|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王文轲.基于有限理性的煤矿安全投资演化博弈研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(11):65-71.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.11.011]
　WANG Wen ke.Research on the coal mine safety investment evolutionary game based on limited rationality[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(11):65-71.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.11.011]
点击复制

基于有限理性的煤矿安全投资演化博弈研究
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
9
期数:
2013年11期
页码:
65-71
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2013-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on the coal mine safety investment evolutionary game based on limited rationality
作者:
王文轲
（四川师范大学 商学院，四川成都610101
Author(s):
WANG Wenke
(Business School, Sichuan Normal University, Chengdu Sichuan 610101, China)
关键词:
煤矿安全投资; 演化博弈; 复制动态; 稳定策略
Keywords:
coal mine safety investment;  evolution game;  replication dynamic;  stable strategy
分类号:
X915.4；F406.1
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.11.011
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
从有限理性角度出发，采用演化博弈论建立了考虑政府监管的煤矿企业安全投资的演化博弈模型。分析了博弈双方的复制动态方程及动态进化过程，揭示了博弈双方的行为特征及其对稳定状态的影响。分析了四种情况下的演化稳定策略，预测了煤矿安全投资的长期稳定趋势。同时分析了政府奖励、处罚和安全事故对煤矿安全投资的影响。结果显示降低煤矿安全投资成本、降低检查成本、提高惩罚力度等都将使煤矿安全投资朝着良好的方向演化。最后提出了相关的政策建议。为煤矿企业的安全投资和政府的监督管理提供了有益的指导。
Abstract:
From the view of limited rationality, base on the evolutionary game theory，an evolutionary game model of the safety investment considering government supervision in coal mine enterprise is established. The replicated dynamic equation and the dynamic evolution process of the both gaming parties are analyzed. The behavior features of the two gaming parties and the affect to the stability status are revealed．The four kinds of evolutionary stability strategies are analyzed and the longtime stable tendency of coal mine safety investment is predicted. Also the paper analyzes the influence of the government incentives, penalties, and security incidents on mine safety investment. The results show that measures including reducing the cola mine safety production cost, reducing the monitoring cost and improving the penalty are all enable coal mine safety supervision game toward the better direction evolution. Article concludes with some policy recommendations. For coal mine enterprises safety investment and government supervision and management, the theoretical and methodological useful guide is provided.

参考文献/References:

[1]韩景城. 过渡期替代能源的选择［J］.中外能源，2008，(8):2023 Han Jingcheng. Choice of alternative energy for transitional period［J］. SinoGlobal Energy,2008，(8):2023
[2]李新娟. 中国煤矿安全状况与经济社会发展关系的研究［J］. 安全与环境学报,2012,（4）:197203 LI Xinjuan. On the relation between China’s coal mine safety and the social development［J］. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2012，(4):197203
[3]李树刚, 成连平, 景兴鹏, 等. 煤矿安全投入评价指标体系构建方法研究［J］.中国安全生产科学技术，2009，(5):9396 LI Shugang, CHENG Lianping, JING Xingpeng, et al. Study on construction method of evaluation index system for safety input of coal mine［J］. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2009，(5):9396
[4]王书明,王恩元.煤矿安全投入结构分析［J］.中国矿业,2008，(12):1720 WANG Shuming, WANG Enyuan. Structure analysis about safety input in coal bine［J］. China Mining Magazine, 2008，(12):1720
[5]徐阳. 煤矿安全生产面临的问题及对策［J］. 中国安全生产科学技术，2012，8(6):229232 XU Yang. Faced problems and countermeasures of coal mine safety［J］. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2012，8(6):229232
[6]周忠科, 徐亮. 我国煤矿安全生产与监管中的三方博弈分析［J］. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2006，2(4):96100 ZHOU Zhongke,XU Liang. Analysis of threeparties game theory in mining safety supervision in China［J］. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2006，2(4):96100
[7]杨力,于海云. 基于BP模型的煤矿安全管理投入经济分析［J］. 矿业安全与环保, 2013，(2):109112 YANG Li,YU Haiyun. Economic analysis on coal mine safety management input based on BP neural network model［J］. Mining Safety & Environmental Protection, 2013，(2):109112
[8]高蕊. 煤矿安全投入优化数学模型研究及应用［J］. 中国煤炭, 2012，(3):105108 GAO Rui. Research and application of mathematical model of optimum security investment to coal mine ［J］. China Coal, 2012，(3):105108
[9]刘广平,戚安邦. 煤矿安全水平边际效应影响因素及提升方法研究—基于安全投入和管理投入的视角［J］. 软科学, 2011，(3):4750 LIU Guanping, QI Anbang. Research on the influencing factors and improving methods of marginal effect of coal mine safety levelfrom the perspective of safety and management input ［J］. Soft Science, 2011，(3):4750
[10]王金凤,刘振锋,冯立杰,等. 煤矿安全投入与安全绩效的系统动力学［J］. 辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2011，(2):182185 WANG Jinfeng, LIU Zhenfeng, FENG Lijie, et al. Research on relationship between coal mine safety input and safety performance based on system dynamics［J］.Journal of Liaoning Technical University (Natural Science) ,2011，(2):182185
[11]张维迎.博弈论与信息经济学［M］.上海：上海三联书店，2007
[12]Dixit AK, Pindyck RS. Investments under Uncertainty［M］. Princeton University Press,1994 〖HT〖FL)

