|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陈文瑛,吴〓穹.基于贝叶斯网络的机械安全性评估模型研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(8):189.
　CHEN Wen ying,WU Qiong.Research on machine safetycapability evaluation model based on bayesian network[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):189.
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基于贝叶斯网络的机械安全性评估模型研究
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
8
期数:
2012年8期
页码:
189
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-08-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on machine safetycapability evaluation model based on bayesian network
作者:
陈文瑛1;  吴〓穹2
(1.首都经济贸易大学 安全与环境工程学院，北京 100070） (2.沈阳航空工业学院民航与安全工程学院，沈阳 110136)
Author(s):
CHEN Wenying1;  WU Qiong2
(1.College of Safety & Environmental Engineering, Capital University of Economics & Business, Beijing 100070, China) (2.School of Civil Aviation and Safety Engineering, Shenyang Institute of Aeronautical Engineering, Shenyang 110136, China )
关键词:
贝叶斯网络; 共因失效; 冲手事故; 评估模型
Keywords:
bayesian Network;  common cause failure;  blunt hand accident;  evaluation model
分类号:
X941
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
重点阐述了基于贝叶斯网络的机械安全性评估模型的建立过程，应用贝叶斯网络建立了开式压力机安全性评估模型，对冲手事故模型中的共因失效节点进行了说明，并最终计算得出开式压力机冲手事故的发生概率。计算结果分析表明：对于系统基本事件之间有共因和相关关系的系统，BN计算结果使得事故后果概率明显增大，设计者和管理者不能忽略共因和相关关系对系统风险的影响。
Abstract:
Machine safetycapability evaluation model based on Bayesian Network were emphasized. A Bayesian Network model of open press blunt hand accident risk assessment was set up, in addition, the nodes of common cause failure were illustrated and the accident probability of occurrence of leaf node events were obtained. The discussions about computed results indicated that regarding to system with unit events of common cause failure or interdependent events, result of accident probability computed from a BN model is higher than that computed from the FT/ET model.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
首都经济贸易大学中青年教师提升项目（编号：00891154430106）; 首都经济贸易大学校级青年项目（编号：2010XJ013）
更新日期/Last Update: 2012-10-16