|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]郑霞忠,陈云,向玉华.抽水蓄能电站面板施工安全性态概率分布计算方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(6):164-169.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.026]
　ZHENG Xia-zhong,CHEN Yun,XIANG Yu-hua.Calculation method on probability distribution of safety state for panel construction of pumped storage power station[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(6):164-169.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.026]
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抽水蓄能电站面板施工安全性态概率分布计算方法
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
11
期数:
2015年6期
页码:
164-169
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2015-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Calculation method on probability distribution of safety state for panel construction of pumped storage power station
作者:
郑霞忠1; 2 ;  陈云1;  向玉华1
（1. 三峡大学 水利与环境学院, 湖北 宜昌443002；2. 三峡地区地质灾害与生态环境湖北省协同创新中心，湖北 宜昌443002）
Author(s):
ZHENG Xia-zhong1; 2;  CHEN Yun1;  XIANG Yu-hua1
(1. College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China; 2. Collaborative Innovation Center for Geo-Hazards and Eco-environment in Three Gorges Area, Hubei Province, Yichang Hubei 443002, China)
关键词:
抽水蓄能电站; 面板施工; 安全性态; 概率分布; 并联响应模型
Keywords:
pumped storage power station;  panel construction;  safety state;  probability distribution;  parallel responding model
分类号:
X92
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.026
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对抽水蓄能电站面板施工安全性态问题，考虑安全因素并联关系，提出面板施工安全性态概率分布计算新方法。首先，结合面板施工特点，构建面板施工安全性态指标体系。然后，采用Spearman 等级相关系数组合赋权法计算指标权重，通过确定安全因素评价集、二级指标概率分布和面板施工安全性态概率分布，建立面板施工安全性态概率分布并联响应模型。最后结合实例，计算江苏某抽水蓄能电站面板施工安全性态概率分布。结果表明：实例中面板施工安全性态概率分布处于低风险等级，且与实际相符；为计算面板施工安全性态概率分布提供了新工具。
Abstract:
Aiming at the problem of safety state in panel construction of pumped storage power station and considering the parallel connection of safety factors, a new calculation method on probability distribution of safety state was put forward. Firstly, combining with the characteristics of panel construction, an index system of safety state in panel construction was presented. Then the weights of indexes were calculated by adopting Spearman grade correlation combination assigning method, and a parallel responding model on probability distribution of safety state for panel construction was established by determining the safety factor evaluation set, probability distribution of secondary indexes, and the probability distribution of safety state for panel construction. Finally, the method was used to calculate a pumped storage power station in Jiangsu. The results showed that the probability distribution was in a low risk grade, which agreed with the practical condition. It provides a new tool for calculating probability distribution of safety state for panel construction.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家自然科学基金项目(51379110)；三峡大学科学基金项目(KJ2013B073)
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-06-30