|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王萍,闫丽莉,郭文超.基于AHP-熵权法的基层地震科普能力评价*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(12):170-175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.12.027]
　WANG Ping,YAN Lili,GUO Wenchao.Evaluation of grassroots earthquake science popularization capability based on AHP-entropy method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(12):170-175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.12.027]
点击复制

基于AHP-熵权法的基层地震科普能力评价*
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
16
期数:
2020年12期
页码:
170-175
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2020-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Evaluation of grassroots earthquake science popularization capability based on AHP-entropy method
文章编号:
1673-193X(2020)-12-0170-06
作者:
王萍; 闫丽莉; 郭文超
（天津市地震局，天津 300201）
Author(s):
WANG Ping;  YAN Lili;  GUO Wenchao
(Tianjin Earthquake Agency,Tianjin 300201,China)
关键词:
地震科普; 能力评价; 层次分析法; 熵权法
Keywords:
earthquake science popularization;  capability evaluation;  AHP;  entropy method
分类号:
X915.5；G315
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.12.027
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为提高基层地震科普评价工作的客观性和精准性，根据“环境-投入-产出-效果”的评价框架，建立涵盖保障能力、队伍能力、设施能力、产出能力、活动能力5类26项指标的基层地震科普能力评价指标体系，选用AHP-熵权法计算指标的组合权重；以天津为例进行验证，并提出相关工作建议。结果表明：建立的评价模型对于开展定量化的区域基层地震科普能力评价具有较强的参考价值，评价结果与实际情况基本相符；天津市基层地震科普在硬件建设方面取得较好成效，但整体能力依然偏弱，16个区平均得分仅为0.344 8；发展不平衡、软实力不足是制约当前发展最重要的2个因素；提出相关的工作建议可为优化基层科普工作布局、提高工作实效提供有益参考。
Abstract:
In order to improve the objectivity and accuracy of evaluation on the grassroots earthquake science popularization,according to the evaluation framework of “environmentinputoutputeffect”,an evaluation index system covering 26 indexes in five categories was established,including support capability,team capability,facility capability,output capacity and activity ability.The AHP-entropy method was used to calculate the combination weights of indexes,and the verification was carried out by taking Tianjin as an example and relevant work suggestions was proposed.The results showed that the established evaluation model had stronger reference value for the quantitative evaluation of regional grassroots earthquake science popularization capability,and the evaluation results were basically in line with the actual situation.The grassroots earthquake science popularization of Tianjin had achieved good results in hardware construction,but the overall capability was still weak.The average score of 16 districts was only 0.344 8.The unbalanced development and insufficient soft power were the two most important factors restricting the current development.The proposed relevant work suggestions can provide a useful reference for optimizing the layout of grassroots science popularization work and improving the work effectiveness.

参考文献/References:

