|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]徐亚博,汪彤,王培怡,等.基于案例推理的地铁非常规突发事件应急决策方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(8):44-48.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.008]
　XU Ya bo,WANG Tong,WANG Pei yi,et al.Research on emergency decision method of unconventional emergency in subway based on casebased reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(8):44-48.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.008]
点击复制

基于案例推理的地铁非常规突发事件应急决策方法研究
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
9
期数:
2013年8期
页码:
44-48
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2013-08-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on emergency decision method of unconventional emergency in subway based on casebased reasoning
文章编号:
20130808
作者:
徐亚博; 汪彤; 王培怡; 宋冰雪; 葛悦
（北京市劳动保护科学研究所，北京100054）
Author(s):
XU Yabo;  WANG Tong;  WANG Peiyi;  SONG Bingxue;  GE Yue
(Beijing Municipal Institute of Labour Protection, Beijing 100054, China)
关键词:
案例推理; 非常规突发事件; 情景检索; 应急决策
Keywords:
casebased reasoning;  unconventional accident;  scenario retrieval;  emergency decision
分类号:
X928.03
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.08.008
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对地铁非常规突发事故发生时，由于地下环境复杂且封闭，很难获取较全面、准确的事件信息等问题，非常规突发事件的地铁应急决策是一个复杂的过程。通过对地铁事件原则性机理进行分析和研究，得到地铁发生重大火灾事故情景分析的贝叶斯网络节点变量，借鉴CBR模型的思想，将基于结构和属性的双重情景检索的事故案例推理应急决策方法应用到地铁火灾非常规突发事件应急决策中，该方法排除了因属性值缺失造成相似度无法计算或计算有误的情况，可为地铁交通应急平台的后期建设提供理论支持
Abstract:
Due to the complex and closed environment in underground subway system, it is very difficult to obtain more comprehensive and accurate accident information when a major unconventional accident occurs. So, emergency decisionmaking of subway unconventional event is a complicated process. Through analysis and research of the subway event mechanism principle, Bayesian networks structure of subway fire accident scenario was get. Reference to the ideas of the CBR model, emergency decision method based on the structure and properties of dual scene retrieve is applied to the subway fire accident case. The case study results show that the method can overcome the drawbacks of inaccuracy in similarity calculation due to lack of attribute values, avoid the invalidation of retrieval system caused by information loss，and provides theoretical support for subway traffic emergency platform construction.

参考文献/References:

[1]代宝乾, 汪彤, 丁辉, 等. 地铁运营系统危险有害因素辨识分析［J］. 中国安全科学学报, 2005, 15(10): 8083 DAI Baoqian, WANG Tong, DING Hui, et al. Recognition and analysis of risky hazardous factors in subway operation system［J］. China Safety Science Journal, 2005, 15(10):8083
[2］韩利民, 李兴高, 杨永平. 地铁运营安全及对策研究［J］. 中国安全科学学报, 2004, 14(10): 4650 HAN Limin, LI Xinggao, YANG Yongping. Study on subway operation safety and its countermeasures［J］. China Safety Science Journal, 2004, 14(10): 4650
[3］ROSINAO WEBER, KEVIND ASHLEY, STEFANIE BRUNINGHAUS. Textual casereasoning［J］.The Knowledge Engineering Review,2006,20(3):255260
[4］ENRIC PLAZA, LORRAINE MCGINTY. Distributed casebased reasoning［J］.The knowledge Engineering Review,2006,20(3):261265
[5］袁晓芳. 基于PSR与贝叶斯网络的非常规突发事件情景推演模型［D］. 西安: 西安科技大学博士学位论文, 2011
[6］李森, 李代忠. 地铁突发事件（火灾）中人的安全行为研究［J］. 山西财经大学学报, 2011, 33(1):291 LI Shen, LI Daizhong. Study on human safety behavior in subway emergency event［J］. Journal of Shanxi Finance and Economics University, 2011, 33(1):291
[7］裘江南, 王延章, 董磊磊, 等. 基于贝叶斯网络的突发事件预测模型［J］.系统管理学报, 2011, 20(1): 98103 QIU Jiangnan, WANG Yanzhang, DONG Leilei, et al. A model for predicting emergency event based on bayesian networks［J］. Journal of Systems & Management, 2011, 20(1):98103
[8］袁晓芳, 李红霞, 田水承. 煤矿重大瓦斯事故案例推理应急决策方法［J］. 辽宁工程技术大学学报（自然科学版）, 2012,31(5):595599 YUAN Xiaofang, LI Hongxia, TIAN Shuicheng. Casebased reasoning emergency decision method of gas accident in coal mines［J］.Journal of Liaoning Technical University(Natural Sicence), 2012,31(5):595599
[9］Yuan Xiaofang, Li Hongxia, Tian Shuicheng, et al. Research on CBR system of major emergency based on cloud model and semantic class dictionary［C］// Huang Jun, She Lian. International symposium on emergency management 2009USA: Scientific Research Publishing, 2009: 665670
[10］刘建,谢宏伟,谢振华,等. 基于案例推理的化工园区应急救援系统研究［C］. 陈宝智, 李刚, 张培红, 2010(沈阳)国际安全科学与技术学术研讨会论文集. 沈阳: 东北大学, 2010, 977982 LIU Jian, XIE Hongwei, XIE Zhenhua, et al. Research on emergency response system in chemical industry park based on casebased reasoning［C］. Chen Baozhi, LI Gang, Zhang Peihong, Proceedings of 2010(Shenyang) International Colloquium on Safety Science and Technology. Shenyang: Northeastern University, 2010, 977982

