|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]熊斯捷,吕伟,汪京辉,等.基于改进元胞自动机的城市区域疏散时序规划模型研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(6):32-39.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.06.005]
　XIONG Sijie,LYU Wei,WANG Jinghui,et al.Research on time series planning model of urban regional evacuation based on improved cellular automata[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(6):32-39.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.06.005]
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基于改进元胞自动机的城市区域疏散时序规划模型研究*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
20
期数:
2024年6期
页码:
32-39
栏目:
特邀专栏
出版日期:
2024-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on time series planning model of urban regional evacuation based on improved cellular automata
文章编号:
1673-193X(2024)-06-0035-08
作者:
熊斯捷; 吕伟; 汪京辉; 邓方蔚; 杨晓婷
（武汉理工大学 安全科学与应急管理学院，湖北 武汉 430070)
Author(s):
XIONG Sijie;  LYU Wei;  WANG Jinghui;  DENG Fangwei;  YANG Xiaoting
(School of Safety Science and Emergency Management,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430070,China)
关键词:
城市公共安全; 分阶段疏散; 元胞自动机; 规划模型
Keywords:
urban public safety;  staged evacuation;  cellular automata;  planning model
分类号:
X915.5；X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.06.005
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为解决灾前城市大规模人群有效疏散的难题，考虑实际路网、人口等因素对疏散的影响对传统元胞自动机疏散模型进行改进，构建以各疏散组整体疏散时间最短且不发生拥堵为目标的城市区域疏散时序规划模型，并选取武汉市某滨江地区进行疏散仿真模拟以验证突出模型的有效性与适用性。研究结果表明：提出的模型可以显著减少各疏散组的整体疏散时间和道路拥堵概率，同时得到具体的分阶段疏散方案。研究结果可为制定城市大灾巨灾的应对预案、构建灾害情景等工作提供参考。
Abstract:
In order to solve the problem of effective evacuation of large-scale urban crowds before the disaster,the traditional cellular automata evacuation model was improved by considering the influence of actual road network,population and other factors on evacuation.A time series planning model of urban regional evacuation was constructed with the goal of minimizing the overall evacuation time of each evacuation group and avoiding congestion,and a certain riverside area in Wuhan was selected for evacuation simulation to verify the effectiveness and applicability of the prominent model.The results show that the proposed model can significantly reduce the overall evacuation time and road congestion probability of each evacuation group,and obtain specific staged evacuation schemes at the same time.The research results can provide reference for the development of urban disaster response plans and the construction of disaster scenarios.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2024-04-02
* 基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目（52072286）
作者简介： 熊斯捷，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为人员疏散。
通信作者： 吕伟，博士，教授，主要研究方向为应急资源与人员安全保障与交通流及行人动力学。
更新日期/Last Update: 2024-06-25