|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]杨志冉,柴金飞,方雨菲,等.基于球形模糊-层次分析法的盾构土全生命周期风险评估*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2025,21(1):109-117.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2025.01.014]
　YANG Zhiran,CHAI Jinfei,FANG Yufei,et al.Risk assessment of shield soil throughout its full life cycle based on spherical fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2025,21(1):109-117.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2025.01.014]
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基于球形模糊-层次分析法的盾构土全生命周期风险评估*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
21
期数:
2025年1期
页码:
109-117
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2025-01-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Risk assessment of shield soil throughout its full life cycle based on spherical fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process
文章编号:
1673-193X(2025)-01-0109-09
作者:
杨志冉; 柴金飞; 方雨菲; 周喻
（1.北京科技大学 金属矿山高效开采与安全教育部重点实验室，北京 100083；
2.中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司 铁道建筑研究所，北京 100081）
Author(s):
YANG Zhiran;  CHAI Jinfei;  FANG Yufei;  ZHOU Yu
(1.Key Laboratory of Ministry of Education for Efficient Mining and Safety of Metal Mine,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China;
2.Railway Engineering Research Institute,China Academy of Railway Sciences Corporation Limited,Beijing 100081,China)
关键词:
盾构土; 全生命周期; 风险评估; 球形模糊集; 层次分析法
Keywords:
shield soil;  full life cycle;  risk assessment;  spherical fuzzy sets;  analytical hierarchy process
分类号:
X947
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2025.01.014
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了对盾构土全生命周期风险进行合理评估，以应对其复杂多元的系统工程特性，克服传统评价模型的不足。采用专家评估法构建盾构施工技术、社会、安全、环境、经济等方面的风险层次结构，并利用球形模糊集对其进行成对比较和权重分配，通过去模糊化和归一化处理，建立风险评估模型。研究结果表明：在济南某轨道交通工程中，施工安全、技术、环境、经济和社会风险的权重分别为0.216 2，0.215 5，0.204 3，0.199 0，0.165 0，并识别出资源回收成本高、施工扰民和盾构机适应性不足等高风险因素。研究结果可为盾构施工项目风险管理提供参考。
Abstract:
To reasonably assess the risk of shield soil throughout the full life cycle,addressing its complex and multi-faceted system engineering characteristics and overcoming the limitations of traditional evaluation models,the expert evaluation method was adopted to construct a hierarchical risk structure encompassing the shield construction technology,society,safety,environment,and economy.The pairwise comparisons and weight assignments were conducted using the spherical fuzzy sets,and a risk evaluation model was established through the defuzzification and normalization processing.The results show that in a certain rail transit project in Jinan,the weights of construction safety,technology,environment,economy,and social risks are 0.216 2，0.215 5，0.204 3，0.199 0，0.165 0,respectively.The high-risk factors such as high resource recovery costs,construction disturbances to residents,and insufficient adaptability of shield machine are identified.The research results can provide a reference for the risk management of shield construction projects.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2024-10-11
* 基金项目： 国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3707805)
作者简介： 杨志冉，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为盾构土资源化利用。
通信作者： 周喻，博士，副教授，主要研究方向为岩土工程技术。
更新日期/Last Update: 2025-01-26