[1]袁博,王瑛,汪送.基于改进TOPSIS方法的航空装备预研项目技术风险评估[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(1):34-37.
YUAN Bo,WANG Ying,WANG Song.Technical risk evaluation of aviation equipment development project based on ameliorated TPOSIS method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(1):34-37.
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基于改进TOPSIS方法的航空装备预研项目技术风险评估()
YUAN Bo,WANG Ying,WANG Song.Technical risk evaluation of aviation equipment development project based on ameliorated TPOSIS method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(1):34-37.
《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]
- 卷:
- 7
- 期数:
- 2011年1
- 页码:
- 34-37
- 栏目:
- 学术论著
- 出版日期:
- 2011-01-30
文章信息/Info
- Title:
- Technical risk evaluation of aviation equipment development project based on ameliorated TPOSIS method
- 文章编号:
- 1673-193X(2010)-01-0034-04
- 关键词:
- 改进TOPSIS方法; 航空装备预研; 技术风险; 熵权赋值法; 风险评估
- Keywords:
- ameliorated TPOSIS method; aviation equipment development; technical risk; entorpy-weighted method; risk evaluation
- 分类号:
- F204；V37
- DOI:
- -
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 技术风险是引发费用风险和进度风险的主要因素,因此在航空装备的研制中需要重点管控和规避。为提供可靠的航空装备预研项目技术方案的选择依据,采用改进的TOPSIS方法对五种不同航空装备预研方案的技术风险进行了定量评估,技术风险评价指标体系包括成熟性、复杂性、先进性、安全性、经济性、保障性、兼容性和标准化八个指标。利用熵值赋权法求得指标权重,双基点间的投影距离代替传统的相对欧式距离对TOPSIS方法进行了改进。实例分析中,通过编程计算对某航空预研项目的五种技术方案进行了定量风险评估,根据风险优属度确立了较为优化的技术方案。结果表明,该方法较主观赋权法更为科学、客观,为航空预研方案的初选提供了可靠参考。
- Abstract:
- Technical risk can lead to cost risk and development risk,so effective measures should be taken to management,control and avoid the technical risk in aviation development project.In order to provide reliable reference for choosing technical scheme in the development of aviation equipment,the ameliorated TOPSIS method was used to quantificationally evaluate the technical risk of five different aviation equipment development projects,and the technical risk appraise index system included eight indexes such as maturity,complexity,advance,safety,economy,support,compatibility and standardization.The entropy weighted method was applied to get the index weight,and projection distance between double base points was used to substitute traditional opposite continental distance to ameliorate the TOPSIS method.In the example analysis,the said model was used to conduct the evaluation of five risk schemes of aviation beforehand project by programming and computation,the excellent risk scheme was radicated.It showed that the ameliorate TOPSIS method was more scientific and in-subjective than subjective weighted method,it provide a mew method for the choosing of the choosing of technical scheme in the development of aviation equipment.
参考文献/References:
[1] 万小朋,雷江利,侯赤. 新一代军用飞机技术风险评估研究[J]. 哈尔滨工业大学学报. 2009(03) [2] 李锋,魏莹. 一种改进的基于效用理论的TOPSIS决策方法[J]. 系统管理学报. 2008(01) [3] 杨懿,武昌,刘涵,齐胜利. 基于改进TOPSIS法的维修保障系统效能评估研究[J]. 海军工程大学学报. 2006(06) [4] 迟宝山,李永泰,李军. 基于熵权—双基点研制技术风险评估方法研究[J]. 科技进步与对策. 2006(10) [5] 刘艳琼,陈英武,范晓樯. 基于技术分解结构的装备研制项目技术风险评估法及其应用[J]. 科学学与科学技术管理. 2006(01) [6] 陈团生,毛保华. 改进TOPSIS法在航空公司安全评估的运用研究[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术. 2005(04) [7] 徐哲,冯允成,鲁大伟. 武器装备研制项目的技术风险评估[J]. 系统工程与电子技术. 2005(06) [8] 宋春雳,冉伦,李金林. 熵权双基点法在武器装备研制风险评估中的应用[J]. 北京理工大学学报(社会科学版). 2003(05)
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备注/Memo
- 备注/Memo:
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收稿日期：2010-10-13基金项目：国家自然科学基金项目（编号：71071040，71071126）
更新日期/Last Update: