|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]徐逸飞,帅斌,张玥,等.基于改进ISM-FRAM铁路运输事故致因分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(5):161-168.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.025]
 XU Yifei,SHUAI Bin,ZHANG Yue,et al.Causes analysis of railway transport accidents based on improved ISM-FRAM[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2021,17(5):161-168.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.025]
点击复制

基于改进ISM-FRAM铁路运输事故致因分析*
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
17
期数:
2021年5期
页码:
161-168
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2021-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Causes analysis of railway transport accidents based on improved ISM-FRAM
文章编号:
1673-193X(2021)-05-0161-08
作者:
徐逸飞帅斌张玥于耀程尹德志张锐黄文成
(1.西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院,四川 成都 611756;
2.综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,四川 成都 611756;
3.综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室,四川 成都 611756)
Author(s):
XU YifeiSHUAI BinZHANG YueYU YaochengYIN DezhiZHANG RuiHUANG Wencheng
(1.School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China;
2.National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China;
3.National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China)
关键词:
功能共振分析方法解释结构模型环境功能功能可变性犹豫模糊熵
Keywords:
functional resonance analysis method (FRAM) interpretative structural model (ISM) environmental function functional variability hesitant fuzzy entropy
分类号:
X951
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.025
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为提高功能共振(FRAM)在铁路运输系统事故致因分析方面清晰度和完整性,提出新增环境模块的改进FRAM模型,刻画环境功能模块与其它功能模块交互耦合作用;通过引入解释结构模型(ISM),划分事故致因分析网络结构层次,分别计算分析网络层级重要度和功能模块结构重要度,并采用改进区间值犹豫模糊熵定量计算功能可变性和耦合损失度。结果表明:新增环境功能模块能有效分析与其它功能模块交互耦合作用,保证FRAM分析完整性;ISM-FRAM模型建立清晰事故层次结构,有助于理清事故致因;功能可变性和耦合损失度弥补FRAM风险评估定量分析不足,为功能屏障设置提供依据。
Abstract:
In order to improve the clarity and completeness of functional resonance analysis method (FRAM) in the accident causes analysis of railway transportation system,an improved FRAM model with additional environmental module was put forward,and the interaction and coupling effect between environmental function module and other function modules was described.The interpretative structural model (ISM) was introduced to divide the structural hierarchy of accident causes analysis network,and the hierarchical importance of network and the structural importance of functional modules were calculated and analyzed respectively.The improved interval value hesitant fuzzy entropy was introduced to quantitatively calculate the functional variability and coupling loss.Based on the case analysis of the EMU accident on the Yong-wen line,the results showed that the additional environmental function module could effectively analyze the interaction and coupling effect with other function modules,which ensured the integrity of FRAM analysis.The ISM-FRAM model established a clear accident hierarchical structure,which helps to clarify the causes of accidents.The functional variability and coupling loss supplemented the deficiency of quantitative analysis in FRAM risk assessment,and provides basis for the functional barrier setting.

参考文献/References:

