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[1]皮子坤,贾宝山,贾廷贵,等.煤与瓦斯突出预测综合指标F临界值研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(9):38-44.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.09.006]
　PI Zi-kun,JIA Bao-shan,JIA Ting-gui,et al.Study on critical value of comprehensive index F for coal and gas outburst prediction[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(9):38-44.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.09.006]
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煤与瓦斯突出预测综合指标F临界值研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
11
期数:
2015年9期
页码:
38-44
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2015-09-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on critical value of comprehensive index F for coal and gas outburst prediction
作者:
皮子坤1; 2; 贾宝山1; 2; 贾廷贵1; 2; 董子文1; 李宗翔1; 2
1. 辽宁工程技术大学 安全科学与工程学院，辽宁 阜新 123000；2．矿山热动力灾害与防治教育部重点实验室，辽宁 阜新 123000）
Author(s):
PI Zi-kun1; 2;  JIA Bao-shan1; 2; JIA Ting-gui1; 2;  DONG Zi-wen1;  LI Zhong-xiang1; 2
(1. College of Safety Science and Engineering, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin Liaoning 123000, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Mine Thermodynamic Disaster & Control of Ministry of Education, Fuxin Liaoning 123000, China)
关键词:
煤与瓦斯突出; 灰靶决策; 综合指标F; 改进熵值法
Keywords:
coal and gas outburst;  gray target decision;  comprehensive index F;  improved entropy method
分类号:
X936
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.09.006
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了更加准确的预测掘进工作面煤与瓦斯突出，防止灾害事故的发生，针对“三率”各评价指标与掘进工作面煤与瓦斯突出预测综合指标具有区间型属性特性，运用灰靶决策理论，提出了基于熵值加权法与多指标加权灰靶相耦合的决策模型。该模型引入“奖优罚劣”变换算子，对样本矩阵进行无量纲初始化处理，结合改进的熵值法确定指标权重，构建了综合指标F临界值的决策模型，将综合指标F值在200~400内以10为步长形成了21个评价方案，对综合指标F的临界值进行研究。最后，通过在章村煤矿的现场实际应用，证实了该模型的有效性与实用性。
Abstract:
In order to accurately predict the coal and gas outburst in heading face and prevent the occurrence of disaster accidents, according to the interval attribute characteristics of each evaluation index for "three rate" and comprehensive index for coal and gas outburst prediction in heading face, the decision model based on coupling the entropy weighting method with the multi-target weighted grey target was put forward by applying grey target theory. The transform operator of "rewarding good and punishing bad" was introduced into the decision model, and the dimensionless initialization was conducted on the sample matrix. The index weight was determined by combining the improved entropy method, and the decision model was constructed for the critical value of comprehensive index F. 21 evaluation schemes were formed for the comprehensive index of value F from 200 to 400 with step 10 to study the critical value of comprehensive index F. Finally, the efficiency and applicability of the presented decision model was proved through the practical application in Zhangcun coal mine.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家自然科学基金项目(51074086)
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-09-30