|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]赵小稚.尾矿坝变形规律的灰色Verhulst预测[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(11):90.
 ZHAO Xiao zhi.Grey verhulst prediction on the deformation law of tailing dam[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(11):90.
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尾矿坝变形规律的灰色Verhulst预测
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
8
期数:
2012年11期
页码:
90
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Grey verhulst prediction on the deformation law of tailing dam
作者:
赵小稚
(山东理工大学, 淄博〓255049)
Author(s):
ZHAO Xiao zhi
(Shandong University of Technology, Zibo 255049, China)
关键词:
尾矿坝变形规律灰色Verhulst预测预测模型
Keywords:
tailing dam deformation law grey verhulst prediction prediction model
分类号:
X936; TD7
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
尾矿坝变形规律预测是矿山尾矿库安全技术管理的重要内容。尾矿坝的变形受多种因素的影响,其中有些因素是可知的,但有部分因素是不确定的,因此尾矿坝本身实际上是一个灰色系统。为了实现对尾矿坝变形趋势的预测,在充分认识尾矿库工程系统及坝体变形数据特性的基础上,采用灰色Verhulst模型对尾矿坝的变形进行预测,并结合某铁矿尾矿坝变形监测实际数据进行预测,模型精度满足要求,表明灰色Verhulst模型用于尾矿坝变形规律预测具有很好的适用性。
Abstract:
Prediction on the deformation law of tailing dam is an important part of safety technical management in mine tailing pond. Tailings dam deformation is affected by a variety of factors, some of these factors are known, but some factors are uncertain, so the tailings dam itself is actually a gray system.In order to predict the tendency of tailing dam deformation, grey verhulst model was applied together with the monitoring data of an iron mine’s tailing dam deformation for the prediction, based on full understand of tailing pond engineering system and the characteristic of the dam deformation data. The grey verhulst model had high accuracy, which could satisfy the requirement of the prediction, so it demonstrates good applicability in prediction on the deformation law of tailing dam.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
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更新日期/Last Update: 2012-11-30