|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王永刚,王媛卓.航空公司运行风险因子交互作用规律研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(5):116.
　WANG Yong gang,WANG Yuan zhuo.Study on interaction law of risk factors in airlines operating[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):116.
点击复制

航空公司运行风险因子交互作用规律研究
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
8
期数:
2012年5期
页码:
116
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on interaction law of risk factors in airlines operating
作者:
王永刚; 王媛卓
（中国民航大学安全科学与工程学院，天津 300300）
Author(s):
WANG Yonggang;  WANG Yuanzhuo
(College of Safety Science and Engineering, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China)
关键词:
飞机运行; 系统安全; 风险管理; 矩阵计算; 网络模型
Keywords:
aircraft operating;  system safety;  risk management;  matrix calculation;  network model
分类号:
X949
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对影响航空公司飞机运行安全的风险因子具有关联性及因果性的特点，从人、机、环、管四方面分析影响航空公司飞机安全运行的风险因子，由专家及航空公司运行人员对风险因子两两之间的相关性及因果性进行判断，结合图论中的方法构建风险因子的邻接矩阵，并利用MATLAB仿真软件构建邻接矩阵的可达矩阵，然后对可达矩阵进行分解并将风险因子分为5个层次，构成一个多级递阶的网络模型，明确不同层次中的风险因子及其因果关联影响，揭示风险因子交互作用的内在规律。结果表明，网络结构模型具有良好因果关系及层次，说明只有通过系统安全管理手段避免风险因子之间的交互作用才能更加有效控制风险的发生。
Abstract:
According to the features of relevance and causality for the risk factors which affects the airline aircraft operation safety, the risk factors were analyzed from four aspects of human, machine, environment and management, which affected the airline aircraft operation safety. The relevance and causality between any two risk factors were judged by the civil aviation experts and airlines operating staff, and then the methods of graph theory were applied to build the adjacency matrix of risk factors and MATLAB simulation software was used to build the reachability matrix of the adjacency matrix, then the reachability matrix was decomposed and the risk factors were divided into five levels to form a multilevel hierarchical network model, in order to definitude different levels of risk factors and causal correlation effect, and to reveal the inherent laws of interaction risk factors. The results indicated that the network structural model could change indistinct relationship into intuitive model which has good causality and hierarchical structure, the evaluation of risk is also more objective, that shows only all the departments and the stuff of the airlines work together, and use system safety management means to avoid the interaction influence of risk factors could control the risk which affects the airline aircraft operation safety more effective.

参考文献/References:

-

相似文献/References:

[1]张玉萍.美国航空运输安全监管体系发展研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(10):191.
　ZHANG Yu ping.Study on development of safety oversight system of air transportation in the United States[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(5):191.
[2]刘铁民,徐永莉,王浩.重特大事故频发凸显生产安全的系统脆弱性——2013年几起特大事故反思[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(4):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.04.001]
　LIU Tie-min,XU Yong-li,WANG Hao.The frequent serious accidents exposing the system vulnerability of work safety——Reflection on several serious accidents in 2013[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(5):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.04.001]
[3]任录,安海静,王聚峰,等.绥中361油田气驱替技术的风险与对策[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2009,5(6):160.
　REN Lu,AN Hai jing,WANG Ju feng,et al.Risk and countermeasures of gas injection displacement technology in Suizhong 361 oil field[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2009,5(5):160.
[4]刘铁民,张程林.从问责调查到问题调查——基于系统论和系统安全理论的思考与建议[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(9):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.09.001]
　LIU Tiemin,ZHANG Chenglin.From accountability investigation to problem investigation-thinking and suggestions based on system theory and system safety theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(5):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.09.001]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
民航科技项目计划专项资费资助（编号：MHRDZ201119）
更新日期/Last Update: 2012-06-04