［1］陆文静,郭浩然,孙春仙,等.公民科学素质视角下的防震减灾科普研究——以日本和美国为例［J］.震灾防御技术,2019,14(4):882-889. LU Wenjing,GUO Haoran,SUN Chunxian,et al.The popular science research on earthquake prevention and disater reduction from the perspective of citizen’s scientific quality：taking Japan and the United States as example［J］.Technology for Earthquake Disater Prevention,2019,14(4):882-889.
［2］王萍,张孟怡,郭文超.新体制下我国基层防震减灾工作研究——以天津市为例［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(1):118-122. WANG Ping,ZHANG Mengyi,GUO Wenchao.Research on earthquake prevention and disaster reduction work at grassroot level under new management system in China:taking Tianjin as example［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2020,16(1):118-122.
［3］刘晓静,薄涛,郭燕.我国地震综合减灾能力评价指标体系——以唐山市为例［J］.自然灾害学报,2012,21(6):43-49. LIU Xiaojing,BO Tao,GUO Yan.Index system in evaluating comprehensive earthquake disater mitigation capacity in China:taking Tangshan city as an eample［J］.Journal of Natural Disater,2012,21(6):43-49.
［4］王萍,安纯毅,张孟怡.防震减灾全域科普能力评价体系构建和初步应用［J］.防灾科技学院学报,2020,22(1):86-91. WANG Ping,AN Chunyi,ZHANG Mengyi.Construction of the evaluation system of whole field popular science ability of earthquake prevention and disaster reduction and its preliminary application［J］.Journal of Institute of Disaster Prevention,2020,22(1):86-91.
［5］刘桦，王琦.我国西部中小城镇防震减灾管理体系研究［J］.中国安全生产科学技术.2011，7（2）：110-114. LIU Hua，WANG Qi.Ｒesearch on the earthquake disaster mitigation management system of small cities and towns in west China［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology，2011，7（2）：110-114.
［6］王刚,郑念.科普能力评价的现状和思考［J］.科普研究,2017(1):27-33，107-108. WANG Gang,ZHENG Nian.Reviews on evalution for science popularization capability［J］.Studies on Science Popularization,2017(1):27-33，107-108.
［7］张有贤,李二强,罗东霞,等.基于AHP-熵权法的兰州市水环境安全模糊综合评价［J］.安全与环境学报,2020,20(2):709-718. ZHANG Youxian,LI Erqiang,LUO Dongxia,et al.Fuzzy comprehensive evulation of water environment safety of Lanzhou based on AHP-entropy weight method［J］.Journal of Safety and Environment,2020,20(2):709-718.
［8］李俊杰,程婉静,梁媚,等.基于熵权-层次分析法的中国现代煤化工行业可持续发展综合评价［J］.化工进展,2020,39(4):1329-1338. LI Junjie,CHENG Wanjing,LIANG Mei,et al.Comprehensive evulation on sustainable development of China’s advanced coal to chemicals industry based on EWM-AHP［J］.Chemical Industry and Engineering Progress,2020,39(4):1329-1338.
［9］马砺,刘晗,白磊.基于AHP和熵权法的古建筑火灾风险评估［J］.西安科技大学学报,2017,37(4):537-543. MA Li,LIU Han,BAI Lei.Fire risk assessment of the hitoric buildings based on AHP and entropy weight method［J］.Journal of Xi’an Universty of Science and Technology,2017,37(4):537-543.
［10］王明年,郭晓晗,倪光斌,等.基于AHP-熵权法的铁路隧道单双洞选型决策研究［J］.铁道工程学报,2019(11):51-56. WANG Mingnian,GUO Xiaohan,NI Guangbin,et al.Research on the selection of Single-tube and double-tube for railway tunnel based on AHP-entropy method［J］.Journal of Railway Engineering Society,2019(11):51-56.
［11］科技部中宣部国家发改委教育部国防科工委、财政部、中国科协、中国科学院.《关于加强国家科普能力建设的若干意见》［EB/OL］.(2007-01-17)［2020-08-01］.http://www.gov.cn/ztzl/kjfzgh/content_883813.htm.
［12］符洋,魏巍.基于topsisi模型的湖南省区域科普能力评价［J］.科技经济导刊,2019,27(34):3-5.
［13］任嵘嵘,郑念,赵萌.我国地区科普能力评价——基于熵权法-GEM［J］.技术经济,2013(2):59-64. REN Rongrong,ZHENG Nian,ZHAO Meng.Evaluation on regional science popularization capacity:based on Entropy-GEM［J］.Technology Economics,2013(2):59-64.
［14］佟贺丰,游云,刘娅,等.“十二五”期间政府部门及人民团体科普能力定量评价［J］.中国科技资源导刊,2019,51(1):37-44. TONG Hefeng,YOU Yun,LIU Ya,et al.Quantitative evaluation of science popularization ability of Chinese government organs and civil associations during 2011—2015［J］.China Science﹠Technology Review,2019,51(1):37-44.
［15］郑念,王刚.科普能力评价研究综述［C］//中国科普理论与实践探索——第二十三届全国科普理论研究会论文集,2016.

相似文献/References:

[1]陈述,余迪,郑霞忠.水电工程施工作业安全管理能力集对分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(12):56.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.12.010]
　CHEN Shu,YU Di,ZHENG Xia-zhong.Set pair analysis on safety management ability in construction operation of hydropower project[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(12):56.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.12.010]
[2]郭再富,冀铮,吴轩.灾害事故专业应急救援队伍能力评价指标体系研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(7):136.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.07.022]
　GUO Zaifu,JI Zheng,WU Xuan.Study on index system of capability evaluation on professional emergency rescue teams of natural disasters and accidents[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2021,17(12):136.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.07.022]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2020-08-03
* 基金项目： 中国地震局地震科技星火计划重点项目（XH18005）;天津市地震局重点项目（Zd202001）
作者简介： 王萍，硕士研究生，工程师，主要研究方向为地震科普研究。
通信作者： 闫丽莉，硕士研究生，工程师，主要研究方向为地震信息化。
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-01-08