相似文献/References:

[1]孙殿阁,孙佳,曹婧华,等.基于案例推理的城市典型灾害应急处置专家系统构建研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(2):55.
　SUN Dian ge,SUN Jia,CAO Jing hua,et al.Study on expert system of urban typical disaster emergency handling based on case reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):55.
[2]丁浩,石昊栋.基于案例推理的我国石油企业海外突发事件应急物资需求预测[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(9):177.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.033]
　DING Hao,SHI Hao dong.Demand forecasting of emergency material in China’s abroad emergencies of petroleum enterprise based on case based reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2013,9(8):177.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2013.09.033]
[3]李潇,张贝克,马昕.面向安全评价的化工事故推理系统*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2008,4(05):74.
　LI Xiao,ZHANG Bei ke,MA Xin.Chemical accident reasoning system oriented to safety assessment[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2008,4(8):74.
[4]李乃文,刘祎,黄敏.基于Multi-agent的非常规突发事件下个体应激演化模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(10):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.10.001]
　LI Nai-wen,LIU Yi,HUANG Min.Evolution model of individual stress under unconventional emergencies based on Multiagent simulation[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2014,10(8):5.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.10.001]
[5]闫文周,李超洋.建筑安全事故应急措施推理研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(11):136.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.023]
　YAN Wenzhou,LI Chaoyang.Research on reasoning of emergency measures for construction safety accident[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(8):136.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.11.023]
[6]马文笑,王德鲁.基于案例推理的突发环境事件应急决策模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(12):85.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.013]
　MA Wenxiao,WANG Delu.Emergency decision-making model of emergency environmental accidents based on case-based reasoning[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2017,13(8):85.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2017.12.013]
[7]李润萍,王浩玮,陈旭.旧工业建筑再生利用施工风险应急管理研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(2):151.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.02.024]
　LI Runping,WANG Haowei,CHEN Xu.Research on emergency management of construction risk for recycling of old industrial buildings[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(8):151.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.02.024]
[8]张炎亮,徐元元,李俊雅.不完备信息下基于案例推理的城市火灾应急决策方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(3):13.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.03.002]
　ZHANG Yanliang,XU Yuanyuan,LI Junya.Study on emergency decision-making method of urban fire based on case-based reasoning under incomplete information[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(8):13.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.03.002]
[9]许慧,张久鹏.城市轨道交通运营安全事故多圈层匹配创新研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(1):183.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.01.027]
　XU Hui,ZHANG Jiupeng.Innovative research on multi-circle matching for operational safety accidents of urban rail transit[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(8):183.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.01.027]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
北京市自然科学基金资助项目（ 9123027）；灭火救援技术公安部重点实验室开放课题（KF2012001）
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-09-11