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[1]王威,宋卓,刘晓然,等.基于直觉模糊集的城市供水安全预警评价模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(4):180-185.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.04.028]
　WANG Wei,SONG Zhuo,LIU Xiaoran,et al.Early warning and evaluation model of urban water supply security based on intuitionistic fuzzy set[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(4):180-185.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.04.028]
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基于直觉模糊集的城市供水安全预警评价模型
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
15
期数:
2019年4期
页码:
180-185
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2019-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Early warning and evaluation model of urban water supply security based on intuitionistic fuzzy set
文章编号:
1673-193X(2019)-03-0180-06
作者:
王威1; 2; 宋卓1; 刘晓然3; 刘朝峰4
(1.北京工业大学 抗震减灾研究所，北京 100124；2.北京工业大学 建筑与城市规划学院，北京 100124；3.北京建筑大学 理学院，北京 102616；4. 河北工业大学 土木与交通学院，天津 300401)
Author(s):
WANG Wei1; 2;  SONG Zhuo1;  LIU Xiaoran3 ;  LIU Chaofeng4
(1. Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;2. College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;3. School of Science, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 102616, China;4. College of Civil and Transportation, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China)
关键词:
直觉模糊集; 供水安全; 权重敏感性; 预警等级
Keywords:
intuitionistic fuzzy sets;  water supply security;  weight sensitivity;  warning level
分类号:
X959
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.04.028
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了更好地评价城市供水安全预警的等级，基于直觉模糊集理论，建立城市供水安全预警评价模型。模型选取12个评价指标构成属性集，预警等级划分标准构成评价等级集，再将二者转换为直觉模糊数，以此构成直觉模糊决策矩阵，并综合主、客观权重的优势得到组合权重，以此计算样本综合值，最后分析指标权重变化对于评价结果影响的灵敏度。实例计算结果表明：基于直觉模糊集的城市供水安全预警评价与可拓物元分析法的结果总体接近，2006—2009年供水安全预警等级处于重警或中警等级，2009年以后预警等级降低并基本稳定在无警这一等级。不同指标的敏感性分析有助于提高权重的准确性。
Abstract:
In order to better evaluate the level of urban water supply security warning, this paper establishes a warning and evaluation model of urban water supply security based on intuitionistic fuzzy set. This model selects 12 evaluation indexes to constitute the attribute set. The classification criteria of early warning level constitutes the evaluation grade set, and then converts the two into intuitionistic fuzzy numbers, which constitutes the intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix, and combines the advantages of subjective and objective weights to obtain the combined weights, so as to calculate the sample composite value. Finally, the sensitivity of the index weight change to the evaluation results is analyzed. The results show that the urban water supply security early warning evaluation model based on the intuitionistic fuzzy set is generally close to the result of extension material element analysis. The early warning level of water supply security from 2006 to 2009 is at the level of serious alarm or medium alarm. After 2009, the early warning level decreases and is basically stable at the level of no alarm. The sensitivity analysis of different indexes is helpful to improve the accuracy of weights.

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相似文献/References:

[1]王威,刘畅,刘朝峰.基于多因素信息融合的城市供水安全评价系统[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(11):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.11.029]
　WANG Wei,LIU Chang,et al.Study on evaluation system of urban water supply safety based on multifactor information fusion[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(4):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.11.029]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2019-01-31
基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目(51678017)；国家重点研发计划课题（2018YFD1100902-01）；北京市教育委员会科技计划一般项目(KM201810016018)；河北省教育厅青年科学基金项目（QN2018094）；北京市自然科技基金青年项目（X18120）
作者简介： 王威，博士，副研究员，主要研究方向为城市防灾规划、生命线系统抗灾技术等。
通信作者： 宋卓，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为城市基础设施防灾。
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-05-09