|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]晋良海,吴菊华,余迪,等.水电厂电力设备事故应急响应FPN-MC模型及效能分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(4):123-128.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.04.020]
 JIN Lianghai,WU Juhua,YU Di,et al.FPN-MC model on emergency response of electrical equipment accident in hydro-power plant and its performance analysis[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(4):123-128.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.04.020]
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水电厂电力设备事故应急响应FPN-MC模型及效能分析
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
13
期数:
2017年4期
页码:
123-128
栏目:
现代职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2017-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
FPN-MC model on emergency response of electrical equipment accident in hydro-power plant and its performance analysis
文章编号:
1673-193X(2017)-04-0123-06
作者:
晋良海12吴菊华12余迪3陈雁高4
1. 三峡大学 湖北省水电工程施工与管理重点实验室,湖北 宜昌 443002;2. 三峡大学 水利与环境学院,湖北 宜昌 443002;3. 上海勘测设计研究院有限公司,上海 200080;4. 中国水利水电第七工程局有限公司,四川 成都 610081
Author(s):
JIN Lianghai12 WU Juhua12 YU Di3 CHEN Yangao4
1. Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Hydropower Project Construction and Management, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China;2. College of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China;3. Shanghai Investigation, Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd., Shanghai 200080, China;4. Sinohydro Bureau 7 Company Limited, Chengdu Sichuan 610081, China
关键词:
水电厂电力设备应急响应模糊Petri网马尔科夫链效能分析
Keywords:
electrical equipment of hydropower plant emergency response fuzzy Petri net Markov chain performance analysis
分类号:
X913
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.04.020
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为更好地利用信息技术研究水电厂电力设备事故应急效能,提高应急救援效率和应急处置能力,综合考虑应急响应过程中各个环节时间的随机性与模糊性,运用模糊Petri网(FPN)和马尔科夫链(MC)理论,构建水电厂电力设备事故应急响应FPN-MC模型,求解模糊稳态概率值并分析系统效能指标。最后,以ZLB水电厂电力设备事故Ⅲ级应急响应作为实例,进一步剖析应急流程信息拥挤的瓶颈环节及事件应急处置的关键节点。结果表明:应急资源使用完毕、相关人员现场处置到位、确定完善的处置方案时的状态最为繁忙;利用资源实施救援、相关人员进行现场处置、完善处置方案等实施过程需要重点监督和管理。
Abstract:
In order to make better use of information technology to study the emergency performance of electrical equipment accident in hydropower plant, and improve the emergency rescue efficiency and emergency disposal capacity, comprehensively considering the randomness and fuzziness of each link time in emergency response process, a FPN-MC model on emergency response of electrical equipment accident in hydropower plant was established by using the fuzzy Petri net (FPN) and Markov chain (MC) theory. The fuzzy steady probability was solved, and the indexes of system performance were analyzed. Finally, taking the level III emergency response of electrical equipment accident in ZLB hydropower plant as an example, the bottleneck links of emergency process informa-tion congestion and the key nodes of emergency disposal were further analyzed. The results showed that the states when the usage of emergency resource is finished, the on-site disposal of relevant personnel is in place, and the perfect disposal program is determined are the busiest. The implementation processes, such as implementing rescue by using the resource, conducting on-site disposal by the relevant personnel, and perfecting the disposal program etc., should be managed and supervised with emphasis.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
湖北省重点实验室开放基金资助项目(2016KSD06,2016KSD13)
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-05-11