该企业2006-2009年这四年安全投资状况进行动态评价分析,并预测出2010年该企业的安全投资状况。评价结果表明,将集对分析和马尔可夫链理论用于石化企业安全投资状况的动态评价与预测,起到了非常好的效果,能够为企业科学合理地作出正确决策提供理论依据。
Abstract:
Frequent safety accidents and serious occupational harms of petro-chemical enterprises lead to not only great economic losses, but also harmful effects for community. One of the main reasons was unreasonable safety investment, and the premise and foundation of reasonable safety investment was to estimate the condition of safety investment for enterprise. In this work, A new dynamic estimation model for petrochemical enterprise safety investment has been set based on SPA (set pair analysis) combining with the Markov theory, which is focusing on some uncertain factors and dynamic features during the safety investment estimation. In this paper, a petrochemical enterprise has been used as a case study. By using the investment data set from 2006 to 2009, the safety investment status of the case enterprise is predicted. The results showed that the new method has promising performance in safety investment dynamic estimation and prediction, which is cost-effective tool for scientific determination and management.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2011-03-07
作者简介：孙宝铁，硕士，高级工程师。
更新日期/Last Update: