|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]刘兵,李晓璐,张彭,等.基于熵权可拓物元模型的城市轨道交通线路运营风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(12):175-181.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.12.028]
　LIU Bing,LI Xiaolu,ZHANG Peng,et al.Evaluationon operational risk of urban rail transit line based on entropy weight extension matterelement model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(12):175-181.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.12.028]
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基于熵权可拓物元模型的城市轨道交通线路运营风险评价
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
15
期数:
2019年12期
页码:
175-181
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2019-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Evaluationon operational risk of urban rail transit line based on entropy weight extension matterelement model
文章编号:
1673-193X(2019)-12-0175-07
作者:
刘兵; 李晓璐; 张彭; 朱广宇
（1.北京交通大学 综合交通运输大数据应用技术交通运输行业重点实验室，北京 100044；
2.交通运输部 规划研究院，北京 100028）
Author(s):
LIU Bing;  LI Xiaolu;  ZHANG Peng;  ZHU Guangyu
(1.Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;
2.Transport Planning and Research Institute,Ministry of Transport,Beijing 100028,China)
关键词:
城市轨道交通; 风险评价; 物元模型; 熵权法; 风险等级
Keywords:
urban rail transit;  risk evaluation; matterelement model;  entropy weight model;  risk grade
分类号:
X951;U231.92
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.12.028
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为全面、客观地了解城市轨道交通线路的运营风险，通过分析轨道交通线路历史故障的原因，构建了线路运营风险评价指标体系，并基于熵权可拓物元模型提出评价方法。该方法利用数理统计划分评价指标的经典域，利用熵权模型计算指标权重，利用可拓物元模型计算综合评价值和风险等级。结果表明：所构建的轨道交通线路运营风险评估指标体系切实可行；基于熵权可拓物元模型提出的评价方法能客观有效地评估线路运营风险，同时有助于有针对性地加强线路运营风险管理。
Abstract:
In order to understand the operational risk of urban rail transit line comprehensively and objectively,an index system for evaluating theoperational risk of urban rail line was established through analyzing the causes of historical accidents occurring in the urban rail transit line,and an evaluation methodwas proposed based on the entropy weight extension matterelement model.Based on the method of mathematical statistics,the classical domain of the evaluation indexes were divided,the index weights were calculated by using the entropy weight model,and the comprehensive evaluation value and risk grade were calculated by using the extension matterelement model.The results showed that the proposed index systemfor the risk evaluation of rail transit line was feasible,and the evaluation method based on the entropy weight extension matterelement model could evaluate the operational risk of urban rail lineobjectively and effectively.At the same time,it can help to strengthen the management on the operational risk of urban rail linein a targeted manner.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2019-08-29
* 基金项目： 国家重点研发计划项目（2016YFC0802206-2, 2016YFB1200203-02）；中央高校基本业务费项目（2019JBM301）
作者简介： 刘兵，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为城市轨道交通网络的运营安全与管理。
通信作者： 朱广宇，博士，教授，主要研究方向为地铁系统的运营安全、大客流的疏散与控制。
更新日期/Last Update: 2020-01-09