[1]CHEN L,ZHAO Y,ZHAO T.Anacci map analysis on the China-Yongwen railway accident [J].Engineering Asset Management-Systems,Professional Practices and Certification,2015,12(3):11-17.
[2]RUTH M,GOLIGHTLY D,MADDERS R.Application of human factors analysis and classification system (HFACS) to UK rail safety of the line incidents [J].Accident Analysis and Prevention,2016,4(12):23-27.
[3]MIN O,HONG L,YU M-H,et al.STAMP-based analysis on the railway accident and accident spreading:taking the China-Jiaoji railway accident for example [J].Safety Science,2010,48(5):41-45.
[4]李佳遥,苟娟琼,穆文歆,等.基于事故链情境的铁路潜在风险关联推理研究[J].铁道学报,2017,39(11):8-14. LI Jiayao,GOU Juanqiong,Mu Wenxin,et al.Rules reasoning of inter-relation of railway potential risks based on context of accident chain [J].Journal of the China Railway Society,2017,39(11):8-14.
[5]王卓,刁朋娣,贾利民,等.铁路事故致因与风险分析[J].中国安全科学学报,2012,22(6):79-85. WANG Zhuo,DIAO Pengdi,JIA Limin,et al.Analysis of railway accident causes and risk [J].China Safety Science Journal,2012,22(6):79-85.
[6]PATRIARCA R,GRAVIO G D,COSTANTINO F.Amonte carlo evolution of the functional resonance analysis method (FRAM) to assess performance variability in complex systems [J].Safety Science,2017,91:112-115.
[7]张明洁,王华伟,付强.基于功能共振方法的航空维修人为因素分析[J].人类工效学,2018,24(2):69-73,86. ZHANG Mingjie,WANG Huawei,FU Qiang.Analysis of human factors in aviation maintenance based on functional resonance method [J].Chinese Journal of Ergonomics,2018,24(2):69-73,86.
[8]COSTANTINO F,GRAVIO G D,TRONCI M.Environmental audit improvements in industrial systems through FRAM [J].IFAC Papers Online,2018,51(11).:364-368.
[9]LEE J,CHUNG H.A new methodology for accident analysis with human and system interaction based on FRAM:case studies in maritime domain [J].Safety Science,2018,109:55-59.
[10]LI W,HE M,SUN Y,et al.A proactive operational risk identification and analysis framework based on the integration of ACAT and FRAM [J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2019,21(5):1121-1126.
[11]乔万冠,李新春,刘全龙.基于改进FRAM模型的煤矿重大事故致因分析[J].煤矿安全,2019,50(2):249-252,256. QIAO Wanguan,LI Xinchun,LIU Quanlong.Analysis of major accidents in coal mines based on improved FRAM model [J].Safety in Coal Mines,2019,50(2):249-252,256.
[12]高扬,徐佳迪,武文涛,等.基于FRAM-AHP法的公务航空飞行事故分析[J].安全与环境学报,2019,19(3):754-760. GAO Yang,XU Jiadi,WU Wentao,et al.Analysis of business aviation flight accidents based on FRAM-AHP method[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2019,19(3):754-760.
[13]HOLLNAGEL E.功能共振分析方法:复杂社会-技术系统建模[M].上海:复旦大学出版社,2015.
[14]叶斌.基于ISM法的南京地铁运营故障致因分析及风险防控对策研究[D].南京:东南大学,2018.
[15]李海珠,邓瑞祥,王选仓,等.基于区间值犹豫模糊熵的DB模式指标权重确定[J].土木工程与管理学报,2019,36(5):96-101. LI Haizhu,DENG Ruixiang,WANG Xuancang,et al.Index weight determination based on interval value hesitant fuzzy entropy DB mode[J].Journal of Civil Engineering and Management,2019,36(5):96-101.
[16]江文奇.基于前景理论和统计推断的区间数多准则决策方法[J].控制与决策,2015,30(2):375-379. JIANG Wenqi.Interval multi-criteria decision-making approach based on prospect theory and statistic deduction [J].Control and Decision,2015,30(2):375-379.
[17]陈树伟,蔡丽娜.区间值犹豫模糊集[J].模糊系统与数学,2013,27(6):38-44. CHEN Shuwei,CAI Lina.Interval valued hesitation fuzzy set [J].Modules and Systems and Mathematics,2013,27(6):38-44.

相似文献/References:

[1]薛韦一,刘泽功.基于ISM法的矿工安全心理影响因素分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(12):112.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.12.019]
 XUE Wei yi,LIU Ze gong.Analysis on influence factors of safety psychology for miners based on ISM method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(5):112.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.12.019]
[2]郭进平,陈洪伟,赵金娜.基于解释结构模型的安全执行力分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2009,5(3):78.
 GUO Jin ping,CHEN Hong wei,ZHAO Jin na.Analysis of safety execution based on interpretative structure model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2009,5(5):78.
[3]黄敏,于凤娥,邵良杉.基于解释结构模型的城乡结合部突发事件触发源研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(1):65.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.01.011]
 HUANG Min,YU Feng-e,SHAO Liang-shan.Study on trigger sources of emergencies in rural-urban continuum based on interpretative structural model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(5):65.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.01.011]
[4]罗周全,程鹏毅.基于DEMATEL-ISM的地下金属矿山人机系统事故影响因素分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(12):145.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.022]
 LUO Zhouquan,CHENG Pengyi.Analysis on factors affecting accidents of man-machine system in underground metal mine based on DEMATEL-ISM[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(5):145.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.022]
[5]孙瑞山,占欣.基于ISM—CRITIC法的通用航空可控飞行撞地影响因素分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(1):129.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.01.021]
 SUN Ruishan,ZHAN Xin.Analysis on influence factors of controlled flight into terrain of general aviation based on ISM-CRITIC method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(5):129.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.01.021]
[6]杜红兵,赵一杰.民用运输机场安检系统风险影响因素研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(8):37.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.08.006]
 DU Hongbing,ZHAO Yijie.Research on influencing factors for risk of security inspection system in civil transportation airport[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(5):37.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.08.006]
[7]张玥,帅斌,尹德志,等.基于STAMP-ISM的铁路危险品运输系统风险-事故分析方法*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(9):147.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.09.023]
 ZHANG Yue,SHUAI Bin,YIN Dezhi,et al.Risk-accident analysis method of railway dangerous goods transportation system based on STAMP-ISM[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(5):147.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.09.023]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2020-09-08
* 基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(72001179);四川省科技厅国际科技创新合作项目(2021YFH0106 );中央高校基本科研经费项目(2682021CX052)
作者简介: 徐逸飞,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为事故致因分析与系统风险分析。
通信作者: 帅斌,博士,教授,主要研究方向为危险品运输路网建模与规划、危险品运输系统评价。
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-06-03