[1]王荣琴,颜克胜,晋良海,等.中国主要城市道路交通雨涝韧性评估及其时空演变*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2026,22(4):217-224.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2026.04.026]
WANG Rongqin,YAN Kesheng,JIN Lianghai,et al.Flood resilience of road traffic system in major cities of China and its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2026,22(4):217-224.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2026.04.026]
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中国主要城市道路交通雨涝韧性评估及其时空演变*
WANG Rongqin,YAN Kesheng,JIN Lianghai,et al.Flood resilience of road traffic system in major cities of China and its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2026,22(4):217-224.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2026.04.026]
《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]
- 卷:
- 22
- 期数:
- 2026年4期
- 页码:
- 217-224
- 栏目:
- 公共安全与应急管理
- 出版日期:
- 2026-04-30
文章信息/Info
- Title:
- Flood resilience of road traffic system in major cities of China and its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics
- 文章编号:
- 1673-193X(2026)-04-0217-08
- Keywords:
- water-logging disaster; road traffic system resilience; pressure-state-response (PSR) theory; weighted TOPSIS method; spatial-temporal evolution
- 分类号:
- X913.4
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为全面评估城市道路交通雨涝韧性，基于雨涝灾害周期和压力-状态-响应（PSR）理论，综合考虑韧性影响因素，构建城市道路交通雨涝韧性评估指标体系，并采用基于指标相关性的权重确定方法（CRITIC）-决策实验室分析法（DEMATEL）主客观组合赋权法确定指标权重，利用加权逼近理想解排序法（TOPSIS）建立韧性评估模型，评估我国33个主要城市2017—2022年间的道路交通系统雨涝压力韧性、雨涝状态韧性、雨涝响应韧性以及雨涝综合韧性，并分析其时空演变规律。研究结果表明：我国主要城市道路交通雨涝韧性整体呈上升趋势，除压力韧性呈波动式下降外，其他维度韧性均大幅上升；我国主要城市道路交通雨涝韧性呈“东西强，中部次之，东北弱”的分布格局，韧性分布形态由金字塔型转变为倒金字塔型。研究结果可为城市韧性交通基础设施建设及雨涝防灾减灾规划提供决策辅助。
- Abstract:
- In order to comprehensively evaluate urban road traffic flood resilience,an assessment indicator system is constructed based on the flood disaster cycle and the PSR (pressure-state-response) theory,incorporating comprehensive considerations of resilience influencing factors.The CRITIC-DEMATEL (criteria importance through intercriteria correlation-decision making trial and evaluation laboratory) integrated weighting method,combining subjective and objective approaches,is employed to determine indicator weights,and a resilience evaluation model is established using the weighted TOPSIS (technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution) method.The pressure resilience,state resilience,response resilience,and comprehensive flood resilience of road traffic systems in 33 major cities of China from 2017 to 2022 are evaluated,with their spatio-temporal evolution patterns analyzed.The results indicate that the overall flood resilience of urban road traffic in these major cities shows an upward trend,with significant increases in all resilience dimensions except for pressure resilience,which exhibits a fluctuating downward trend.A spatial distribution pattern of “strong in eastern and western regions,moderate in central regions,and weak in northeastern regions” is observed,with the resilience distribution morphology transitioning from a pyramid shape to an inverted pyramid shape.The findings can provide decision-making support for the construction of resilient transportation infrastructure and flood disaster prevention and mitigation planning in urban areas.
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备注/Memo
- 备注/Memo:
-
收稿日期： 2025-05-28
* 基金项目： 教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(25YJCZH327)；湖北省教育厅科学技术研究计划优秀中青年人才项目(Q20231212)；湖北省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(22Q030)；水电工程施工与管理湖北省重点实验室开放基金项目(2023KSD29)
作者简介： 王荣琴，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为城市基础设施韧性评估。
通信作者： 颜克胜，博士，副教授，主要研究方向为城市雨洪韧性评估与管理。
