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[1]谭钦文,苗东涛,刘建平,等.基于可靠性理论的事件树分析方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(6):75-81.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.012]
　TAN Qin-wen,MIAO Dong-tao,LIU Jian-ping,et al.Study on event tree analysis method based on reliability theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(6):75-81.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.012]
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基于可靠性理论的事件树分析方法研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
11
期数:
2015年6期
页码:
75-81
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2015-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on event tree analysis method based on reliability theory
作者:
谭钦文1; 2; 苗东涛1; 刘建平1; 2; 徐午言1; 谢羽佳1
（1.西南科技大学 环境与资源学院，四川 绵阳 621010； 2.西南科技大学 非煤矿山安全技术四川省高等学校重点实验室，四川 绵阳 621010）
Author(s):
TAN Qin-wen1; 2;  MIAO Dong-tao1;  LIU Jian-ping1; 2;  XU Wu-yan1;  XIE Yu-jia1
（1.School of Environmental and Resource, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang Sichuan 621010, China; 2.Non-Coal Mine Safety Technology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province Colleges and Universities, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang Sichuan 621010, China）
关键词:
可靠性理论; 事件树分析; 目标系统; 逻辑关系; 定量分析
Keywords:
reliability theory;  event tree analysis;  target system;  logical relationship;  quantitative analysis
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.06.012
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
事件树分析过程中事件树的编制和分析方法缺乏系统性，导致实际运用中事件树的编制缺乏可操作性。从目标系统的选择、环节事件逻辑关系的确定、定量分析中基本数据的来源和确定方法等三个问题进行了系统研究，并以可靠性的相关理论为基础，提出“从控制和影响初始事件发展演化的角度，调查分析对初始事件做出响应的安全功能，按系统工作原理对目标系统进行重构，构建目标系统的功能结构图，画出系统的可靠性框图”入手，对“传统的事件树绘制程序”进行修正，解决了事件树分析过程中目标系统的选择、环节事件逻辑关系的确定以及定量分析基本数据的确定方法等问题。修正后的方案对实现事件树的正确编制和系统分析逻辑更清晰，操作指导性更强。
Abstract:
As the compilation and analysis methods of event tree lack systematicness, it lacks operability when compiling an event tree analysis in practical application. In order to solve this problem, three problems including the choose of target system, the determination of logical relationship in the linking event, the source and determination method of basic data in the quantitative analysis, were systematically studied. Based on the reliability theory, a method which can solve the three problems mentioned above was put forward. The method is to investigate and analyze the safety function making response to the initial event from the point of controlling and influencing the evolution of the initial event, and to reconstruct the target system by the working principle of the system, then to construct the function structure diagram of target system and draw reliability diagram of the system. Finally, the traditional drawing program of event tree was corrected by the above results. It showed that the corrected program had a stronger logicality and feasibility.

参考文献/References:

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相似文献/References:

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　AN Zhong,ZHAI Bao-hui.Study on urban emergency management evaluation based on reliability theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(6):166.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.10.028]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家自然科学基金项目（51404200）；四川省教育厅科研项目（14ZA0089）
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-06-30