|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]张晓全,王〓欢.基于AHP-SLIM的航空器维修人误概率确定[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(8):111.
　ZHANG Xiao quan,WANG Huan.Study on estimating human error probability of aircraft maintenancebased on AHPSLIM[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2012,8(8):111.
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基于AHP-SLIM的航空器维修人误概率确定
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
8
期数:
2012年8期
页码:
111
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-08-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on estimating human error probability of aircraft maintenance based on AHPSLIM
作者:
张晓全;  王〓欢
（中国民用航空大学 安全科学与工程学院，天津 300300）
Author(s):
ZHANG Xiaoquan;  WANG Huan
（College of Safety Science & Engineering，Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300，China）
关键词:
成功似然函数; 层次分析法; 损坏飞机/发动机/附件; 人为失误
Keywords:
success likelihood index method;  analytic hierarchy process;  damage to plane/engine/accessories;  human error
分类号:
X949
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
人误是造成民用航空维修差错的主要因素。由于缺少实际的数据，对航空维修行业人为失误发生的规律进行研究是必要的，但是规律研究主要依赖于该领域专家的判断，很难确保一致性。为了克服这个困难得到更加准确的评估，本文将层次分析法同成功似然函数结合起来估计造成飞机/发动机/附件损坏的人误概率。该方法确定了航空器维修人员的安全态度、知识和技能、计划和监管、信息沟通等因素，对人误的影响程度以及飞机/发动机/附件损坏中常见人误的发生概率。计算结果表明，操作/试验时最容易发生飞机/发动机/附件损坏，并且提出加强组织和监管、严格按章办事等解决措施。
Abstract:
Research shows that human error is main reason of civil aircraft maintenance accidents. Because it is difficult to obtain empirical data, so estimating the human error probability (HEP) is important in aircraft maintenance. But the research forces a heavy reliance on the judgment of experts in the field, it is difficult to assure consistency. To overcome this problem and obtain a more accurate estimation, the integration of the analytic hierarchy process and the success likelihood index method was conducted to estimate human error probability of damaged plane/engine/accessories. The method identified the influence respective level on human error probability from aircraft maintenance human’ safety attitude, knowledge and skill, planning and supervision, information communication and finds out common human error probability in aircraft/engine/accessories damage. Result showed that aircraft/engine/ accessories damage is likely to happen when operation/trial is proceeding, and corresponding measures were proposed, such as strengthening organization and supervision.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
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更新日期/Last Update: 2012-10-16