相似文献/References:

[1]王文轲.煤矿安全投资动态管理与政府资助研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(9):69.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.013]
　WANG Wen ke.Research on dynamic management and government subsidizationof coal mine safety investment[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(11):69.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.013]
[2]王循庆,李勇建,孙晓羽.基于演化博弈的危化品安全监管情景推演研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(1):115.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.01.019]
　WANG Xunqing,LI Yongjian,SUN Xiaoyu.Study on scenario inference of hazardous chemicals safety supervision based on evolutionary game[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(11):115.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.01.019]
[3]王循庆,孙晓羽.基于公众参与行为的化工企业监管治理演化博弈分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(3):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.03.027]
　WANG Xunqing,SUN Xiaoyu.Evolutionary game analysis on supervision governance of chemical enterprises based on public participation behavior[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(11):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.03.027]
[4]王志强,刘硕,马婷婷,等.风险偏好视角下地铁施工安全群体行为博弈研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(3):138.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.03.022]
　WANG Zhiqiang,LIU Shuo,MA Tingting,et al.Study on behavioral game of metro construction safety groups under perspective of risk preference[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(11):138.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.03.022]
[5]朱姝帆,桂萍.重大疫情下冷链应急物流协同配送决策博弈分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(6):30.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.06.005]
　ZHU Shufan,GUI Ping.Game analysis on collaborative distribution decisionmaking of cold chain emergency logistics under major epidemic situation[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(11):30.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.06.005]
[6]杨耀红,曾怡,代静,等.基于前景理论的施工安全事故网络舆论监督演化博弈分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(1):132.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.01.021]
　YANG Yaohong,ZENG Yi,DAI Jing,et al.Evolutionary game analysis on network public opinion supervision of construction safety accidents based on prospect theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(11):132.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.01.021]
[7]王新平,张子鸣,孙林辉,等.工作场所正念视角下智慧矿山矿工安全行为演化博弈*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(2):125.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.02.019]
　WANG Xinping,ZHANG Ziming,SUN Linhui,et al.Evolutionary game on safety behavior of miners in smart mine from perspective of workplace mindfulness[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(11):125.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.02.019]
[8]刘纪坤,黄杰.煤矿领导者和监管者的行为决策演化博弈分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(3):100.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.015]
　LIU Jikun,HUANG Jie.Evolutionary game analysis on behavioral decision of coal mine leaders and supervisors[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(11):100.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.015]
[9]张跃斌,易欣,宋璋玉,等.基于SD的装配式建筑施工安全监管演化博弈研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(3):149.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.023]
　ZHANG Yuebin,YI Xin,SONG Zhangyu,et al.Research on evolutionary game of safety supervision for prefabricated building construction based on SD[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(11):149.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.03.023]
[10]李圆圆,孙李傲,袁文燕,等.考虑恐怖袭击下危险品运输安全监管的演化博弈与稳定性分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(5):18.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.05.003]
　LI Yuanyuan,SUN Liao,YUAN Wenyan,et al.Evolutionary game and stability analysis of safety supervision on hazmat transportation considering terrorist attack[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(11):18.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.05.003]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地-四川矿产资源研究中心资助项目(SCKCZY2012-YB005)
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-11-30