|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]郭小东,李宁,苏经宇.基于集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(10):51-55.
 GUO Xiao-dong,LI Ning,SU Jing-yu.A comprehensive method for evaluation of flood disasters based on set-pair analysis theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):51-55.
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基于集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法()
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
7
期数:
2011年10期
页码:
51-55
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2011-10-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
A comprehensive method for evaluation of flood disasters based on set-pair analysis theory
文章编号:
1673-193X(2011)-10-0051-05
作者:
郭小东1李宁2苏经宇1
1.北京工业大学抗震防灾研究所,北京? 100124
2.烟台市建筑设计研究股份有限公司,烟台? 264008
Author(s):
GUO Xiao-dong1 LI Ning2 SU Jing-yu1
1. Insittute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing? 100124, China
2. Yantai Architectural Design Co. Ltd. , Yantai? 264008, China
关键词:
集对分析(SPA)联系度洪水灾情评估
Keywords:
set pair analysis conneetion degree flood disasters evaluation
分类号:
X915.5
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
洪水灾情的评价工作对洪水灾害的分类管理具有重要的指导意义。为了提高洪水灾情评估的准确性,应用集对分析理论和方法,以受灾面积、受灾人口数、破坏房屋面积和经济损失作为评价因子,建立了灾情评估的集对分析模型,提出了基于集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法。集对分析是在一定的问题背景下,对集对中2个集合的确定性与不确定性以及确定性与不确定性的相互作用所进行的一种系统和数学分析,采用集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法得出的评价结果同灰色关联法、灰色聚类法、灰色模糊综合法、PCNN网络模型的评价结果进行了比较,表明其用于洪水灾情综合评价具有科学性和有效性。
Abstract:
The flood disaster Evaluation is a complex nonlinear and multi-index comprehensive evaluation . The flood disaster evaluation index system and the disaster of each index rank appraisal standards is no general at home and abroad .Evaluation of flood disasters is of an important guiding significance to the classified management of flood disasters. In order to enhance the accuracy of assessment , a comprehensive method for evaluation of flood disasters , which took the disaster area, the affected population, the destruction of housing area and the economic loss as evaluation factors , was established based on Set Pair Analysis (SPA) theory . This method was construeted by using sample values compared with the value of standard grade. Set pair analysis is a system and mathematical analysis of two sets of integrating the certainty and uncertainty and certainty and uncertainty on the interaction in certain problem is under the background , using this model the situation of evaluation of flood disasters can be aceurately identified. The evaluation results were compared with grey relation method, grey clustering method , grey fuzzy synthesis, PCNN network model . This method was verified clearly through the practical example , and the rationality and validity were demonstrated .

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2011-03-18
基金项目:国家十一五科技支撑计划项目(编号:2006BAJ06B01);中国工程院重大咨询项目(编号:2010-ZD-4)
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